Dr. Helfman's Insights (Disclaimer)

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POWER NUMBERS CRUSH TRAVERS STAKES- Aug 27th

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One of the most important races of the summer is the Travers Stakes. Often on the day of a huge Stakes race,one worth $1,000.000 purse, the best trainers and jockeys are present. Under these circumstances the Power number is a good play.

The Power picks for the Travers were 1-8-2-9. The 9-2 exacta paid $78 and the 9-2-8 tri paid $1,312.00. The#9 horse(Stay Thirsty) was the favorite going off at 2.4 to 1. The #2 horse(Rattlesnake Bridge) went off at 14.1 to 1, and the #8 horse(J.W.Blue) went off at 32.75 to 1. That is why the tri paid so well even though the favorite won.

Interesting in the Predict system there were 6 horses above the danger line and the back horse(the come from behind horse) was the #8 horse who came in 3rd beaten by less than 3 lengths.

This was one of the only years that we were shut out in the triple crown but we more than made up for it in the Travers.

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WE HAD THE WOODS AND THE SANTA ANITA DERBY-APRIL 9TH

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The two most important pre Derby races in April are the Woods and the Santa Anita Derby. The Woods Memorial was the 10th race at Aqueduct. It was for 3 year olds 9 furlongs on the dirt, no sex restrictions, Grade 1 Stake Hcp, purse $1,000,000. The Gold picked 5-2-4-6. The 2-4 exacta paid $158.00. The 2-4-5 tri paid $183.00. The #5 horse was Uncle Mo, one of the pre Derby favorites who ran third. He was bet down to 1/5 while the winner #2 (Toby's Corner) went off at 8/1 and the place horse #4 (Arthur's Tale) was backed at 12/1. This explains why such a robust exacta return and a low tri.

The Santa Anita Derby was the 10th race at Santa Anita. It was also for 3 year olds, at 9 furlongs on the dirt, no sex restrictions, Grade 1 Stakes HCP, purse $1,000,000. The Gold picked 10-3-5-6. The 6-5 exacta paid $227.20 and the 6-5-3 tri paid $1,229.60. The #6 horse(Midnight Interlude) was 20/1. The #5 horse(Comma To The Top) was 5/1 and the show horse #3(Mr. Commons) was 8/1.

Both of these crucial races are good examples of why we mainly concentrate on the exactas and tri's. At any rate this is a great start to the next month right up to the Derby.

POWER NUMBERS CRUSH KEENELAND'S OPENING-APRIL 8TH 2011

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When Keeneland opens it's spring meet, it means Kentucky Derby day is one month away. No matter how old I am or how sick I get, the excitement starts to build. Also it means the opening of Churchill Downs is just three weeks away, my favorite track and one the system usually kills the first week of the meet.

Since they put a synthetic track at Keeneland years ago, it has put some damper on my enthusiasm but on opening day the Power numbers were absolutely terrific. I have noticed that the first few days on a synthetic track when the horses come from all over the country, the Power numbers do exceptionally well the first week.

Race 2: 6 furlogs on A/W, 4 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. Power Numbers picked 4-2-1-5. The 5-1 exacta paid $21.

Race 3: 8.5 furlongs on A/W, 4 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Specia Maiden. Power Numbers picked 8-3-5-2. The 5-8 exacta paid $24.60 and the 8-5-2 tri paid $64.40.

Race 5: One mile on the Turf, 4 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Allowance. Power Numbers picked 8-9-6-11. The 9-6 exacta paid $125.60. The 9-6-11 tri paid $3,019,20!! And just for kickers the 9-6-11-8 super paid $24,744.60!!!

Race 1 as uasual at Keeneland was all first time starters so it was no play. 9 races X $36 per race = $324.00 Total investment. Total winnings $1,627.40 with a net win of $1302.40. Not bad!

So hopefully this sets the stage for the rest of Keenland and the upcoming Churchill meets. Bring on the DERBY!!

SUPER BOWL SATURDAY- SANTA ANITA- FEB 5,2011

For years a good day at the track is the day prior to the Super Bowl. It is always on a Saturday of course. I have been to 5 Super Bowls personally, and everytime I have gone to the track the day before. Two were in Miami, so that meant a day at Gulfstream. One was at Los Angeles, so I went to Santa Anita. Traditionally Saturday is a good day to go to any track because the card has the best horses because of the Allowance and Stake Races.

Tracks are in the buisness to make money and I figure on Super Bowl weekend bettors juices are flowing and they are looking for action. On Sunday of the Super Bowl, I have found not a good time to go to the races. Usually all tracks have an early post time; they know the bettors want to be home for the game. So that day I always feel rushed, so I stay away frm the races.

This year I am following Santa Anita closely. I think it is a pivotal meet. The future of California racing may depend on this meet. We have been excited about the return to the dirt track. No true handicapper likes the artificial surfaces.

So Febuary 5th Santa Anita was the track of choice. As I said in previous posts, the exactas and tri's prices because of increased take out are down some. This means lower prices when the favorites come in but it doesn't affect the prices when the longshots come in(see previous post).

Saturday Feb 5th was a great day for our system. Playing the way we suggest the following results were:

Race 1- one mile and 1/8th on the dirt, Claiming, 4 years old and up, no sex restrictions.

The Gold picked 5-6-4-2. The 6-5 exacta paid $228.60. The 6-5-2 tri paid $1,602.20. This makes you winner for the day, no matter what happens. The winner was 20/1 on the morning line, the place horse was 1.6/1 on the morning line and the show horse was 8/1 morning line. Nice payoff, no more stress for the day.

Without going into details of each race we had the exacta in the second race, exacta and tri in the third race, exacta in the 7th and 9th race but the prices were low and we actually gave some of the profits back.

For the entire day betting $1 box's on the exacta and tri($36.00 per race) X 10= $360 investment. The return was $1031.60 and the net winnings was $671.60.

Thus again we had 5/10 exactas and 2/10 tris but came out a big winner. Again it was one big race that made our day but we had it. I wonder when the track executives are going to realize that taking more out of the pot doen't entice the bettors to empty their wallets. Oh well at least we now have a dirt track and as usual we hit the big one enough to make it worth while.

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FIRST WEEK OF SANTA ANITA - JAN 2,2011

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I know before I even start that I will be blasted for doing this but it does underscore an important point that differentiates our software from others. But for obvious reasons I can't stop myself from doing this. I have been waiting with great anticipation the opening of Santa Anita this year as have other racing enthusiasts, because Santa Anita reurned to a dirt surface. My alltime favorite track to actually attend with its beautiful setting, nestled witin the San Bernadino mountains.

It was one of the first major tracks I ever went to some 50 years ago. The track was always kind to my speed system (Predict). In those days we had 8 races per day, the daily double and no other exotics. Things have changed greatly. So with much enthusiasm and excitement I mustered enough energy up to evaluate the first week.

Day #1- Dec 26----Investment-----Winnings------R.O.I

---------- -----------------$324------------$121.20------(- $202.80)

Day#2- Dec27

----------- ----------------$324-------------$78.40-------(-$245.60)

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Day#3- Dec-28

---------- ----------------$252-------------$184.30------(-$67.70)

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Day #4-Dec 30

----------- ---------------$252-------------$170.80-----(-$81.20)

Day #5-Dec 31

----------- ---------------$288------------$44.00-------(-$244.00)

Day #6- Jan 1st

----------- ---------------$324-----------$7619.90-------+$7295.90

Weeks Total:

----------- --------------$1764----------$8218.60--------$6454.60

This represents betting by our standard method(Predict for sprint races up to 7 furlongs and the Gold for races 7 furlongs and over). The first obvious thing that hits you in the face is we had a great 6th day. As a matter of fact we had a great 9th race on the last day of the week.

Race#9: 6 furlongs on the dirt, 4 years old and up,no sex restrictions claiming. The Predict picked 14-3-11-12. The 3-11 exacta paid $730.00. The 3-11-12 tri paid $13233.80!!

Of course I was very glad to see this race. Well what can we learn from this first week? If we didn't have the last race, it would have been a disaster, absolutely. But we did have it and this is what separates our system from others. It is NOT the percentage of races you win but the R.O.I. is what really counts. We always eventually come up with the big one. Look down the news page for the years we have been reporting.There are big winners there from major tracks on big race days.

What else did we learn? Well Santa Anita has raised their takeout on exotics. It isn't that we didn't have our share of winners but some days the prices were very low. But when the longshots finally hit, it won't make much difference in the bigger payoffs.Some days the other systems did win. The Power won the first day and the Gold won on the second day but over the years the standard is still the best way to play. There are exceptions. the Gold does well at Calder over the long run.

This is not for the faint of heart. This is not for eveyone. There are no sure things. But it has been consistent over some now 58 years.

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YEARLY BREEDERS CUP DISCOUNT- NOV 1, 2010

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For the last few years we have discounted the software for the Breeders Cup. This year we will be doing the same. The Breeders Cup 2 days of racing is one of the toughest two days to handicap, but this year it is at one of our favorite tracks, Churchill Downs. This gives us a chance to do well. Remember it only takes one good tri to win big. We will be discounting the software and selling it for $295.00 from now to the end of the year.

This will allow us to cover the opening of Santa Anita on 12/26/2010 which is very exciting because it will be returning to a new DIRT track. This may be the end of the synthetic surfaces in California hopefully. If the meet at Santa Anita is successful hopefully other tracks will follow.

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GOLD CRUSHES CALDER AGAIN- September 23rd/2010

I just received an Email from one of our South Florida clients who attends the Calder races regularly. He plays only the GOLD at Calder which we have suggested as the best play over a long period of time. Well today the Gold came through like a champ. Betting $1 on exactas and tris in the eight races which represents an investment of $288.00, he had winnings of $3249.80 which represents a R.O.I. of $2961.80!!

Race 1- Gold picked 4-9-6-5, the 5-6 exacta paid $38.20(for $2)

Race 3- Gold picked 1-3-7-6, the 1-3 exacta paid $20.60.

Race 4- Gold picked 14-7-13-1, the 13-7 exacta paid $30.80 and the 13-7-1 tri paid $64.20.

Race 5- Gold picked 2-6-4-7, the 4-6 exacta paid $663.20 and the 4-6-7 tri paid $$4981.60!!

Race 8- Gold picked 1-12-3-7, the 1-12 exacta paid $118.80 and the1-12-7 tri paid 582.20.

Yes we do have losing days but a day like this makes up for a ton of them.

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FALL RACING AND UPCOMING EVENTS- September 22nd/2010

The summer is over and along with it the Delmar and Saratoga race meets. We are approaching another Breedrs's Cup. The good news is the venue is one of our favorite tracks, Churchill Downs where we have had great success in the past. The bad news is typically Breeder's Cup is one of the toughest days to win for any handicapper. This year it will be even tougher because of changes in how horses elgibility is determined will allow more foreign horses to be entered. And they will come from more countries; this will allow horses from China and Japan to be entered in larger numbers. And usually the foreign starters do not have as much data as we are used to evaluating.

However there is something in my opinion to really look forward to in December. This year when Santa Anita opens on December 26th, they will have a new DIRT track. The artificial surface will be replaced. Wow this may help California racing and bring back excitement to the winter racing. Santa Anita was one of our best tracks for the system in the past. It was basically a speed track that favored the front runners. No matter how you handicap, the artificial surface has made it almost impossible to handicap. Also many horse owners were reluctant to ship their horses to Santa Anita even for high Stakes races because they never knew how their horses would take to the track. This has the possibility of filling races again and now we have a great chance of winning. We will be watching this meet with much anticipation.

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PROFITABLE DAY AT BELMONT ON BELMONT STAKES DAY- 6/06/2010

As predicted we had a great Belmont Stakes Day. We had the exacta in the Stakes but the race before the Belmont sealed a profitable day.

Race 2: 6 furlongs on the turf, 3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions, Allowance. The predict picked 8-7-3-2. The 7-2 exacta paid $20.40.

Race 6: 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years olds only, no sex restrictions, Grade 2 Stake Hcp. The Gold picked 1-5-3-4, The 5-3 exata paid $15.20.

Race 10: One mile and 1/4th, on the turf, 3 years old and up, no sex restrictions, Grade 1 Stakes Hcp. The gold picked 3-1-11-4. The 4-1 exacta paid $147.00 and the 4-1-11 tri paid $2675.00!! This of course made it a winning day.

Race 11: The Belmont Stakes, One mile and 1/2 on the dirt, 3 year olds, no sex restrictions, Grade 1 Stakes Hcp. The Gold picked 3-5-12-7. The 7-1 exacta paid $144.50.

So we continue to be solid on the big racing days.

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SUPER SAVER DID NOT SAVE THE TRIPLE CROWN-Post Preakness

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Super Saver's Preakness performance means another year without a triple crown champion extending the drought to 32 years. Unbelievable to me, this represents the time I have lived in Vegas. Prior to this there was at least three triple crown winners in six years. So now we head to the Belmont without the Kentucky Derby winner or the Preakness winner.

How do I feel about this? To me the Belmont is the toughest of the three races where true champions are crowned. It will now make the race a better betting race. Besides the under card on Belmont Day is filled with classy horses and the entire day will be a chance to cash real money.

Preakness day was the same. If you had used our software the standard way you would have won $729.90 net for the whole day.

Race 2: 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year olds only, no sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Predict picked 10-7-11-2. The 10-7 exacta paid $41.20 and the 10-7-2 tri paid $101.60.

Race 6:6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up. no sex restrictions. Grade 3 Stake HCP. The Predict picked 5-4-1-3. The 3-5 exacta paid $25.00. The 3-5-4 tri paid $50.20 and the 3-5-4-1 superfecta paid $234.20.

Race 10: 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions. Grade 3 Stakes Hcp. The Predict picked 3-1-8-7. The 8-3 exacta paid $252.40 and the 8-3-7 tri paid $1,794.80.

Race 13: 6 furlongs, 3 year olds only, no sex restrictions, Special Maiden, The Predict picked 10-7-11-2. The 10-7 exacta paid $41.20 and the 10-7-2 tri paid $101.60.

Also of interest the following day at Calder 05/16/2010:

Race 6: One mile on the dirt, 3 year olds only, no sex restrictions, Maidens. The Predict picked 7-6-4-9. The 9-6 exacta paid $924.40, the 9-6-4 tri paid $6,040.60 and the 9-6-4-7 superfecta paid $31,954.00. In a mile we usually play the Gold at Calder but this is the second time this year that such huge payoffs showed up at Calder in the Predict.

On to the Belmont. One tip the Power numbers seem to be having a big year at Balmont especially on a Saturday.

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MANY LESSONS TO BE LEARNED FROM DERBY DAY- MAY 2nd

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I should have known better. When I stepped up to the plate this week due to Derby fever and began blogging on my news page,well I got sucked into the fray again and now seem compelled to take a teachers approach and use this years Derby day to sound off to make a very important point.

Some fifty years ago, I was practicing medicine in a small Ohio town. On my day off, I always went to a track. I was using the original system now known as the Predict. I didn't have any Gold system or Power Numbers. They were developed in 1997 when clients of the Helfman Formula pushed me to develop alternative systems to compete with other handicapping systems on the market.

The original formula was developed mathematically as a pace system. Simply speaking it is based on the first call. Each horse is given a mathematical pace number based on proprietary equations. Then the horses are placed on a graph so you can visualize the first call. Years ago I had graph paper all over the house. Each race was placed on a separate piece of graph paper. It wasn't until 2005 when the graph was computerized and became part of the program that can now be purchased.

In its most simple explanation when there was not too much speed the front runner was the "system" pick; when there is too much speed the back horse is the the "system" pick. When I first started there was only win, place and show betting. I recall the only exotic bet was the daily double and it was only on the first and second race. There were no exactas, tris, superfectas etc. As racing evolved there developed more exotic's.

There is a danger line also mathematically computed that changes according to the length of the race. Well none of this is a secret. I hear announcers all the time discussing if there is too much speed the come from behind horses will rule the day.

In this years Derby race Conveyance was the speed horse. By the way our speed numbers are NOT based on the fractions but by a very complicated mathematical formula. I have been rambling on here but one important fact is that when the track is sloppy the front runners do well. When I used to go to Miami Beach in the 1960s for Christmas vacation to get away from the cold of the midwest when it would rain all the vacationers would complain about the bad weather. Not me, I would go to Tropical Park and hope the track was sloppy so I could bet the front runners.

A sloppy track is when you can see water on the track. Some times a track is labeled "sloppy" when it is really muddy. But when the rain is coming down hard you can be sure it is a sloppy track. Such was the case Saturday May lst at Churchill Downs. The skies opened up and there was a steady downpour. If you are at the track when this happens you should bet the front horses(Helfman Predict) until proven otherwise, NO MATTER WHAT ELSE UNTIL PROVEN OTHERWISE. This means it doesn't matter if it is a sprint or a route race. Forget our standard rules and JUST USE THE PREDICT.

Now let us translate all of this to Derby day.

Race 1: One mile and 1/16th on the dirt, 3 year olds only,no sex restrictions. Allowance Open. The Predict picked 4-3-5-2. The 6-3 exacta paid $14.40 and the 6-3-2 tri paid $27.40.

Race 2: One mile on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Predict picked 7-11-10-3. The 3-7 exacta paid $148.80.

Race 3: One mile and 1/16th OFF THE TURF, 3 years old and up. mares and fillies,Special Maiden Weight. The Predict picked (After Scratches) 6-11-2-9. The 11-9 exacta paid $77.40 and the 11-9-2 tri paid $226!!

Race 4: 5 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds only, no sex restrictions, Allowance Open. The Predict picked 11-5-8-6. The 11-8 exacta paid $151.20 and the 11-8-5 tri paid$628.80!! The Power numbers had this also plus the 8-5-11-4 superfecta which paid $4550.80!!

Race 8: 7 furlongs on the dirt, 4 year olds and up. mares and fillies, Grade 1 Stake HCP. The 10-6 exacta paid $170.00 and the 10-6-3 tri paid $744.00.

That is the last winner the Predict had. It stopped raining and the track was drying out. The sun came out before the Derby. There were 14 horses out of the 20 above the Danger line. The back horse was the 10 horse, Paddy O' Prado. That was the key horse in the tri, he came in 3rd. The 4-2 exacta was in the Power Numbers and the exacta paid $152.40.

This was pretty wordy. I hope I made my point. I feel passionate about it.

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POWER NUMBERS CRUSH DERBY OAKS DAY!!

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The Helfman Formula Power Numbers made a dent into Churchill Downs on Oaks Day. We had the Oaks and another big winner that insured a winning day.

Race 1: 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, mares anf fillies, Allowance. Helfman Power picked 7-1-8-2. The 2-7 exacta paid 28.20.

Race 6: One mile and 1/16th on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, mares and fillies, Grade 2 Stake Hcp. Power picked 3-4-6-5. The 5-4 exacta paid $33.00.

Race 9: One mile and 1/16th on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions,Grade 3 Stake Hcp. The Power picked 7-8-4-9. The 7-8 exacta paid $128.00 and the 7-8-9 tri paid $1108.00!!

Race 11: "THE OAKS", One mile and 1/8th on the dirt, 3 year old fillies, Grade 1 Stake Hcp. The Power numbers picked 1-11-5-8. The 5-11 exacta paid $58.40. The 5-11-8 tri paid $$389.80.

Race 12: 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up,mares and fillies, Special maiden Weight. The Power picked 8-7-9-10. The 10-8 exacta paid $16.80.

12 races X $36.00 = $432.00 investment. Total winnings= $881.10. Net winnings =$449.10. Not bad for Oaks Day.

Now the big day is "THE DERBY". It is around midnight here in Vegas. At this time the favorite is 7/1! I can't remember a Derby in a long time where there was such a long favorite price. The rest of the field is mostly over 15/1! The exacta and tri will be huge! I would be even more excited but there is 5 inches of rain forcast. The track will be a sloppy mess. Good luck!!

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GOOD START TO DERBY WEEK- AS PREDICTED!! - APRIL 28th

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Wednesday April 28th was the first day of live racing on Kentucky Derby Week. It was also the first day the track was fast. We predicted this would be a good start for the week. I know it doesn't make sense but this is one of the best betting days for years. Maybe it is the influx of the best jockeys and trainers following their Derby hopefuls into Louisville. But going back for 30 years this has been the case.

Race 2- 6 and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions,Claiming. The Gold picked 3-6-1-5. The 6-1 exacta paid $43.40 and the tri paid $354.80.

Race 4: One mile on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, mares and fillies,claiming. The Gold picked 3-6-1-4. The 1-4 exacta paid $12.40 and the 1-4-6 tri paid $39.20.

Race 8: 1 and 1/16th mile on the dirt,# year olds and up,mares and fillies, Allowance. The Gold picked 4-6-1-2. The 4-1 exacta paid $52.40.

Race 9: 1 mile and 1/16th on the Turf, mares and fillies, Allowance. The Gold picked 6-3-2-4. The 4-2 exacta paid $69.60. The 4-2-6 tri paid $519.40 and for kickers the 4-2-6-3 superfecta paid $1,530.40!!

Good start for the week. The Derby is shaping up to be a fantastic betting race.

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THIS IS THE WEEK THAT WAS!- APRIL 26Th -2010

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Every year we have been excited about the Derby for over 50 years and this year is no exception. We have been quiet on the news page since the Breeders Cup but the smell of the roses has awoken us.

I am tired of giving excuses but I am tired of being too ill to keep up the news page weekly. As I have said a million times before Churchill Downs is one of our favorite tracks and we have been successful over the years at Derby time.

The best time is now, the week of the Derby. Usually they race all week during the Derby but this year it is dark on Monday and Tuesday. Starting Wednesday should be the beginning of great racing and great prices. We have always had fabulous results at Churchill on derby week.

I have been following the important Derby prep's the last month especially at tracks we do well. On April 3rd the Wood Memorial was run at Aqueduct, one mile and 1/8th on the dirt. The Gold picked 3-5-6-2. The 3-5 exacta paid 11.60 and the 3-5-2 tri paid $20.00, terrible prices but there were only 6 entries. The Wood has produced many Derby winners; the winner was Eskendeyrea but unfortunately was scratched from the Derby just today because of a left foot injury.

In Race 3, 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up no sex restrictions, Allowance. The Gold picked 2-6-5-4. The 4-2 (2$) exacta paid $39.40 and the 4-2-5 tri paid $116.50.

In Race 5, 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, Special maidens. no sex restrictions. The predict formula picked 8-9-6-5. The 6-8 exacta paid 83.00 and the 6-8-9 tri paid $241.00 and for kickers the 6-8-9-5 superfecta paid $1280.00!!

In Race 6, one mile on the turf, 3 year olds and up, mares and fillies, allowance race, The Gold picked 8-11-7-9. The 11 -7 exacta paid $138.00.

I don't like Keeneland anymore because it is an artificial surface but for years I went to the Blue Grass Stakes like 20 years in a row. In those days the Bluegrass winner won many Derby's. So I did check out the Blue Grass race. I mention it here because it again shows the most important aspect of racing, pace. The Blue Grass Stakes on the Predict had too much speed. It underlines the importance of looking at the first call charts. On that day there were two horses above the line and other horses pressing those. At one mile and 1/8th the Predict picked the back horses: 7-5-3-8. The number 3 horse was 50 -1. The 3-7 exacta paid $576.00.

The exact same thing happened last Saturday at Aqueduct. The feature race was race 9, one mile on the dirt, Grade 3 Stake Handicap, 3 year old only, no sex restrictions. There were only 6 horses in the race but the First call chart shows 2 horses above the danger line. One was an odds on favorite that ran fantastic early fractions as they approached the stretch you could hardly see the back horses but the Predict picked the only 4 back horses: 5-4-6-1 and they roared pass the front runners. The 4-6 exacta paid $143.50 and the 4-6-5 tri paid $750.

BRING ON THE DERBY WEEK AT CHURCHILL!!

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THE FORMULA CRUSHES CHURCHILL - NOV 4TH

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While preparing for this weekend's Breeders Cup, we tested Churchill Downs on November 4th,2009. If you read the last entry below, in the last sentence I gave out a tip that Churchill was opening on Nov 1st and it was one of the best tracks to play on our software. Well yesterday we crushed the track. Next year at this time we will be excited because the Breeder's Cup returns to Churchill.

Yesterday we had 4 exactas and two tris but the prices were fantastic.

Following our standard play for a dirt track( using the Predict for races under 6 and 1/2 furlongs and using the Gold for races at 6.5 furlongs and over):

Race 1- One and 1/2 miles on the dirt,2 year olds only,No sex restrictions,Maiden.

The Gold picked 10-1-9-7(after scratches).The 9-7 exacta paid $341.00 and the 9-7-1 tri paid $4,330.40(for $2). Not a bad start for the day. Actually now a winner for the enire day and no more stress.

Race 4- One and 1/2 miles on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming.

The Gold picked 12-9-4-5. The 9-12 exacta paid $33.00.

Race 7- One mile on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, No sex restrictions, Starter Allowance.

The gold picked 7-8-11-10. The 7-11 exacta paid $764.20!

Race 9-7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance.

The Gold picked 14-10-5-8. The 10-8 exacta paid $301.80 and the 10-8-5-tri paid $2,729.00 !!!

For the entire day playing $36 per race X 10 = $360 investment. Total winnings were $4,249.70 with NET WIN = $3,889.70!!

Who needs the Breeder's Cup?

Well next year we will have Kentucky Derby Day and the Breeder's Cup at Churchill.

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BREEDER'S CUP - PRICE REDUCTION OCT 29- 2009

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The Breeder's cup is next week on November 6th and 7th. We are announcing a reduction in price from $395 to $295 starting immediately and lasting to the end of 2009. After that the price will revert back to $395 where it has been since the begining of our website, some 13 years ago.

This is being done for several reasons. We are in the worst recession since we started selling the "Helfman Formula" and we have had a lot of inquiries recently, mainly because of next weeks Breeder's cup. So to give new customers the possibility of playing and hopefully winning on the cups races, we thought it only fitting to make this special available now.

Also we have had some Email questioning why the news page hasn't been updated recently.

I am the original and only developer of the Helfman Formula. The Predict formula was created by me in 1953 when I was an undergraduate student at the University of Cincinnati. The Gold and the Power systems were created in response to our clients who bought our system and wanted alternative systems to choose from like other handicapping programs they had. So we created the other two systems after checking them out for several years. The Predict system is a pace system and the newest version came with a chart that showed the position of the horses at the first call. This is the backbone of the Predict system and the chart gives you insight into the race that wasn't clear prviously. The "Gold" system is a system of its own and is based on the strongest closers. The Power number ia an entirely seperate system based on 9 handicapping principles.

Since we have done this we have been more than pleased after 10 years how these other two systems have stood the test of time. The reason the news page is not updated regularly is because I am now 75 years of age and my health does not allow me the time or energy to keep this up. This should not be taken as a weakness of the system because it has not changed and is still picking winners as usual. Also after 50 years I no longer feel compelled to constantly prove to others that it works. It has results equal to any other systems out there but in my estimation, it is better. It doesn't always pick the highest percentage of winners but other systems do not have the big payoffs as we do when it does hit. You can look below at many of our big payoffs.

Today I decided to test the waters again and picked three tracks, Calder, Hawthorne, and Santa Anita. I picked Calder because in the past it has been a most reliable track and easy to check( see below) because for years I have said play the Gold at Calder if everything else fails. Remember Calder is a very unusual track because underneath the track is a tartan track that was used for years and then changed to a dirt track. I picked Hawthorne because this is a dirt track and has been running for some time. I could have picked Aqueduct but it has been running only for a few days. And last I picked Santa Anita for obvious reasons, this is the track that will host the Breeder's cup next week. It has an artificial surface and was changed again last year and I am trying to get a feeling for what to play next week.

Today(Oct 29) at Calder there were 8 races. We only won two of them. Race 7- One mile on the turf, 2 year olds only no sex resirictins, Allowance race. The Gold picked 8-5-10-4. The 4-10 exacta paid $544.80 ( for $2). Interesting enough we would at other tracks play the Gold in a route race.

In Race 8- 6.5 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions,Allowance open. After scratches the Gold picked-4-8-3-6. The 4-6 exacta paid $94.60( for $2) and the tri paid $296.80. We play a $1 bos on the exacta and tris which comes to $36 per race. 8 races X $36 = $288 invested and total winnings= $468.10, therefore a net gain of $180.10.

At Hawthorne: There were 9 races. We won 5 of them (playing the standard way) and we won 5 exactas and 5 tris.

Race 1-6 furlongs on the dirt, 2 year old, fillies only, claiming. The Predict picked 4-6-1-3. The 6-4 exacta paid $30(all the prices will be for $2.) The 6-4-1 tri paid $81.00

Race 3- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 5-8-7-2. The 8-7 exacta paid $10.80 and the 8-7-5 tri paid $43.00 and just for kicks the 8-7-5-2 superfecta paid $313.60.

Race 4- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year olds and up, no sex restrictions,Claiming. The predict picked 2-4-1-7. The 7-1 exacta paid $53.60 and the 7-1-4- tri paid $284.00.

Race 6- One mile on the turf, 3 year olds and up, Fillis and mares,Allowance Open. The Gold picked 11-5-8-3. The 5-3 exacta paid $12.40 and the 5-3-8-tri paid $26.80.

Race 9-One and 1/2 miles, turf, 3year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Starter Allowance. The Gold picked 3-12-7-9. The 12-7 exacta paid $50.20 and the 12-7-3 tri paid $160.00.

9 races X $36 = $324 invested. Total winnings = $376.30, Net winnings = $52.30. Not a killing but still a winning day.

I have been tracking Santa Anita and I am finding the best bet seems to be the Gold. Now this is very important for the Breeders cup. There will be many foreign shippers who in the racing form have only partial pace figures. But since this system is for the best closers we have mathematical figures on them. Therefore they figure in the Gold. Many handicapping systems DO NOT have any figures on them so they can not include them in their picks. Often a foreign shipper is our first choice and over the year is responsible for high payoffs.

I am not going through all the individual races but today at Santa Anita in 8 races in the Gold we had 6 exactas and three tris. One tri in the sixth race paid $301.20 but the prices were terrible and we had a net loss of $19.60 for the day. But the percentage was high and you can be sure the prices on breeders Cup day will be fabulous, they always are. So I am going to play only the Gold!

One caution here, the Breeder's Cup is probably the toughest day to win at the track, no matter what you are using. The horses are the best in the world and there are no slouches. But most peole want to play on that day and on Kentucky Derby day. One final tip, on Nov 1st Churchill Downs opens and this is one ofthe best tracks to play on our software.

So good luck to everyone and let's have have some fun.

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FINALLY AN UPDATE!!- July 18th, 2009

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Well here we are prior to the opening of Delmar and Saratoga. Usually this is an exciting time for horse players but this year, at least to me, it doesn't seem the same. It is hard to get energized for Delmar since they put on the artificial surface. It has changed handicapping a lot but we will watch it carefully.

Of course Saratoga is still the same as always and it has been a great front running track and speed has always mattered.

News catchup tidbits:

I received an Email from one of my earliest clients who lives in Florida. He told me that on opening day at Calder there was a BIG FANTASTIC win for our system on April 26th, 2009. I checked on it and wow another perfect setup for the Predict system.

It was the 10th race, one mile on the dirt, 3 year olds, Fillies only, Allowance race. If you check the chart there was too much speed. Two horses were above the danger line, therefore you would bet the back horses. The Predict picked 10-9-3-6. The 10-3 exacta paid $967.00(for $2), the 10-3-9 tri paid $53,927.40!! Not too bad. The 10 was the dead back horse and you could have had the tri by keying the 10 with the 9-3-6 for $6.00. By the way I don't advocate you bet this way. It is much safer to invest the entire $24 and get all combinations.

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We did not have the Derby this year, not many people did. The horse paid over $100. We did have the Exacta and tri on the Preakness in the Gold( the tri paid over $200). The Predict had so many horses above the line in the Belmont the back horse was #4, Summer Bird. Eight of the ten horses were above the line, another perfect setup for Summer Bird. Summer Bird paid $20+.

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Because of that fantastic race at Calder on opening day, I thought we would revisit Calder. If you look down at years past we have always favored Calder. Our conclusion years ago was you can't go wrong playing only the Gold at Calder. I thought we would pick a day at random and evaluate it again. I picked the 17th of July, 2009.

In race 4-5 furlongs on the turf,3 years old and up,no sex restrictions, claiming the Gold picked 4-6-7-2. The 6-2 exacta paid $168.40 and the 6-2-7 tri paid $1946.40. We did the entire day, there were 10 races therefore $36 x 10 = $360 investment. We collected $1216.90 (for $1 bets) with a net win of $856.90. So the Gold at Calder is still holding up.

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That's it for this news update. Promise I won't keep you waiting so long the next time.

SUPER SATURDAY HAS WINNERS GALORE!! -Feb 2nd, 2009

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Every year during Super Bowl weekend, fans seem to get into a betting frenzy. In Las Vegas it is one of the best betting weekends of the year. Even this year in the middle of an economic downturn, there still was approximately $80 million bet on that one game alone.

On Saturday the day prior to the game I have noticed for years that the race tracks realizing this trend seem to have excellent racing cards and this year was no exception.

Updating this news page has been difficult because of health reasons and we have had some Emails questioning if we are still selling programs. Well we are in our 11th year of doing so and are still going strong. After eleven years I think we have proven ourselves but I thought I would take the opprtunity to recap some of our success on Super Bowl Saturday.

At Gulfstream where I think Febuary racing is one the best especially the pre derby races we had a banner day.

Race 1- One mile on the turf, 3 year olds, no sex restrictions, Allowance. The Gold picked 7-6-4-3. The 7-6 exacta paid # 46.80 (for $2) and the 7-6-3 tri paid $261.60.

Race 5- 7 furongs on the dirt, 4 years old and up, no sex restrictions, claiming. The Gold picked 7-2-10-5. The 2-10 exacta paid $60.60 and the 2-10-7 tri paid $277.40.

At The big A- Aqueduct. This track like Gulfstream is still running on dirt.

Race 1- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Allowance. The Gold picked 1A-7-4-5. The 7-5 exacta paid $23.20 and the 7-5-1 tri paid $50.50.

Race 2- One mile on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, No sex restrictions, Maiden. The Gold picked 6-9-5-2. The 5-2 exacta paid $38.80 and the 5-2-9 tri paid $133.00. The Power picked 2-5-1-9. So it had the exacta and tri also.

Race 4- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, Fillies only, Maidens. The Gold picked 10-9-11-8. The The 9-11 exacta paid $40.40 and the 9-11- 8 tri paid $110.50. The Power picked the exact same nimbers in the exact position, so it had both the exacta and tri. We have talked before about when two systems pick the same numbers it makes it a strong play.

Race 5- One mile on the dirt, 3 year olds and up, No sex restrictions, Maiden. The Gold picked 7-2-8-4. The The 2-4 exacta paid $59.00 and the 2-4-7 tri pais $149.

Race 6- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds, no sex restrictions, Maiden. Bothe the Predict and the Gold picked 3-10-9-5. The 2-9 exacta paid $69.50. The Power picked 2-9-10-6 and then the 5. The 2-9 6 tri paid $222.00 and just for kicks the 2-9-6-10 superfecta paid $1670!!

Race 8- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year olds and up. Mares and Fillies, Nongraded Stakes Handicap. The power picked 2-6-3-1. The 1-6 exacta paid $54.50 and the 1-6-3 tri paid $$270.00.

Race 9- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 4 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-6-9-2. The 9-2 exacta paid $90.50. The Gold picked 4-5-2-9. The exacta was the same. The 9-2-5 tri paid 292.00.

Some quick analysis. In 6 furlong races we suggest ypu play the Predict. However when the track is not lighting fast and wet or somewhat deep the Gold will produce more winners. I did some quick calculations here,. If you had played the gold in all 9 races ( suggested bet $1 box on exactas($12) and ($1 box on tris $24) $36 per race X9 = 324.00; you would have had total winnings of $526.10 and a NET Profit of $202.10. ( Remember payoffs are half when you bet a $1 box. If you had bet the Power. Same amount $324, you would have had winnings of $478.85 amd a NET PROFIT of $145.85.

Now for the coup de grace. Many bettors do not do well on the artificaial surfaces. Well let us try Santa Anita on the same date Jan 31, 2009.

I am not going to bore you with every small payoff just the large ones but I will give you a recap of the systems at the end.

Race 2- One mile on the artficial surface, 3 years old, No sex restrictions, Maidens. The Gold picked 5-10-8-9. The 9-8 exacta paid $125.20 and the 9-8-5 tri paid $758.20. The 9-8-5-10 superfecta paid $1985.80!

Race 4- One mile on the turf, 3 year olds only, Fillies, Special Maiden Weight. The Power picked 11-8-9-2. The 8-9 exacta paid $186.20.

Race 5- 6.5 furlongs on the artificial surface, 3 year olds only, No sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Gold picked 4-10-6-2. The 4-10 exacta paid $114.60. The power picked 4-10-6-9. The 4-10-9 tri paid $1960.80!!

If you had played the standard way- Predict 6 furlongs or less, Gold over 6 furlongs, You would have again bet $324. Total winnings were $1490.70 and NET TOTAL = $1166.70!

If you had played the Gold only you would have had total winnings of $1497.70 and a NET WIN = $1173.70!

If you had played the Power only, you would have had total winnings of $$118.40 and a NET WIN = $794.40. So you would have been hard pressed to not win no matter what you played. I am finding out that the new track put on last year at Santa Anita seems the best for our system. Not always but mainly the front runners do not do well and the Gold seemes to be the best but the Power seems strong also. I am still learning every day, I hope this will have been of some benefit to you. We are still alive and kicking!!!

FALL FEEDBACK- Sept16 2008

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I couldn't resist writing this news feedback. We are in tough economic times. I never thought I would live long enough to see the country in such a mess. I don't want to get political and lay blame. Yesterday the stock market dropped some 500 points; Lehman brothers went belly up, AIG needed a federal takeover to stay afloat. When I go to the grocery store there is sticker shock and everyone knows about the gas prices. Every one seems to be closing their wallets and are afraid to spend any money.

However I notice the race tracks are still running. It still is a $2 bet to try to pick a winner. There are still exactas,tri's and superfectas. What has changed are the prices. I went to the track on Travers day and in one of the races the trifecta paid $100,000 and the superfecta paid $1,500,000!! No my program didn't have it but the point is I can't remember prices like that hardly ever and I have been going to the races for over 50 years.

I can assure you that our program is still doing well. We were sent an Email from a client on May 16th. He is talking about races on May 15th at Louisana Downs. I have taken off his Email address for obvious reasons. But anyone can check the results.

The letter said:

"Hi, If your looking for some free advertisement you need look no farther than the 9th race at Louisiana Downs Yesterday. Using a 4 horse box in the power ratings you would of had an exacta that paid $327.00 for $2.00, a trifecta that paid $3,135.60 for $2.00, and a superperfecta that paid $19,983.40 for $2.00. The winner who paid $57.60 to win was the top power pick selection. Other top two power picks did quite well in the card. Take it for what its worth. Terry"

Thank you Terry for this Email. Need I say more. I don't think so.

TIPS FOR THE MIDDLE OF SUMMER- AUGUST 7th 2008

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As usual Delmar and Saratoga are running. Saratoga has been doing well as always on our software. It is the only major track running on dirt. We have had some big winners as usual this summer. Delmar has been a nice suprise as well as Arlington.

Last year I predicited that after they ran for one year the Power numbers should be alright because it is based on 9 handicapping factors. Thus far this has been the case. What I couldn't have predicted was the Predict and the Gold have done very well. There have been dynamite days at Delmar and even earlier at Santa Anita especially on the Predict. I thought the artificial track was fixed so you could standardize the times etc. Calder was an artificial track that didn't vary very much because it was a tartan track. But apparently they can add dirt to the artificial surfaces as needed.

Anyhow let me give you a look at a few races at Saratoga on August 6th.

Race 1- One mile and 1/8 th on the dirt- Claiming The predict picked 1-2-4-5 and the Gold picked 1-2-5-4. The 5-1 exacta paid $20.60 and the 5-1-2 tri paid $42.40.

Race 2- One mile and 1/16th on the Turf. The Gold picked 10-5-7-8. The 5-7 exacta paid $54.00. Of interest the Power picked 10-5-4-7. Besides the exacta the 5-7-4 tri paid $153 and the 5-7-4-10 superfecta paid $338.40.

Race 3- 7 furlongs on the dirt- 3 years old and up maiden fillies. The Pridict picked 2-1-4-7 and the Gold picked 2-7-3-4. The 4-2 exacta paid $23.20.

Race 6- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 years old and up, no sex restrictions.Both the Gold and the Power picked 1-2-3-8. The 3-1 exacta paid $17.80 and the 3-1-2 tri paid $25.40.

Race 9- One mile and 1/16th on the Turf, 3 year olds only,no sex restrictions, Nongraded Stakes. The Predict picked 7-3-1-4. The 4-3 exacta paid $50.00, the 7-3-1 tri paid #85.00. Just shows the turf was lightening fast.

Race 10- 5 and 1/2 furlongs on the turf. The Gold picked 6-4-7-2. The 7-6 exacta paid $133.00 and the 7-6-4 tri paid $338.00. This race also shows the value of looking at the chart. Even thoigh it was 5 ans 1/2 on the turf the chart shows too many speed horses on the lead. A perfect setup for the Gold.

So just to let you know we are still around and making lots of noise.

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WE ARE STILL ALIVE AND WELL!- JUNE 19, 2008

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It has been some time since we have updated our news page. This is because of a combination of events. The main reason was because of the crackdown on internet gambling, several websites that we used to advertise on would no longer accept our advertisements. So we didn't have much exposure. This was done even though we never had anything to do with promoting internet gambling.

Our software handicaps the winners of horse races. You can do anything you want with the results. Of course we expect the users of our software to use the information to wager on horse races but this can be done at the track which is perfectly legal. The system has been in existence since 1953. It was publshed in book form in the 1970's. At that time there was no internet. So we feel it was unfair to cancel us out because we mention nowhere anything about internet gambling.

Nevertheless we found ourself the victims of such decisions. If any of our users have found this upsetting please let us know by emailing us at support@ vegashorseracing.com

For your information we have been doing as well as ever. For example on the road to the triple crown on March 29th was the Forida Derby at Gulfstream. The Gold picked 12-4-2-9. The 12-2 exacta paid $68.80, the 12-2-4 tri paid $702.80 and the 12-2-4-9 super paid $5822.80!! The 12 horse was Big Brown and now every one knows his story. We had the Derby and the Preakness exacta but interestingly enough in the Belmont the Power picked 6-2-4-1. #1 was Big Brown and he wasn't even in our FIRST THREE PICKS!. The 6-4 exacta paid $659(for $2) and was a good payoff for the Belmont.

Just wanted you guys to know we are as stated alive and well and STILL KNOCKING THEM PRETTY HARD!

WE HAD THE TRAVERS RIGHT ON!!!

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Just a quick note to announce we had the Travers Stakes cold.

It was the 9th race on the card- one mile and 1/4th on the dirt,3 year olds. The Gold(which is the right one to play) picked 5-4-1-3. The 4-5 exacta paid $13.00 but the 4-5-1 tri paid $216.00!! Another big stakes hasndled perfectly by our software. We had other hits but just wanted to annouce thr Travers results!!

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WE ARE BACK!!!

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Because of an unexpected personal tragedy we have been absent from our newsletter for close to three months. But we are back intact ready to help our clients with the latest insights.

In general I know the new track at Delmar has been death for the front speed. Come from behind horses are taking the money but fortuately we are at the end of the meet.

But Saratoga has been profitable as usual. One of the best hopes is the New York circuit does not go to the new artificial surface. But remember the cushion track at Santa Anita did not change things too much. More details on this later.

Yesterday at Saratoga- August 22,2007:

Race 3-One mile and 1/8th on the inner turf, Allowance Optional Claiming, filies and mares, 3 years old and up. The Gold picked 5-4-8-3. The 3-8 exacta paid $37.20, the 3-8-5 trifecta paid $55.50

Race 4- Now this is a very interesting race for our software. 7 furlongs on the dirt, Maiden Special Weight- Predict picked 2-4-1-3, Gold picked 1-3-2-4 and Power picked 2-1-4-3. ALL THREE SYSTEMS PICKED THE SAME. Very unusual but very strong. The 3-1 exacta paid 46.40 and the 3-1-4 tri paid $451.00!!

Race 5- 1 and 1/16th miles inner turf,Allowance Optional Claiming, Fillies and Mares 3 years old and up foaled in New York State. The Gold picked 2-9-4-6. The 9-4 exacta paid 181.50, the 9-4-2 tri paid $720.00!!

Race 8- Feature Race- 1 and 1/6th miles on the dirt, Stakes, 3 years old foaled in New York State. The Gold picked 5-3-2-4. The 3-2 exacta paid $35.60 and the 3-2-5 paid $71.50.

Race 9- One mile and 1/8th inner turf, Maiden Special Weight,Fillies and Mares 3 years olds and up foaled in New York. The Gold picked 4-5-3-6 and the Power picked 7-4-9-3. The 4-3 exacta paid $60.00. We did not have the tri.

A pretty good day at the spa! We had 5 out of 9 exactas and 4 out of 9 tris, 2 of them paid very well.

THE TRAVERS DAY IS SATURDAY AUGUST 25th. The prices are always great. It feels good to be back!!

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MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND SMASHING SUCCESS- MAY 29,2007

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It was a very profitable weekend for our software. I hardly know where to start but lets begin with Arlington Park. Why Arlington? If I seem to be preoccupied with Arlington it only is because I am. Not only has it been one of my favorites in the past, but because of the artificial surface, to me it holds the future of racing in how it does this year. Always remember DO NOT USE THE POWER NUMBERS this year. The way we calculate our power numbers, the DRF and Variants are 0 the first year a new track opens or changes its surface. Therefore the Power numbers will not be accurate, so don't use them. So that leaves us with the Gold and the Predict. Two weeks ago when the track first opened the predict was smoking hot, then last week it cooled off. Well this weekend you couldn't have asked for more. Begining Saturday May26th let us review the Predict.

Race 2- 6.5 furlongs on "A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Maiden. The Predict picked 11-8-7-12. The 11-8 exacta paid $208.60. We did not have the tri.

Race 4- 6.5 furlongs on "A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Predict picked 10-5-8-3. The 5-8 exacta paid $63.60, again no tri.

Race 8- 6.5 furlongs on "A/W', 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance Open. The Predict picked 11-3-2-6. The 2-11 exacta paid $193,00 and the 2-11-3 tri paid $1,889.60.

Race 9- One mile on "A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Grade III Stk HCP. The Predict picked 4-8-1-7. The 8-7 exacta paid $660.60.

Race 10- One mile and 1/16th on the Turf, 3years old and up, No sex restrictions, Starter allowance. The Predict picked 7-11-6-3. The 3-6 exacta paid $21.20 and the 3-6-11 tri paid $88.60.

Totals for the day: $36 X 10 = $360 investment. Collected $1,562.60 for a net win of $ 1,202.60. This is more impressive if you analyze and realize the every race we won except for the last turf race was on "A/W" and ALL were route races 6.5 furlongs or over. This shows a tremendous front running bias.

A fluke you say. Well how about the very next day Sunday May 27?

Race 2- One mile on "A/W", 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 6-1-2-7. The 2-7 exacta paid $14.20 and the 2-7-6 tri paid $55.20.

Race 4- 6 furlongs on "A/W', 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Maiden. The Predict picked 6-1-4-8. The 8-6 exacta paid $104.00 and the 8-6-4- tri paid $1,181.00.

Race 10-6 furlongs on"A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 9-11-4-8, The 4-11 exacta paid $308.40.

Totals for the day: $36 X 10 = $360 investment. Collected $845.50 for a net gain of $485.50. We also won some Gold tris but I am trying to make a point here.

So many times I'm asked when do you play the Power ratings. The Predict is the pace system best as we just showed for a speed bias, the Gold is great for certain tracks that are deep and have long stretches but the Power system can be used as a system of its own. This is the more traditional type of system based on various handicapping factors. It can be used as a system all of its own and I have had feed back that many of our clients do use it this way.

Just to make a point let us take yesterday Memorial day at Belmont. And in general Belmont is a first class track of the highest quality and it would make sense to use it there. Besides we are approaching THE BELMONT race on June 9th.

Race 2- One mile and 1/8th on the Turf, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Power picked 7-11-2-5. The 11-7 exacta paid $788.00 and the 11-7-2 tri paid $5,563.00!!

Race 5- One mile and 1/16th on the turf, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance. The Power picked 4-6-7-10. The 4-10 exacta paid $76.00 and the 4-10-7 tri paid $232.00.

Race 6- One mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance Open. The Power picked 1-6-2-7. The 6-1 exacta paid $33.40 and the 6-1-7 tri paid $209.50.

Race 7- One mile on the Turf, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance. The Power picked 9-3-8-6. The 8-3 exacta paid $27.80.

Totals for the day: $36 x 10 = $360 investment. Collected $3464.85. Net win = $3,104.85.

We keep rolling along. We are in our 11th year and trying very hard to keep up with the changing race environment. On the horizon is Delmar with its new "A/W". I can hardly wait.

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GOLD HAS PREAKNESS

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The Gold had the Preakness but then again who didn't have it. The Gold picked 4-7-8-3. The 4-8 exacta paid $23.20 and the 4-8-7 tri paid $50.00. Just nice to say we had the Preakness and the Derby this year. The Derby paid much better as always. As far as the race itself went ,again another year without a triple crown champion! It looked like Street Sense had it locked up 100 yards from the finish line but a masterful ride by Albarado nailed Street Sense by the smallest of noses at the finish. Maybe it was not a very good ride by Borel who shot Street Sense out of the pack to be running at record fractions till the finish. It seemed to me he was going too fast and didn't pace the horse right. It wasn't a very good betting race but with some innovative money management the super was ours. It costs us $36 per race for the exacta and the tri which were going off at low prices. It seemed to me there were only three horses, the in the money finishers of the Derby that even deserved to be in the race. In other words the field was weak for a Preakness. I decided to take the three horses 4-7-8 and do the following: For a superfecta bet in the first position take 4-7-8 to the second position 4-7-8 to the third position 4-7-8 to ALL. This was only a $36 bet(for $1) and if it hit would pay much more than the exacta and tri. Well it worked, 4-8-7-9 came in and the #9 horse was 20/1. The super paid $640 for $2 and $320 for $1.

Actually I am glad the Preakness is over because this is the one day of the year I bet Pimlico and I never liked the track.

I should mention that after last weekends revelations about the Predict at Arlington, I couldn't wait till it raced again. It didn't reopen till Thursday May 17th, and between the 17th through May 20th, if you bet just the Predict you hardly had any winners at all. Why? I can't answer this question because as I said they are running on an artificial surface and it should run the same, which the week before was a bias for the front runners. We will have to watch this carefully. Can they add top soil to the artificial track to make it deeper? Anyone have an answer please send it to support@vegashoreseracing.com.

One more thing about Arlington Park. This is the first year they are running on the "artificial surface", so as we continue the Power Numbers will not be of any use. Because we use the DRF and the Variant as part of the 9 factors we take into account to reach the Power numbers they will be artificially low and thus ONLY use the PREDICT and the GOLD for the rest of the meet. Next year the Power numbers will be useful when they run over the track for the second time. This is always the case the first year on a new surface.

Thank goodness for Belmont Park on Preakness day. The Gold was red hot. I am not going to go through all the races but we had 5 tris in 9 races. An investment of $324 brought back $555.75 for a net gain of $231.75.

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RELAX ARLINGTON PARK POLYTRACK PLAYABLE- May 13th, 2007

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After this weekend I think we can all breathe a sigh of relief, Arlington Park's polytrack is good for speed and THE PREDICT.

Okay I have analyzed Arlington track this weekend and it came up big for the Helfman Formula software. I am going to do this differently. I have been criticized for giving the winning results regardless of which formula which critics say makes our software look better. So right now I am going to forget the length of the race, the surface and only use the Predict for two days at Arlington. First up is May 12,2007.

Race 1-6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Maiden. The Predict picked 4-2-8-5. The 4-2 exacta paid $161.40 and the 4-2-8 tri paid $1461.00 (ALL OF THESE WILL BE $2 RESULTS). Later on when I give you the money returned for the entire day, it will be based on $1 bets and $1 payoffs.

Race 2-6 furlongs on Polytrack, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies,Claiming. The Predict picked 3-8-6-4. The 8-4 exacta paid $117.60 and the 8-4-3 tri paid $409.60.

Race 7- one mile and 1/16th on the Turf, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 2-5-4-6. The 2-4 exacta paid $28.80 and the 2-4-6- tri paid $79.00. The 2-4-6-5 superfecta paid $136.40. I am not even going to include this payoff in the day's summary but you could have had it for a $6 bet, keying the 2 for $1 to the 4-5-6.

Race 8- one mile on the Polytrack, 3 years old only, Fillies Only, Allowance Open. The Predict picked 1-6-4-7. The 7-6 exacta paid $117.60. We did not have the tri.

So we bet $1 boxing the first 4 picks in the Predict for the exacta and the tri which is $36 per race. There were 10 races, so $36 X 10 = $360 investment. The total returned (based on $1 returned on the payoffs) was $1,187.50 making us $827.50 winners for the day!! Not bad at all.

I can hear the naysayers now saying the first race tri skewed the results, okay lets try the next day...

May 13th:

Race 2- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-5-3-8. The 8-5 exacta paid $406.20.

Race 3- one mile on the Polytrack, 3 year olds and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 2-3-7-4. The 4-7 exacta paid $24.80.

Race 5- one mile on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 6-7-8-2. The 6-8 exacta paid $164.80 and the 6-8-7 tri paid $793.00.

Race 6- one mile and 1/8th on Polytrack, 3 years old and up,no sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-2-6-7. The 6-2 exacta paid $39.00.

Race 7- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 year olds and up,no sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 5-2-7-6. The 2-6 exacta paid $62.60.

Race 8- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, no sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 6-7-10-4. The 4-10 exacta paid $154.40.

Race 9- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, no sex restrictions, Allowance. The Predict picked 2-3-1-4. The 1-3 exacta paid $69.80.

Again 10 races- total investment $360.00. Total winnings $857.50( $1 return). Net profit $497.50.

Only two days but enough to show a trend and give us hope for the summer. We had a net win of over $1300 for the two days!!

Now let us get serious for a minute. What does this really mean? Well it shows that the front runners have a bias at Arlington. It seems to me that the Polytrack is supposed to be standard. By that I mean they can not change the track because it is an artificial surface. If it rains it drains and there is no "sloppy track", also no "Muddy" track or "Good Track." So it should run about the same every day. Great news for us, don't you think?

I think it also means the time to play this is NOW, before the public realizes it is a speed track. When this occurs we should have the same percentage of wins but the payoffs may drop. Although we have another advantage. Even an experienced handicapper can not pick our 4 front runners. Just yesterday I sat next to someone who claimed he could pick the front runners and he used the times of the first quarter to do so. WE DO NOT USE THE TIMES and almost always our first four front runners are leading at the quarter. When we have the speed bias they may just stay there as the two days at Arlington showed.

So why does the Polytrack at one track favor the speed while at another polytrack this may not be the case. Interesting question? Well for one thing the shape of the track may come into play. At the old Tropical Park, the turns were sharp which favored the front runners. At Arlington the front runners always did well. At Churchill the turns are more gradual and the stretch is longer which favors the closers (The Gold).

In closing if you have our software go bet The Predict at Arlington. If you do not have the software, well you better consider getting it!!!

DERBY DAY CRUSHED - MAY 5, 2007

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We hate to be bragging and say we told you so and we tried not to be obnoxious about being overly proud of our new software. But if you scroll down the news page I think what is apparent is the subtle confidence we had going into Derby week. We had a good opening week at Churchill and it all culminated in a fabulous Derby Day. The main thing our customers are interested in is how we do in the Derby. Well we handled it easily although the payoffs were lower than past Derby's.

The Derby- Race 10- one mile and 1/4 on the dirt, 3 year olds, Grade I Stake Handicap. The GOLD picked 2-8-12-7. The 7-8 exacta paid $101.80. The 7-8-2 tri paid $440.00. The #7 is Street Sense who was supposed to be according to the "first call" chart 5 runners from the back. In reality he was the 19th runner out of 20 but found a way through the pack and won going away by 2 1/2 lengths. Now of course the number one question arises can he become a triple crown champion? It has been 28 years since we had one and racing could really use another one to help spark new interest in the sport especially with the younger crowd. Looking at his past performances he has had 7 previous races and in six of them was running right off the pace, so he could handle the sharp turns and the short stretch of Pimlico. There will start much hype and anticipation in the next two weeks; enough about the Derby.

We started out winning the first race at Churchill- one mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Allowance. The Gold picked 2-1-6-5 and the 2-5 exacta paid $5.80 and the 2-5-1 tri paid $12.60. This kind of opening race is not good for the pocket book but helps in the confidence level.

Race 3- 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Special Maiden Weight. We decided to go with the Predict because the chart showed the runners spread, not pressed and the track was still marked good but was drying out fast. The Predict picked 1-7-4-2. The 2-1 exacta paid #94.20 and the 2-1-4 tri paid $372.00. We were on our way but we didn't have any idea how good it would all turn out.

Race 6- one mile on the Turf, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Grade 3 Stakes. The Gold picked 2-5-7-6. The 7-5 exacta paid $29.00 and the 7-5-2 tri paid $89.80.

Race 9- The race prior to the Derby and the one that made this a great Derby Day. 7 furlongs on the turf, 3 years old and up, No Sex Restrictions, Grade 1 Stakes Handicap. For discussion sake this was difficult to choose which system. On the Turf at Churchill a higher percentage of races are won by the Gold. The chart made the Predict enticing because the #3 horse was above the line by himself. But studying the past performances the 3 horse Shake The Bank is always on the lead but fades in every race. This type of early speed sets it up for the closers, so we took a shot and went for the Gold. Another rule if there is any question the Gold wins more and picks bigger payoffs at Churchill. For your information this is what stimulated us to add the Gold 10 years ago because we didn't do as well at tracks with a long stretch especially at Churchill. Enough.. the Gold picked 6-4-1-7. The 7-1 exacta paid $177.80 and the 7-1-4 tri paid $2.207.20. We were big winners before the Derby ever started. We were not under any pressure and sat back to enjoy the most anticipated race of the year.

Following the Derby we were ready to pack up and go home. But we looked around to see what other tracks were opened. Our favorite track in the summer always has been Arlington Park but we are sad about the artificial surface this year. But just by coincidence the next race after the Derby was a TURF race, the 10th race at Arlington. The Predict has always been the best bet at Arlington ( I know it is confusing) so we will be looking forward to only betting the Turf races at Arlington, until we get some kind of handle on the new surface. Race 10-one mile on the Turf, 3 year olds and up, The Predict picked 3-7-9-5. The 3-7 exact paid $648.60. the 3-7-5 tri paid $3,875.00!! and for the final kick of the day, the 3-7-5-9 superfecta paid $19,656.00!!! to close out the best Derby Day ever.

I know those of you who updated probably didn't play Arlington after the Derby, but we had a great day at Churchill without the last race. Remember Churchill is opened almost all summer, along with Belmont, Saratoga, and even Calder. The Gold has also done well the last few year at the Preakness and on Preakness day in general.

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GOOD NEWS- MAY 4,2007

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For every one who purchased the upgrade as well as those who bought the program for the first time, the install program we sent you is VISTA COMPLIANT. I just installed it on a new Vista computer and the program ran perfectly and looks fabulous. I installed it on a computer that has a 22 inch wide screen monitor and there were no issues. So we are better than we thought we were, just had to pass this on.

Tomorrow the Oaks and then the next day the Derby. Let the fun begin.

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WE THANK YOU- MAY 3,2007

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Thanks to our loyal customers who upgraded to the Helfman Formula- version 5. I hadn't heard from most of you in years and didn't know so many were still using the software. We had many Emails congratulating us on the new interface. We are extremely proud of the new application. Thanks again everybody. I have just loaded down the Derby files and I like our picks for the Derby. Hopefully all the hard work we did to get this release out by the Derby will prove profitable.

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WARMING UP FOR THE DERBY- May 2,2007

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We had to check out opening day at Belmont. We are getting Derby fever and there is only three days left. Anyhow opening day at Belmont reminded us of why we like the old dirt tracks. The track superintendent can still have an influence on the race. If they dig deep it helps the closers and if they pack it down, it makes the track better for the front runners. Besides one of our favorite rules came into play. It is in our manual," The first day the track is fast after it is off it is better for the front runners." Well the track was good for the first race but was changed to fast. Besides we wanted to check out our new Power numbers.

Race 2- 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Maiden Claiming. The Power picked 1-2-4-5. The 1-4 exacta paid $15.60 and the 1-4-5 tri paid $45.20.

Race 3-7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Maiden Claiming Starter. This race is one of the best examples of the value of the chart. The Gold picks 1-4-2-3 which would usually be the play at 7 furlongs. But when you check out the chart you see the 4-2 are above the line, much too much speed which sets up the race for the closers. The Predict reflects this by picking 6-5-3-1. The 5-1 exacta paid $72.00 and the 5-1-6 tri paid $376.50, great hit.

Race 5- 1 mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Maiden. The Gold and the Power Numbers both picked in the first three picks 4-5-6. The 4-5 exacta paid $63.50 and the 4-5-6 tri paid $146.00.

Race 6- one mile and 1/16 on the turf, 3 years old and up, Maiden Special Weight. The Gold picked 3-8-5-7. The 7-3 exacta paid $64. We did not have the tri.

Race 7- 1 mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Starter Allowance. The Predict picked 1-10-4-2. The 4-1 exacta paid $79.00. So not too bad for cheap races from Belmont

The best race at Churchill was the 6th race- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year old's, Claiming. The predict picked 2-1-7-4. The 1-2 exacta paid $32.40 and the 1-2-7 tri paid $377.40.

Tonight the Derby files comes out. And by the way Arlington Park opens Friday May 4th, the day before the Derby. Usually we would have been excited but this year guess what, another "all surface track".

HELFMAN COMPUTER INC PROUDLY PRESENTS HELFMAN FORMULA VERSION 5 !!!

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SPECIAL RELEASE FOR DERBY WEEK

We released Helfman Formula Version 5 in time for Derby Week. This is the biggest change we have ever made in over 10 years. It is a complete change of interface. more appropriate for the 21st century.

There are so many new features I hardly know where to start. For openers you can go directly from the application to Bris to load down the DRF files, of course you have to be connected to the internet. You can delete all the DRF files without having to go to the directory. It will also take you directly to the news page. It has a tutorial that will help you learn to run it. It has the tracks listed on the front page as well as the races, so you only have to navigate down without continually going to retrieve races.

But the biggest change of all is a change in the Power Numbers. The new Power numbers will differ from the past programs. This was done to reflect the new "all weather" surfaces.

From now on when I give the Power numbers that have won in the news page, it will be the new numbers. So if your version doesn't match up you will realize this represents a difference. We had many winners from the Big A that I couldn't count as winning system picks.

For first time buyers this is the version they will buy. We have not raised the price since we started over 10 years ago. It will remain at $395.00 + sales tax only for Nevada residents.

For past users you can update to the new version but there will be a charge of $99. There was no way to get around this because of the cost to produce this. It took many hours of programmers time.

If you are an old user and do not wish to upgrade your program, your program will work as usual. The Predict and the Gold are the same only the Power Numbers have changed. However I can tell you it is the difference of driving an old Ford or a Mercedes. You will still get to the same place but the ride is so much more satisfying. If you are interested in an upgrade you can email us at support@vegashorseracing.com.

Again sorry for the charge for the update. The only problem in releasing it now, it is not Vista ready. But for those who purchase it now we will give you the Vista version FREE when it is completed. We could have waited but I thought with the Triple Crown approaching, it was more important to release it now than later. The Derby is just in 6 days.

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CHURCHILL FINALLY OPENS FOR DERBY MEET - APRIL 28, 2007

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For weeks we have been waiting for Churchill to open. It was a strange opening card. We do great at Churchill especially in the route races, because of the long final stretch run, it allows plenty of time for the closers to do their thing. There were 11 races on opening day, too many first time starters for my liking and only one route race. The route race was the 5th race- 1 mile and one eighth on the dirt,3 years old and up, Starter Allowance. The Gold picked 6-4-8-3. The 8-6 exacta paid $12.20 and the 8-8-4 tri paid $64.80, proves the point but not very exciting.

However the wait WAS NOT IN VAIN. The big race was the 9th race- 1 mile on the Turf, 3 year olds and up, Claiming. The predict paid 7-2-8-6. The 8-7 exacta paid $346.00 and the tri paid $4.595.00!! Definitely worth waiting for.

WHILE AWAITING CHURCHILL OPENING WE CREAM AQUEDUCT- APRIL 25,2007

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On the very first race at Aqueduct April 25,2007- One and 1/8th mile, on the dirt, 4 years old and up, Starter Handicap, the Gold picked 1A-2-1--3-5. The Gold should be used for route races. The 3-5 exacta paid $189.50 and the 3-5-2 tri paid $1,320.00 (for $2), not too shabby a start.

Race4-One mile on the Turf, 3 years old and up, Maidens. The Predict picked 1-2-7-6. The 7-1 exacta paid $14.60 and the 7-1-2 tri paid $79.50.

Race 5- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 5-2-1-8. The 5-2 exacta paid $98.50. We did not have the tri.

Race 7 - One mile, Turf, 3 years old and up, Claiming. The Power picked 4-2-5-7. The 4-5 exacta paid $47.00 and the 4-5-7 tri paid $448.00.

Race 8 - 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Allowance. The Predict picked 8-1-3-9. There was too much speed and there were 2 horses above the line as well as many pressing the front runners on the chart. The back horses were picked by the predict 8-1-3-9. The 9-1 exacta paid $65.50 and the 9-1-3 tri paid $1,493.00!!

Anyhow quite a good day by anybody's standards.

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GENERAL THOUGHTS- 4/19/2007

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Just thought I would cerebrate about where we are right now. It is nine days until Churchill Downs opens for its spring/Derby meet. Opening day is April 29th. Every year I get excited about the first week at Churchill. Maybe it is because I used to live close enough to go opening day, at least once or twice during the first week and of course I went to 5 Derby's.

The best betting is the first week. In the past professional gamblers would descend upon Louisville, not only horse players but pool players, card players etc. looking for the big score. Also the best jockeys,trainers and owners pour into the town. Almost immediately after the race they disappear.

Well I moved away almost 30 years ago and haven't been back since. The last ten years I have watched from a distance but I can feel the fever slowly rising as we approach next week. The first week as well as Churchill Downs in general has been dynamite for our software.

Last year at this time a new webmaster came on board. He had never been to the races before. He has been working on our software ever since. He feeling my excitement went to his first race the Wednesday before the Derby and the first bet he ever made, a route using the Gold paid a tri of $5000.

He has been responsible for programming the "first call" charts which we released last year. This year we have been working on tweaking the Power numbers in response to the "all weather surface" track. We will have an exciting announcement to be made soon.

But more than just nostalgia, where are we this year? As of today Aqueduct is still running but will give way to Belmont on May 2nd, which is smack in the middle of Derby week. By the way the last two days we have done quite well. For those of you who love Santa Anita it will close on April 22nd and this is the last few days they will ever run on a "dirt" course. Next year when they open they will have an "all weather" surface. Arlington Park is going to open in May with its "all weather surface."

So one by one like falling blocks the old is giving way to the new. Change is definitely in the air. Will it be better,only time will tell.

So for today take advantage of the next few weeks, enjoy racing as we always knew it. Who knows about next year?

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WE ARE BACK AND GETTING READY FOR THE DERBY- April 13, 2007

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Sorry guys for the hiatus but you can't always control when you are going to have a health problem. It may be Friday the 13th but I feel lucky to be back. We missed some of the fun of the Derby prep races but I hope you carried on without me because we did good.

I can't get us up to speed on all of them but will talk about the highlights. The Florida Derby for the last two years has been moved to 5 weeks before the Derby. It was the 11th race at Gulfstream on 3/31/2007. The Power Numbers picked 3-5-6-1. The 3-1 exacta paid $10.70 and the 3-1-6 tri paid $74.60, not big numbers but we had it.

Just so you know it was a decent day, we had the first race- one mile for 3 year old maidens.The Predict picked 2-6-1-4 and the Power picked 6-2-4-1. The 4-1 exacta paid $38.10 and the 4-1-6 tri paid $147.90.

In the 11th race-5 furlongs on the turf, fillies and mares, 4 years old and up, the Power picked 10-2-9-1. The 2-10 exacta paid $14.10 and the 2-10-1 tri paid $84.20.We had two other small tri's and a slew of exactas but I am getting sidetracked.

On 04/07/2007 was the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct which is always a prestigous Derby Prep. It is one mile and 1/8th, on the dirt, for 3 year olds. The Predict picked 6-1A-3-2 and the Gold picked 2-1A-1-5-3. The 2-3 exacta paid #26.80 and the 2-3-1 tri paid $48.40. Again not much of a payoff but again at least we had it. No this is not very exiting stuff but it is all leading to the Derby which is in my opinion is one of the best shots at winning big money from small bets.

In race 2- 1 mile and 1/16th on the Turf for Maiden 3 years old and up, the Gold picked 5-2-8-4. The 2-4 exacta paid $29.30 and the 2-4-8 tri paid $72.50.

Before we leave Aqueduct we had the 11th race- 6.5 furlongs on the dirt, 3years old and up, fillies and mares, Special Maiden Weight. The Power picked 2-8-9-1. The 8-2 exacta paid $28.80 and the 8-2-9 tri paid $238.00. Again I am getting sidtracked.

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TIP:

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At Keeneland on 04/14/2007 which is only hours away is the Blue Grass Stakes. In the late 60's there was a stretch where the Blue Grass winner won the Derby or at least came into the money for many consecutive years. But now again we are having the first Blue Grass on the polytrack. As good as Turfway was this year, these results have not carried over to the Keeneland meet. When you hit you do well. But I can not yet give a stamp of approval to the Keeneland meet. The jury is still out. Be cautious but we are going to give it a try.

IT'S TIME TO GET SERIOUS ABOUT GULFSTREAM- Feb 22,2007

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It is time to get serious about Gulfstream. We have had fun and profit looking at Turfway. It was imperative we tried to figure out the Polytrack especially for peace of mind about the future.

But if you are a real traditional race fan, the best is the Triple Crowm. Now is the time to focus on Gulfstream because this is where the best trainers are now, the best horses are gathering for the big pre Derby races, and the best jockeys will be coming. Besides our software has always been dynamite at this track and this year is no exception.

Lesson time: I thought we would use the races today as a starting point to understand how to cream Gulfstream.

Race 4- 1 mile on the dirt, 4 years olds and up,No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Gold picked 3-1-2-7. The 3-2 exacta paid $7.10 and the 3-2 7 tri paid 22.20. Remember all prices at Gulfstream are for $1. Ok. not such a good start.

Race 5- will skip for now.

Race 6- 1 mile on the dirt, 4 years old and up, No Sex Restrictions, Claiming The Predict picked 1-7-3-2. The Power picked 1-7-2-8. The 1-7 exacta paid $22.60 and the 1-7-2 tri paid $64.50. The 1-7-2-3 superfecta paid $169.30. So the Predict had the Super cold. But since both predict and power picked 1-7, you could have played 1-7-2-3-8 for $12 and cover both possibilities and hit the super, just a suggestion.

Race 7- 1 mile and 1/8th, turf, 4 years olds and up, Allowance. Remember the best play on the Turf at Gulfstream is the Go;d. I will show you 2 races from 2 /20 that we had. The Gold picked 9-2-6-7. The 6-2 exacta paid $5.30, the 6-2-7 tri paid $46.40 and the 6-2-7-9 superfecta paid $195.90. The #6 was a .30 favorite, so again for $6 you could have bet a 6 to the 2-7-9 super.

Race 8- This made the day. 6 furlongs,dirt, 3 year olds only, Claiming. Here is a tip- The 8th race is the feature of the day. Follow me on this one. Usually the feature race is a stakes or handicapping race but on days where there is no stakes race, the eighth race( or the one prior to the LAST RACE by default becomes the feature race. So play the POWER.

The Power picked 4-7-1-2. The 7-2 exacta paid $76.60 and the 7-2-1 tri paid $652.20!!, yes an IRS signer but this made the day.

Back to the 5th race- 1 mile and 1/16th,Turf, 3 year old Fillies, Special Maiden Weight. We have been saying that at Gulfstream on the Turf, the Gold should be played, The Gold picked 12-9-4-8. There were 2 first time starters in the field, along with the one foreign shipper. It certainly makes for a precarious race. I have mentioned this before, in our software we can incorporate the foreign shipper in the Gold. There is no data except on the last call. The Gold reflects the closing horses, so if the foreign shipper is one of the high picks, it has an excellent chance. At least you know it should be included in the contenders. In this race the #9 horse was the shipper and was picked 2nd in the Gold. The Predict picked 12-5-10-2. The #12 horse was a 4 star pick which means it was the only horse above the danger line. This is the type of horse that can go wire to wire. And the Turf helps the front runners. The #12 is way above the line. Also the #12 was the first pick in the Gold which makes it a very dangerous horse. The pattern of the race is favorable for the front runners. Well I played the Gold but made a separate bet on the exacta on the Predict which maans another $12. The 10-12 exacta paid $1060.20!! ( a nice pick up) but the 12-10-9 tri paid $13,309.60. Yes a fantastic pay day, no we didn't have it but you can see with a little ingenuity could have been had. Lots of times there is no rhyme and reason for a fantastic payoff but in this case it makes sense.

You can see they are having a ball down in Florida these days.

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Valentines Day Love At Gulfstream

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On Wednesday Feb 14th, 2007, there was really only one track open for us to play. Aqueduct and Turfway were canceled because of the inclement winter weather and we decided to focus only on Gulfstream.

It took until race 5 for things to get moving but after that it really heated up. Race 5- One mile on the turf, 4 yr olds and up, Claiming. The Gold which is the right play on the turf picked 11-14-1-12. The 1-12(for $1) exacta paid $62.90. The 1-12-14 tri paid $266.10 and the 1-12-14-11 superfecta paid $922.10.

Race 6 - One mile on the dirt, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Gold picked 7-2-4-1. The 4-1 exacta paid $20 and the 4-1-7 tri paid $136.10(for$1).

Race 8- One mile on the dirt, Fillies only, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-1-6-2. On the first call visual chart the 4 was above the line and the pattern favored the front runners. The 2-6 exacta paid $40.70 and the 2-6-1 tri paid $103.20. So it was a profitable day. Gulfstream continues to be a good track for our software and we are now approaching the big pre derby races in March and April. It should be in our favor.

STILL ROCKING AND ROLLING AT TURFWAY- Feb 09, 2007

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If we seem obsessed with the Polytrack at Turfway, well we are. Our attention was lost somewhat by focusing on the Super Bowl, and then there were numerous cancellations. Even on Feb 8, after two races there was another stoppage for the rest of the day. To me this is somewhat curious since one of the main reasons they put the polytrack on in the first place was there would be less days lost. Maybe easy for me to say because I am not there and I suspect the weather is hideous.

Another reason our interest is peaked, I heard an announcement yesterday that Arlington Park had decided to go with the Polytrack. So we are trying to get as much knowledge as we can about this surface.

So on Feb 9th I decided to focus entirely on Turfway, after all the Jan 27th day was the best I can remember ever. The results certainly were not as dramatic but still interesting.

Race 1- 6 furlongs, 3 year olds only, Claiming. Both the Gold and the Power picked the same selections- 1-7-5-4. The 4-7 exacta paid $18.80(for $2) and the 4-7-5 trifecta paid $49.80, certainly not great but a start.

Race 2- 6.5 furlongs, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Maiden. Power picked 10-9-2-4. The 2-4 exacta paid $52.40 and the 2-4-10 tri paid $166.20, somewhat better.

Race 3- This race was more interesting, again mainly because of the first call visual. One mile, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 2-5-7-4 and the visual graph showed a pattern that favors speed. The 4-5 exacta paid $82.40 and the 4-5-2 tri paid $694.80. So three in a row and we had a nice cushion for the day.

Race 6- One mile, 3years old and up, No Sex restriction, Claiming. Again the Predict picked 5-1-6-2 and the visual pattern was almost a duplicate of race 3. The 1-5 exacta paid $26.40 and the 1-5-6 tri paid $307.20.

We had some exactas but did not hit much until race 11. One mile, 3year olds and up, No sex restrictions. Claiming. The Predict picked 10-7-6-2. I boxed these but to no avail. However the Power picked 6-1-2-12. The 6 had a Power number of 147, the 1 was 140, a 7 point difference is usually significant, so I keyed the 6 with the 1-2-12 in the tri( a $6 bet) and keyed the 6 with the 1-2-12 in the super because it was the feature race. The 6-2-12 tri paid $120.20 and the 6-2-12-1 super paid $720.00. Maybe luck played a role but I often do this and just wanted to point out it was only an extra $12 but made my day.

Anyhow the Polytrack at Turfway is certainly somewhat addicting and hopefully a preview of better things to come. Maybe at Arlington Park in May!!

TURFWAY TURFWAY TURFWAY- HUGE DAY- January 27, 2007

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Bring on all the artificial tracks. I am no longer fearful of them. But you better consider trying our software or you will be left out of the fun. I can not believe what an edge the first call software gives you.

Race 1-One mile, Fillies and Mares, 4 year olds and upward, Claiming The Predict picked 9-7-8-6. The first call visual chart shows you there are no front runners with speed. The 9 horse is about 5 lengths below the danger line. Another race where the front runners become the speed horse by default. Also confirmed by the hnumber being 5.01.

The 9-8 exacta paid 414.60(for $2) the 9-8-3 tri paid $3,868.60 and the 9-8-3-6 superfecta paid $47,839.20!!! You don't need a lot of winners when you have races like this one. And we have been playing races like this in this manner for over 50 years. But we were not through yet.

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Race 3- 6 furlongs, 4 years old and up, Mares and Fillies,Claiming

The Gold picked 8-9-7-2. If you look at the first call chart there are 2 speed horses 11-7 right up at the danger line, therefore this may be a good play for the Gold.

Well the 9-2 exacta paid $17.60 and the tri 9-2-7 tri paid $51.60 and the 9-2-7-8 Superfecta paid $166.20. Not as exciting but still impressive.

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Race 4- 1 mile, 4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming

This is a repeat of race 1, Same conditions for sure. Also the first call visual shows the 1 right on the danger line. followed by the 8-4-9. So the predict picks 1-8-4-9. The 9-8 exacta paid $81.20 and the 9-8-4 tri paid $2.409.40.!! So probably the best start one could have winning 3 out of 4 races to start.

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Race 9- I hesitate to report this as a system win. It is not in the purest form and I am sure some will say it is pressing the point. But once you see what I am trying to convey it is sure a possibility and it shows again what the power of the first call visual.

The Predict picks 5-2-1-7. But all four horses are near the danger line showing the speed is great and these horses are pressed. This came close to causing the software to invert the race and then the closers would be the pick. the four closers are 6-11-9-10.

The 11-9 exacta paid $181.20. The 11-9-6 tri paid $4,997.20 and the 11-9-6-10 superfecta paid $20,186.60!! The cynics will say this is a stretch but it isn't as much as you think. The back horses come in a lot in scenarios like this.

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Race 11-6 and 1/2 furlongs, 4 year old and Up, No sex restrictions, Nongraded Stakes Handicap

The Gold picked 2-3-8-7. At 6 and 1/2 the Gold is the play. The 3-7 exacta paid $824.20. The 3-7-2 tri paid $4,016.00 and the 3-7-2-8 superfecta paid $11,373.60!!!

Wow. I am a little numb, cause I can't ever remember a day anything like this one. And you wouldn't have to had all the races but maybe one or two of them would be enough.

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I would like to say at this point that our software is not for everyone. It is for those who want to take the next step and consider this a powerful tool. But you have to be willing to box 4 horses and stay the course through the bad times but when the good times hit as you can see it is worth it.

For sure this is not fabricated. If you purchase our software, you can test the results yourself. It is all for real.

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Turfway With The Poytrack is Exciting

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I just have to say a word about Turfway. We had been skeptical about the new polytrack at Turfway but now I find it exciting, a challenge and a fun track to play.

A few weeks ago I said play the exactas on the Power. This still holds up but the Gold has to have a good look also. Without getting creative( which is fun to do with the first call chart) and just playing like we have said for years, the payoffs are so high that when they hit it makes up for the losses fast.

A perfect example of this was seen on January 24th in the very first race. The race was 1 mile on the polytrack, 4 year olds and up, Maidens.

The Gold which is the classic system to use at 8 furlongs picked 12-3-2-11. The 3-11 exacta paid $233.80(for$2) and the 3-11-12 tri paid $1,895.40. The 3-11-12-2 superfecta paid $19,246.60. Now certainly that will get your attention.

Race 5-4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming, 1 mile and 1/16th. The Predict picked 8-1-6-7. If you look at the first call visual you will see the 8-1-6-7 way below the danger line. This means there is no real speed in the race and the picks are not really front runners but will get the lead by default, meaning they will become the front runners in this race because there are no true front runners. This is also reflected in the hnumber which starts at 5.95 and goes to 8.47. Then there is a gap when the next tier of horses are viewed.

The 1-7 exacta paid $36.20 and the 1-7-5 tri paid $115.40. This is not a great payoff but this was easy to catch. Also once again the value of visualizing the chart comes to light.

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TIP TIME- January 24th. 2007.

At the moment Gulfstream is playing like usual. The big dissapointment so far this racing season has been Aqueduct. This has always been one of our favorite tracks but lately the fields are small and the prices are very low. Maybe it is the unseasonally warm weather they have had. They are running on the winter track, so I think when the snow and cold weather hits(which is right about now) maybe things will pick up.

Santa Anita is in its last season on the dirt track and I think we should take advantage of this before they tear up the track next season. So far the Gold has been holding up on the route races with decent payoffs. So keep playing this with confidence.

Gulfstream will be going into their pre Derby races starting on Febuary 3rd, and usually this means good hits and good prices.

GULFSTREAM IN GOOD FORM-0120, 2007

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There has been a hiatus on the news page since the new year began because of a hospitalization but now we are back and ready to go.

On Saturday 0120,2007 we aced Gulfstream.

Race 1- 6 and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt, 4 year olds and up, claiming race. The Predict picked 6-4-1-3 and the first call chart showed there was no classic speed. The 4-6 exacta paid $42.10(for 1$) and the 4-6-1 trifecta paid $330.60. This was a great start and also alerts us that the track is possibly set up for speed today.

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Race 4- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year olds Fillies only, Allowance Optional

The predict picked 1-3-6-4, the chart showed there was a lot of speed pressing these horses but the 6-1 exacta paid $22.00 and the 6-1-3 tri paid $77.10. This race only secured our feeling this was a very fast track.

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Race 6- 5 furlongs on the turf, 4 year olds and up, Allowance

The Predict picked 2-4-1-3. The 1-3 exacta paid $18.50 and the 1-3-2 tri paid $41.20.

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Race 9- 5 furlongs on the dirt, 4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Grade 3 Stake Handicap

The Predict paid 5-6-1-2. The 8-5 exacta paid $14.20 and the 6-5-2 tri paid $97.80.

HAPPY NEW YEAR FROM HELFMAN COMPUTER INC. AND REFLECTIONS ON THE BEST YEAR EVER-2006.

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This was a banner and break through year for our company. For once we are not going to focus on individual races but just to comment generally. We have been on the net going into our eleventh year. But this year we were able to update our software so that there were no more bugs or glitches. It seems like we should not be even talking about this in our eleventh year, but even Microsoft hasn't removed all the bugs from their operating systems ever.

The software we now have will work forever as far as we know. If they throw a curve at us, we will respond but it looks like everything is in great shape.

We also updated our website and added Pay Pal so you can download the software and use it right away, a big improvement on having to deliver a disk by mail.

The most exciting and the best improvement was developing the first call chart. We have been trying to do this for three years but was successful finally. Kudos to Kevin Stockton our new programmer and webmaster for finally moving us forward.

I don't think the average end user has any idea how much this will aid in the handicapping process. This is a powerful tool.

The chart is a visualization of the Predict system. The chart shows the relative position of the horses at the first call. It is so much more dynamic looking at a chart than just looking at numbers. Look at the chart before every race you are going to wager on. You will be able to locate the lone front runner or runners easily. Also and this is the concept that not everyone will grasp, but as you continue to use the chart, patterns will evolve that give you insight into the pace of the race you never had before.

When the horses are spaced the race is easier to handicap. Sometimes when the horses are clumped together it is a more unpredictable race and maybe it should be skipped. But this seems to make the Gold and the Power the best way to go.

We will continue to evaluate our results by the scientific method. This means using the first four choices in each system and pointing out to you which system is strongest at which track. In the past everyone was a winner or a loser by using this approach. But with the chart there will be some changes. We have noted when the horses line up that the horses on the left of the chart are obviously the inside horses. Certain tracks show a bias inside and outside and at times, the end user should take advantage of this. At times I have boxed the four inside horses and have hit some huge payoffs. But I can not report this as a "system" win because it is not the first four horses. So now there is a more subtle art to varying the system and some players will get it and others won't. This is not a cop out but just a comment on how powerful the charts can be in evaluating a race.

In closing I must mention the change in racing with the new artificial tracks. At first we were worried that this would ruin racing but even though it is still new, we have noted some trends. The "cushioned" track as used at Hollywood Park doesn't seem to change the results much over the old track. The Poly Track is a whole other story. It is only the first year at Keeneland and this has always been a tough track but the payoffs have been huge and reflect the difficulty of the handicapping. So we are reserving our judgment until there is a second meet. There are some interesting trends noted at Turfway. The Power numbers seem to be holding up, especially in playing the exactas. Also in the sprints when there are two horses way above the rest on the chart we have noted they stay and produce some high payoffs. This week on December 27 and December 28 this was evident.

So the future while still cloudy is still hopeful. For now we are going into the new year. Gulfstream is opening on January 3,2007 with it's same track, Aqueduct will be running through the spring with it's same track, Santa Anita will be running this last meet with it's same track, so for now everything is pretty much the same.

So Happy New Year and let us enjoy this time in racing with a year full of winners before they change too many other tracks.

**TIP**- December 7, 2006

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We have spent a lot of time evaluating Hollywood Park since it opened and in the not too far future we will have some interesting stats to give you. But until then, I can tell you we are all taking a deep breath at Helfman Computer Inc. The speed is holding and the charts are making a huge difference. We did not see this with the Poly track at Keenland. So it makes a big difference which artificial surface is being used. And remember Bay Meadows has already made a decision to use a third type of artificial surface. So we are not as worried about our handicapping future as much as previously. At this juncture we are only hoping the "cushioned" track will be utilized more than the poly track.

Also we are compiling statistics at Turfway and the good news there is in the second go around where we can again use the Power numbers we are seeing some positive results here also. I had a feeling the Power numbers might hold up because they can be used at any track in the past as a system of its own. Stay tuned...more later.

MASTERY OVER AQUEDUCT CONTINUES- December 6th, 2006

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Race #3- 1 mile and 70 yards on the dirt, Allowance Optional Claiming, 2 year olds. The amazing thing about this race is there are only 5 horses entered. The Gold picked 1-2-5-3. The 2-5 exacta pays $88.50 snd the 2-5-3 tri paid $350.50!! Another example of dispelling the theory that you can not have a good payoff with only 5 horses in a race.

Race #6- 6 furlongs inner dirt, Maiden Special Weight, 3 year olds and up. The Gold picked 10-9-5-4 and the Power picked 5-7-9-10. The 9-10 exacta paid $198.00 and the 9-10-5 tri paid $1,387.00!! The reason I show you this race is there were 4 first time starters and two of them were the favorite and the second choice. Often if the first time starters do not run there are box car payoffs.

We had some smaller tris and exactas but I want to move on to Hawthorne on the same day.

Race #1- 1 mile and 70 yards on the dirt, Claimimg, fillies and mares 3 year olds and up. The Predict picked 3-6-4-2. Yes I know we usually play the Gold but this is a perfect example of using the first call chart. The 3-6-4 sit 5 lengths above the other horses and they are not speed horses sitting almost 5 lengths from the danger line. In this scenario many times they stay up. The 3-6 exacta paid $66.80 and the 3-6-4 tri paid $292.40.

Race #2- 6.5 furlongd on the dirt, Maiden Claiming, 3 year olds and up. The Gold picked 1-5-3-4. The 4-1 exacta paid $68 and the 4-1-5 tri paid $179.20. The Predict also had the 4-1-5.

Race #8- 6 furlongs on the dirt, Claiming, 3 year olds and up. The Predict picked 7-6-9-10. The 7-10 exacta paid $107.20 and the 7-10-9 tri paid $1,112.60.

FORMULA CRUSHES AQUEDUCT- DECEMBER 2, 2006

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What a day at Aqueduct on Saturday December 2nd. We won 4 tris and had a huge day.

Race#1- 1 mile and 70 yards on the dirt,Allowance Optional, for 3 year old's and up. The Gold picked 7-3-1-5. The 1-5 exacta paid $93.50 and the 1-5-3 tri paid $208.50.

Race #2- 6 furlongs on the dirt,Maiden Claiming, 3 year old's and up. The predict picked 1-6-8-5. The 8-1 exacta paid 57.50 and the tri paid $1,169.00!! The chart showed the 1 and 6 alone in front and the 8 was 2 lengths behind them. Great win.

Race #6-i mile and 70 yards on the dirt,Maiden Special, New York 2 year old's. The Predict picked 5-8-1A-3. The 3-5 exacta paid $18.80 and the 3-5-1A tri paid $71.50. This is another race that the chart clearly showed all four picks alone in front.

Race #7- 1 and 1/2 miles on the dirt, Stakes, 3 year old's and up. The Gold picked 8-5-4-1.The 8-1 exacta paid 125.00. The 8-1-4 tri paid $1,671.00!!! This finished off a great day at the Big A.

SADLY CHURCHILL DOWNS CLOSES BUT NEWS NOT ALL BAD-Nov25,2006

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Churchill Downs closed on November 25th which depresses us each year. We had a good meet as usual. We still have some good things to look forward to though. Aqueduct is now running on the inner dirt course till sometime in March or April. We always look forward to this and ironically in a way this represents a sort of artificial surface which now is the politically correct thing to do. So at least Aqueduct will be safe until next year. Also Gulfstream is opening on January 3rd and they just put in a new track 2 years ago at a huge expense, so I can't see them changing their surface in the near future.

The two things I read recently which surprised me is one that Arlington Park is considering putting in an artificial surface by NEXT year and there is some talk about Churchill Downs making a change. Arlington Park is one of our favorite tracks, one that we count on for huge prices. Our systems picks up the bias at this track, so if I has known they were considering a change I would have gone to the races a lot more last summer.

There was no such talk about Churchill till after the Breeders Cup this year. Two horses were injured in the Distaff. Also there was a bias on horses on the rail. The first 4 Breeders Cup races were won by horse #1, which in itself is statistically unusual. But I have found this to be true at all BIG days, especially Breeders Cup day. The host track is getting world wide exposure and they like to make the track lightening fast to hopefully break a worlds record. In doing so they usually scrape the dirt surface which makes it a harder surface which in turns makes it a more dangerous surface for these very expensive animals.

For sure the new artificial surfaces have proven to be safer. Less horses are injured and less are needed to be destroyed. Also there is less cancellation of racing for bad weather conditions. Both of these has been proved at Turfway. So for sure if there are less cancellations, the tracks bottom line financially is helped and this is what it is all about. It is a business and they are only interested in their profit margin.

So with all this in mind, we are going to be doing some massive research this winter so we can pass on to my end users the best way to go.

So far we have two kind of artificial surfaces, the Poly track which is at Turfway, Keeneland and Woodbine. A second type has been installed at Hollywood Park, the "cushioned" surface. This track is obviously a different surface than the Poly track and early returns show me so far it is more consistent and conducive to our traditional handicapping.

For starters let us look at the results at Hollywood track on November 25th.

Race #3- 6 furlongs on the Turf,Grade 3 Stakes race for 3 year old's and upward. The Predict picked 1-3-4-5. At Hollywood Park all prices for exactas and tris are based on $1 bets. The 5-1 exacta paid $20.40. The 5-1-3 tri paid $73.30.

Race 4- 6 furlongs on the turf Grade 3 Stakes for 3 year old's and upward. The Predict picked 4-7-2-8. The 8-7 exacta paid $57.60 and the 8-7-2 tri paid $477.80!! But the good news is the chart showed the 4-7-2-8 way above the other horses and the bad news is both the 3rd and 4th races were turf races, so the "cushioned" track didn't come into play.

However Race #5 was 7 furlongs on the "cushioned track". The Gold picked 8-2-5-4. The 8-5 exacta paid $36.80, the 8-5-2 tri paid $156.00 and the 8-5-3-4 superfecta paid $1000.70!! So hope still prevails. More later.

Racing After The Cup

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There is a racing life after the cup. There always is in sports the desire to win on the big days, such as the Super Bowl, Ncaa basketball finals, College football championship etc, but after the adrenalin settles down, we are left with the reality of daily living. In racing I find this probably is more prevalent than in any other sport. For starters it is the only sport that runs 365 days per year. And it only takes one good race to make you a winner.

Every one has their favorite tracks. I can't check them all out but for now mine are Aqueduct and of course Churchill Downs.

Last Friday November 10th was a good day for our software at Churchill.

Race #2- 6 furlong claiming race for 2 year olds on the dirt. The Predict picked 5-6-4-2. The 4-6 exacta paid $110.20 and the 4-6-2 trifecta paid $542.40.

Race #7- 6 furlongs for fillies and mares on the dirt. The Predict picked 5-7-2-1. The 1-7 exacta paid $139.60.

Race #9- 6 and 1/2 furlongs Allowance race on the dirt. The Gold picked 4-2-5-6. The 4-5 exacta paid $38.80 and the 4-6-6 tri paid #434.40 to wrap up a good day at Churchill.

Churchill runs through November 25th. Aqueduct runs into the spring and sometime in December they switch to the winter track which has a bias for the front runners.

BREEDERS CUP DAY

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Well it wasn't the Gold at the end of the rainbow but on Breeders Cup Day we held our own.

It certainly helped to start the day off right and put us in a more relaxed mood by capturing race #1. As explained before we had to use only the Gold and the Predict, so since race #1 was 6 furlongs on the dirt the Predict picked 5-9-12-7. The $2 exacta 5-7 paid $100.00 and the $2 trifecta 5-7-12 paid 406.60. This alerted us that the track might be unusually fast(as is the case with most Breeders Cup tracks in the past), and maybe we would use both in some of the races. Another clue was the 6 furlongs was run in fractions 21.70;44.67;56.72;1:09.61!! This is extremely fast for Churchill Downs.

Race #3- The first Breeders Cup race, 1 mile and 1/16th on the dirt the Gold picked 1-9-12-4. The 1-4 exacta paid $50.80. The monitor we were watching the race on showed the 1-4 going 1st and second all the way down the stretch with the 12 horse running third. The camera zoomed in on the first two horses and we had to wait to see about the tri and the #7 horse passed the #12 horse..ouch. the tri paid $597 and the 12 horse was 21/1 so it would have paid more. Close doesn't count in horse racing.

Race #4- Juvenile 2 year old race, 1 mile and 1/16th on the dirt. The Gold picked 9-6-5-3 which was a bust. However the Predict picked 9-14-7-1. If you looked at the first call chart with our new update, you could see that 9 horses were above the danger line which left 5 horses coming from behind, much too much speed for this race. The Predict picked 9-14-7-1. The 1-9 exacta paid $181.20 and the 1-9-7 tri paid $996.00. This was the crucial race of the day as to being profitable or not. I received several Emails from users who used the Predict and were elated. Here again the first call chart made all the difference in the world as how to bet this race.

Race # 10- The Classic, 1 and 1/4th miles on the dirt. The Gold picked 3-11-4-5. The 11-3 exacta paid $39.60. Invasor beat Bernadini who went off $1.10/1.

Unfortunately that was it for the day. Which just proves again to me that the toughest day to handicap all year every year is Breeders Cup because there are 14 horses in each race and any one of them can beat you. This is not like every day racing. I personally think the triple crown is much easier than this day.

But all in all it wasn't too bad. To help matters on this day, the only other track I played was Aqueduct. Because of a rain out the week before they had 7 races, 5 of these were Stakes and we could use the Power for all of their Stakes Races.

Race #3- 1 mile and 1/8th on the dirt for fillies and mares three years old and upward. There were only 6 horses in the race. The 5 horse(Teammate) went off $.45/1. The Power picked 4-2-3-6. The #5 horse wasn't even included. The 4-6 exacta paid $171.50 and the 4-6-2 tri paid $1,150.00!! Good old Aqueduct came through when you needed it the most to wrap up a profitable day.

ARE YOU READY FOR THE CUP?

This will be the last report before the Breeders Cup. After watching Churchill Downs the last two days, we feel ready and confident. Of course you would have to be a fool to think you can guarantee anything on this toughest day of racing. But the last few days give us some hope.

On November 1st Churchill came up sloppy. Even so we had some interesting results. Race 1 was 6 furlongs on the dirt. The Predict picked 3-11-6-2. The 3-2 exacta paid $94.40. We did not have the tri.

The 2nd race was 6 and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt. The Gold picked 3-1-2-4. The 4-3 exacta paid $104.80 and the 4-3-1 tri paid $351.60.

The eighth race was one mile and 1/16th on the dirt. The Gold picked 1A-6-3-5. The 3-1A exacta paid $20.20 and the 3-1A-5 tri paid $51.00.

All in all not the best day but then on November 2nd the track was listed as fast. Right out of the chute in the 1st race which was one mile on the dirt, the Gold picked 9-6-5-3. The 9-6 exacta paid $307.80 and the 9-6-3 tri paid $2,035.20!!

In the 8th race one mile on the dirt(it was taken off the turf), the Gold picked 9-6-2-5. The 2-9 exacta paid $82.00 and the 2-9-6 tri paid $232.60.

This is enough to raise our hopes for Saturday. It will only take one or two tris to make it a great day. I expect the prices to be quite hefty.

For those who are interested I have seen the picks and feel good about them. If interested you can download the program after paying Pay Pal. The program will work imediately and we will mail you a password to use within five days which will keep the program working indefinitely.

By the way the big A has been doing great on the software all week but we are focused on the Cup.

Churchill Downs Begins Breeders Cup Week Tomorrow - Oct 31,2006

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Well it is finally here, Breeders Cup week at Churchill. Yes I am aware that they already had one day of racing on Sunday October 29th. There were 11 races that day and most of them were filled with first time starters. I thought it was a bad card for wagering and spent the day watching NFL football.

But this week starts in earnest tomorrow. There are some important points I must mention. Be very careful about using the Power numbers. If a horse has run over a polytrack in his last race, he will have a lower Power number than usual. This is because the Power numbers are based on 9 handicapping factors, two of which are DRF speed ratings and variants. So any horse who is running at Churchill from Keeneland will be affected. The same with horses running from Woodbine. I know that there are several horses entered in the Breeders Cup races from Woodbine, so in those races I suggest using either the Gold or the Predict. The Predict for races 6 furlongs or less and the Gold for routes over 6 furlongs on the dirt and the turf.

Once a horse has run once over the track his Power number will be okay the second time over the track. It will get complicated, so to be safe just focus mainly on the Gold and the Predict. I am not worried at Churchill, we will have our share of winners there, we always do.

Also once a meet is finished, the second meet over the track will have ratings, so eventually it will take care of itself.

Tomorrow is the first day of racing over the new polytrack at Hollywood. Another interesting factor is the company that put the new track on at Keeneland is not the same company that was used for Hollywood. They went to a European company who has been used by many foreign tracks, so you can be sure that track will run differentlt than Keeneland. It will be intersting to watch the results.

One good hope for the Cup this week, is there will be many foreign shippers. Our software is set up to handicap these horses in the Gold. This will I beleive give us an edge over other software where most of them can not handle this data. So what we lose in the Power numbers we will gain in the Gold.

Knowing all this was on the horizon was why we came out with the new chart in our last update. I think we have the whole arsenal now to attack the races. Bring on Churchill...we are ready!!

Don't forget Aqueduct is now opened and nothing has changed there.

THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM - Oct 19,2006

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Where are we in racing at this moment? Summer has given into fall, the leaves are changing. Where I live in Las Vegas. the unbearable heat of summer is being replaced by moderate weather. In general this is not a good time for racing. I think the best time is in the spring before the triple crown. But going to the races is pretty much a year around activity.

If you want, there of course is plenty of action. Belmont which I highly recommend is still running and even when the meet is over, the big A opens for an extended time. Arlington Park which we love is closed and in Chicago the action is now at Hawthorne. I never was thrilled with Hawthorne because it is not the speed track Arlington is, but I must admit I have been pleasantly surprised by how well the Gold system does there.

I have even tried Delaware and find this a good system for the Predict.

So far I have been disappointed with Keeneland. Originally I thought it did well on the Gold but it is not consistent. This meet has always been tough to handicap but now there seems to be no rhyme or reason as how it runs. The prices reflect this. Our system has done terrible there the past week. I have checked other handicapping systems and they all seem to be having trouble. At this point I would advise staying away from it. I think eventually it might settle down, especially in the spring when we have more accurate DRF speed ratings and variants. Then the Power numbers should shine. Of course this is such an important concept because what we are really talking about is the future of racing. This is the first meet using the new Polytrack. Keeneland is only opened for 6 weeks a year so it is not critical. But Hollywood is next and Delmar will follow. As a matter of fact it has been legislated that all California tracks go to the new surface.

But lurking in the near future is the Oct 29th opening of Churchill Downs which will be their Breeder's Cup meet. I can hardly wait for many reasons. We always do well at Churchill especially on the Gold in route races on the dirt and the turf. But best of all we have a real shot at doing well on Breeder's Cup day. The prices are always fabulous on this day, so you only need one winning tri to do well. This will take place on November 4th which is only a few weeks away.

Following this we will be approaching winter racing. The big A on its winter surface is always good for the Predict. Gulfstream opens after the first of the year and this meet is the best to see the early three year old races as we approach the Derby. I love Gulfstream and yes we do very well there.

So even if there appears to be a temporary lull, the storm is right around the corner.

STILL ROCKING AND ROLLING AT BELMONT

================

Over this weekend we are still having a great meet at Belmont. Let us begin with October 14th. Starting off with Race #2-one mile on the dirt. The predict picked 2-5-6-8. The #2 horse was above the danger line, he was the key in the race, went off 6.7/1 and although did not win held on for 3rd. The 5-6 exacta paid $45.40 and the tri paid $283.50.

The fourth race is a good race to demonstrate the power of the chart. The Predict picked 5-10-3-1. The 5 horse is touching the danger line but is over two lengths ahead of the field. It is the clear front runner. He only had two previous races, both on the turf and didn't finish closer than 11 lengths. This is the type of horse I looked for over 45 years before I developed the Gold and the Power. He went off 66/1 and won the race and paid $134.00. The 5-1 exacta paid $667.00!! The #5 horse would be overlooked by most handicappers but it secured a winning day at Belmont. Also this demonstrates the key difference between our software and other systems. Most systems would not have this horse as a front runner because they would be using times to pick out the front runner and not equations as we do.

Even though we did not have an exotic hit in the 7th race, it should be mentioned for analyzing reasons. This race is another mile on the dirt. The chart shows 5 horses above the line, which means much too much speed. So the horse at the back of the chart is the key horse in the race #8. His last past performance shows a race at Arlington Park in the slop where he closed to a nose. Well he went off at 12.50/1 and won coming from behind by 1 and 3/4 lengths. He made a move from eighth place and all the speed in the race set up this closer. He paid $27.00 to win and $13.20 to place.

One of the reasons I even bring up this race is, it was one of the races this weekend in the Bris on line qualifying contest. It was the perfect horse to choose and it propelled me into the top 100, to make me eligible for the final round of 300. I must admit I'm usually terrible in contests because I think it is easier to pick 4 horses to box in the exacta and tri than to pick one horse to win.

Moving along to Sunday at Belmont, the third race was a snap but not profitable. The predict picked 4-5-2-3 and the chart showed there was definitrly the play. The 5-4 exacta paid $13.20 and the 5-4-3 tri paid $45.20.

The most interesting race was the 6th race, one mile and one eighth on the turf. You couldn't go wrong in the race because all three systems had the 11-2. The chart showed this was going to be a tough race for the front runners, Actually the Gold picked 6-2-11-8. The Predict picked 1-2-5-11 with the #8 horse being the 5th choice. As I said previously you couldn't go wrong because the 11-2 exacta paid $130, but the Gold selection the 11-2-8 tri a whopping $1018.

In the 10th race, 10 furlongs on the turf the Gold picked 7-10-6-8. The 8-7 exacta paid $88.00 and the 8-7-6 tri paid $295.00.

Evaluation of the Polytrack at Keeneland after the first two days

============

With interest and some trepidation Keeneland opened it's fall season with the new polytrack. To be fair Keeneland was always a tough track in the past even without the polytrack. It was usually just a warm up for the upcoming fall Churchill meet which was always our favorite. So we have analyzed the first two days and present the results.

Keeneland's turf track has not changed. In the past it was always best in the Predict for non stakes races and best in the Gold for stakes races.

Keeneland opened on October 7th. It had 10 races. I am eliminating the 5th race because it had too many first time starters. However the gold won the race but still I am eliminating it.

In race #3 the gold exacta 8-3 won and paid $97.80.

In race#4 on the turf the Predict won, the 4-3 exacta paid $17.80 and the 4-3-8 tri paid $103.60.

In race #6 the Gold exacta 7-5 paid $120.00

Added together the exactas and the tri's the return was $338.20 and since we bet only 9 races the cost was $324, thus a return of +$14.20. Certainly not much to write home about but at least the first day was on the plus side!! The conclusion I made was the polytrack seems to do better on the Gold. Besides in a few weeks the power numbers won't mean anything. They will be low because in a first year on any new track there usually isn't any DRF speed figures or variants which figure in our power numbers.

DAY #2 AT KEENELAND LANDS ANOTHER BOMB

========

Day two at Keeneland was an important day as far as Breeder Cup implications are concerned. There were several pre Breeder Cup races that were part of a national Pick four.

Race #3 at Keeneland the Gold had the 2-8 exacta for $14.80 and the 2-8-5 tri for $23.40.

But the two exciting races were the 8th and the 9th races both part of the National pick four. In race 8 the Gold picked 1-2-7-6. The 2-1 exacta paid $26.00 and the 2-1 -7 tri paid $113.80.

But the 9th race was the topper. The Gold picked 7-1-4-3. The 3-4 exacta paid $99.60 and the 3-4-7 tri paid $ 2,159.80!!

Now that needs further evaluation. The predict picked 7-4 to get the lead and the first call chart showed the 7-4 way in front of the field. This was a turf race and the 7-4 took an early lead. The #3 horse came from behind at the end and just nipped the 4 horse, otherwise the payoffs would have been even more astronomical.

But the main point here is the #3 horse Aussie Rules was a foreign shipper and had no American data. Our equations take the data we have and we are able to extrapolate a figure for the GOLD only. So many handicapping systems would not have had the #3 horse but we did. Once again the new first call chart on the turf showed what a good wagering race this was.

ANOTHER TURF BOMB AT BELMONT

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Turf races have produced big payoffs at Belmont all year. Wednesday September 27, 2006 was no exception, one mile and 1/8th on the turf for 3 year olds and up. The predict picked 10-5-9-2. The 2-9 exacta paid $63, the 2-9-5 trifecta paid $347 and the 2-9-5-10 paid $5140,00!! I know a lot of you don't want to invest another $24 but of our four choices the #2 was the lowest odds, so maybe another $6 was not out of the question.

FANTASTIC DAY AT THE RACES- September 15,2006

When you least expect it, you do the best. One thing I have learned over the years is you can not force your luck. The only class track that was opened on September 15th was Belmont. I am not downgrading your favorite track but for me Arlington Park closed, Delmar closed, so Belmont was the main one open. I am used to playing more than one track, so I loaded down Golden Gate and Hawthorne, neither one that I am used to playing.

When I got to the OTB, I found it raining at Belmont and the track was very sloppy. This was a good thing because the slop always helps the Predict and with the new graph at my fingertips, I felt confident it would be a good day at Belmont. Well it was but you had to be patient. With all off the turf there was a slew of scratches, many first time starters, so nothing much happened until the 7th race. But then we won the 7th,8th and 9th race to finish up with a very good day at Belmont.

In the seventh race the Predict picked 1-5-2-4. The graph showed they were spread, therefore not pressed. The 2-5 exacta paid $91.00; the 2-5-4 tri paid $256.50; the 2-5-4-1 superfecta paid $1072.00.

In the eighth race the predict picked 8-6-3-2. The 8 horse(STARCASTIC) was the only one above the danger line and looked on the graph to get about a 5 length lead. The sharp New York bettors sent him off about 2/5. Even so the 8-6 exacta paid $26.60 and the 8-6-2 tri paid $100; not too bad with such an overwhelming favorite.

The ninth race was almost a duplication of the race I analyzed on September 13th. The predict picked 10-5-4-8 and the graph showed them way ahead of the field. The 8-4 exacta paid $64, the 8-4-5 tri paid $164.50 and the 8-4-5-10 super paid $1390.00 to finish off a good day at Belmont.

But this was not the end of the day. Hawthorne and Golden Gate had late starting times. I knew from past experience that Hawthorne is a deep track. That is why I like Arlington so much over this Chicago track. I was ahead so I played the Gold in race 1 even though it was a 6 furlong race. The Gold picked 3-5-1-6. The 1-5 exacta paid $42.20 and the 1-5-3 tri paid $262.20.

The best is yet to come. Golden Gates first race was on the turf. I seriously had never played Golden Gate before so I had no idea what to do and watched the race. The Power picked 7-2-5-8. The 2-5 exacta paid $53.20 and the 2-5-7 tri paid $128.20. I noticed the fourth race was also on the turf, so I decided to stay for this last race.

I played the Power because it won the turf in race 1. The Power picked 1-3-8-7. The 1 horse went off at 1.50/1; the 3 horse went off at 2.10/1; the 8 horse went off at 83.80/1 and the 7 horse went off at 31.60/1. The 8-7 exacta paid for $1- $459.90 and 8-7-3 tri for $1 paid $4,073.00!!! I can't tell you what won the rest of the day because I left. Another example of staying alert.

But it gave me an idea. Maybe you can teach an old dog new tricks. There are so many tracks that I have never played. So I am asking you who have the software to give me feedback on the tracks you do the best at and I will pass it on to other players on this news page.

BELMONT PARK TIPS:

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So far Belmont Park is doing well with our software; Wednesday September 13 allows us an example of what we are trying to do. In general Belmont is a deeper track than either Saratoga or Aqueduct. This makes it a better play for the Gold on the dirt track. But so far the turf favors the front runners. Check out the 4th race on October 13th. The Predict picked 1A-3-6-1-11. We box 4 horses and get 5 because of the entry. For those of you who have the graph the 1A,3,6 are bunched up right under the danger line. They have a 2 length lead on the 1 and another 2 length lead over the 11. All the rest of the horses are bunched within 3 lengths at the back. I will try to show what the graph looked like:

------------------------

1A

6 3

1

11

8

2 5

7

10 9

The actual graph looks better but this is as good as I can do with a text file. The point here is 1-6-3 get an easy lead at the quarter The times were actually fast 22.34 46.79 1:10.71 and 1:34.99. This was 1 mile on the turf.

What this tells me is the turf is lightening fast. They can let the grass grow but this won't be overnight. Anyhow the 6-3 exacta paid $206.50 and the 6-3-1 tri paid $919.00. The Gold picked 1-6-3-1A-2 which is exactly how they finished. Too bad it wasn't a superfecta race.

I don't think you could appreciate the advantage you have without seeing the first call graph. Besides this race it tells you when there is no advantage and for those who are disciplined you could pass certain races. We also had the first race in the Gold and the last race in the Power, good payoffs too. But I wanted everyone to mainly see the 4th race.

TIP: Play the PREDICT on the turf at Belmont and the graph gives you a real advantage after you watch it awhile.

ARLINGTON PARK RESPONDS AS PREDICTED- Sept 09

=================

Just a few days ago I mentioned to take advantage of Arlington, because the meet ends September 12. It always has favored speed and has been good with the Predict.

Starting with Race 2- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up,allowance. The Predict picked 5-4-3-2. The 5-2 exacta paid $52 and the 5-2-3 tri paid $138.00.

Race 3- The predict picked 2-4-6-5. The 4-2 exacta paid $49.40 and the 4-2-6 tri paid $155.70.

Race 7- The predict picked 2-3-4-1. The 1-4 exacta paid $76.20. The 1-4-2- tri paid $169.20.

The 9th race- The predict picked 6-8-1-3, The 1-8 exacta paid $19.80, the 1-8=6 tri paid $61.60 and the 1-8-6-3 superfecta paid $301.60.

Okay so there were no fantastic prices but consistency counts also. At least 3 of the races had to be passed on because of too many first time starters.

The most interesting race was the ninth race. The new graph clearly showed the 1-8-6-3 were grouped together way ahead of the rest of the field. Although I usually don't advocate superfecta betting, if there ever was a race where it should have been bet was this one. The speed had held all day long and here were four horses that were clumped, so you had to take advantage of the bias.

I have been getting feedback that keeping up the news page is a good thing. I have also had many Emails expressing how much the graph is helping. I think our handicappers are beginning to understand pace better.

GREAT LABOR DAY WEEKEND!!

==========================

I am really sorry to see the Labor Day weekend ending for many reasons. The first is that we had a super weekend as far as profits. I guess this is always the bottom line. But there are so many other things on my mind.

I am not going into a detailed synopsis of the weekend but there are a few race highlights I should mention. Sadly Saratoga is now closed for another year. We did exceptionally well for the entire meet. On Friday September 1,the 9th race, one mile and 1/8th on the turf,3 years old and up, Special Maiden Weight. The Power picked 11-3-7-5. The 3-11 exacta paid $174.50 and the 3-11-7 tri paid $2,324!!

This was actually upstaged the following day in of all races "The Woodward" which was the 9th and featured race. This marks the first year this stakes race was at Saratoga having been moved from Belmont. It is more impressive considering some of the horses who were entered, such as Funny Cide, Suave, Flower Alley etc. The race was 1 and one eight mile, Grade 1 Stakes race for 3 year old's and up. The Gold picked 7-8-3-5. What is interesting is I recorded the race from ESPN. The announcers said prior to the race even though the track looked fast, it really wasn't. The trainers had remarked during the day that the track seemed deep, which sets it up for the Gold. The 8-7 exacta paid $929 and the 8-7-5 tri paid $5,567!!! See why we are so sad Saratoga has closed.

But Arlington Park is still open for another week. All summer long it has been consistent and you can always count on it. Take advantage of the next week,it doesn't open again till May. An example is the second race on Labor Day, Sept 4. The race was one mile and 1/16th on the turf, 3 and 4 year old's Illinois registered, conceived and or foaled, Maiden Special Weight. The predict picked 1-5-4-2. The 2-1 exacta paid $134.60 and the 2-1-4 tri paid $927.40!! For those who have the new software, it was evident from the graph that this was the right play. I can not emphasize how important it is to check the graph. There is no way I can explain it, you must see for yourself.

This is what is on my mind this weekend. I can not list certain winners that we had because they were not in our Predict, Gold or Power picks. But the graph unmasks the bias and this weekend it was the back closers at Saratoga on the turf. We picked up a ton of exactas and a few large tris by doing this. I know the average person will be skeptical. But it is true. What is peaking my interest here is that I have found out the situation with the Polytrack is more acute than I thought. Woodbine opened with The Polytrack; Hollywood is opening in October with the Polytrack and Keeneland's fall meet will have the new Polytack. Wow, where have I been. I even got a call from a New Yorker who read the possibility exists that Aqueduct will do the same next year.

The first year of a new track there are no DRF speed ratings or Variants. This does effect the Power ratings. We will have to wait a year before there are valid speed ratings. Two years ago the same thing happened at Gulfstream. For our software no real problem, we will concentrate on the Gold and the Predict. But the first call graph will still be the same. I have a feeling we will even have more of an edge than before. How much this will change handicapping remains to be seen. So in mind the Graph is the key.

WHAT LIES AHEAD- August 29,2006

===============

We are finishing up the summer. There still is the big Labor Day holiday in front of us. Then for all practical purposes summer racing will give way to the fall. Delmar is open till 9/6/2006; Saratoga is opened through 9/04/2006; Arlington Park is opened through 9/12/2006. These are our favorite tracks. Of course there are a slew of tracks still open.

In general how did the summer racing go. Almost as always, Saratoga is easier to handicap, especially with our software. We had a good meet at Saratoga. Delmar is not as consistant but this is the story every year. But the biggest payoffs and the most exciting racing (as far as results are concerned) is still Arlington Park. There have been some fantastic days this year as usual.

What lies ahead? In California following the closing of Delmar many fairs are opening. I personally am not a proponent of these tracks. But we will be watching Turfway very carefully this year. Last year because of the new Polytrack, I personally didn't track it very closely. But Keeneland will be opening in October with its own Polytrack. Is there any bias? Will one Polytrack run the same as another or will there be differences? Will it make handicapping easier? Will comparable speed ratings over one Polytrack be helpful on the next one? Will this help make racing figures more universal? Interesting stuff to be sure, we will keep you posted. Besides next year the polytack will be at Delmar.

The most exciting thing for us is the upcoming Breeders Cup. Why? Because this year it is at Churchill Downs where our software always shines. Some Breeders Cups have not excited us because they were run at Woodbine or other tracks where we didn't play. But Churchill Downs, wow I can hardly wait. There always are fantastic payoffs and all you have to do is hit one of them. It is very unusual for us to be shut out at Churchill. Bring it on!!!

TRAVERS DAY WAS GOOD

===================

Travers day was overall good as predicted by the tip. Below I suggested that on Travers day, the track usually is lightening fast to showcase the track. In the third race which was a 7 furlong Allowance race for 3 year olds and up, nonwinners of two. The Predict picked 5-3-1-2 and the 3-1 exacta paid $47.60 and the 3-1-2 tri paid $190.50.

The fourth race which was on the inner turf, one mile and 1/16th, optional claiming for three year olds and up, nonwinners of three. There was a slew of scratches and the track was firm, so there were only six entries. As talked about last week when the route races at Saratoga were won by the Gold, the same prevailed here and set up a later race also. The Gold picked 5-7-6-1 and the 5-1 exacta paid $48, while the 5-1-6 tri paid $111.50.

The sixth race was the next on the turf, one mile and 1/8th, 3 years old amd up, allowance race. The Gold picked 9-1-6-10. the 1-9 exacta paid $24.40 and the 1-9-10 tri paid $372.00. The saving grace in this race was the 10 horse, Exalted Cat went off 32.50/1 which made for a decent tri.

The eighth race was also on the inner turf,one mile and 1/16th, 3 year olds and up, mares and fillies, Grade 2 Stakes Handicap. The Gold picked 2-7- 8-3. The The 7-3 exacta paid $52.00. We missed the tri.

The ninth race was also on the turf, one mile and 1/8th, 3 years old and up, grade 2 stakes handicap. The Gold did not pick this race. The reason I am even including it on the news page is to make a point. There was too much speed in the race, the #5 and the #9 were speed burners. The Predict picked 1-2-6-8. These were the high Hfnumbers meaning because the race had too much speed the come from behind runners were the best bet. For those of you have the new graph this was clearly evident. The graph showed there were two horses above the danger line and the 1A,2,6 were sitting at the back. Well the 1-2 exacta paid $13.20 but the 1A-2-6 tri paid $104.50. It could easily have been had for an additional bet for $6.00.

The 10th race was the Kings Bishop, 7 furlongs ,3 year olds Grade I Stakes. Grade I are the very best horses so the Power should be used for this race. The Power picked 2-5-4-6. The 2-5 exacta paid $52.00 and the tri paid $173.00

The 11th race was "The Travers". It was not a good betting race with only six starters. The Gold and the Power both picked it but there was no reason to bet it because of the poor payoffs. I guess Bernardini scared everyone away. He definitely is a candidate for horse of the year in the three year old division.

**TIP- August 25, 2006

===========

In an effort to keep this new page a help to our users, especilly since we have the new release Helfman Formula 2007. In the new release you can connect to the web site from within the software, if you are connected to the internet. This is easily done by going to about and clicking on website to the right.

Todays tip is tomorrow august 26, 2006 is the Travers from Saratoga. Even though there are only 7 horses entered for the race, traditionally Travers day is usually a good day for the system. In an effort to showcase Saratoga because the viewing audience is high, they usually make the track exceptionally fast which is great for the Helfman Predict. Watch for races where there are lone front runners and the early speed horses are spaced. The new graph will show this.

The point is even if the Travers is not a good betting race, the rest of the card sets up for high payoffs.

PACIFIC CLASSIC DAY AT DELMAR

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Delmar for the past ten years has been a very difficult track to win at since they changed the track. I have been staying away from this track in general. Of interest is after the meet is over, they will tear up the track, and put on the new polytrack. They are doing the same thing at Keeneland. Who knows how many other tracks will do this? So I have been concentrating on the turf races at Delmar. In the manual in general I say the Gold is better for turf races. This is true for Churchill Downs for example. If you only bet the Gold on the turf at Churchill, you will win a lot of races. Last week, see below, the Gold won big races on the turf at Saratoga and Arlington Park. The Arlington Million was a good example.

But you must always keep an open mind. At some tracks the turf is set up better for speed. And this may vary during a meet at the same track. I have said the most important variable is the track surface. Thia shows up in the Predict system the most. They can't do as much with the turf as they can with the dirt track but there are things that do affect the turf. For example they can cut the grass very short and this will favor the front runners; or they can let the grass grow very tall and this will favor the closers.

So you muat always be alert. I have had users write me and complain that the manual suggests you use the Gold on the turf in route races but then I point out the winners in the Predict. It would be nice if evrything was so simple. But the astute handicapper has to see what is winning on a given day and be able to adjust to change. This is why I have added the graph, so you can understand pace better.

Well on Pacific Classic day, the 10th race was one mile on the turf, claiming race for four years olds abd upward. The predict picked 7-8-6-10. The 8-6 exacta paid $25.20. The 8-6-7 tri paid $229.60 (for 1$) and the 8-6-7-10 superfecta paid $1,041.70 (for 1$).

==================

SARATOGA BOMBSHELL- Aug 19, 2006

===================================

The turf races at Saratoga always lend themselves to possible huge payoffs. The 5th race at Saratoga was such a race. In the article below where we announced the release of Helfman Formula 2007, I said our favorite system was the Predict, the one we have been using for 53 years. The race was one mile and 1/16th on the turf; 3 year olds and up; an allowance race.

Not only did the Predict pick 11-4-7-2 but the 11 horse was a four star pick. For those of you who have the new graph, you can see the 11 horse is way above the danger line, which makes it a good bet, even if it was 45/1. Well the 11 went wire to wire and paid $91.00 to win. The 11-2 exacta paid $889.00 and the 11-2-4 trifecta paid $5572.00!!!

Great example of what I have been preaching.

HELFMAN FORMULA 2007 RELEASED

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August 16, 2006- Today we released Helfman Formula 2007, the new and improved software program. We are in our eleventh year of being in buisness. When we first started we had the original system which is now the Helfman Predict. This was our original pace system and has not been changed in 53 years. Later on we added the Gold and Power systems because of encouragement from our users who wanted to have more than one choice. We have been successful beyond our wildest dreams with the results of the Gold in route races and have found the Power can work as an independant system of its own at any track.

But because the Predict system was the original system and returned large payoffs for over fifty years, it remains our favorite system. The pace figures are very strong. What many users failed to grasp was this represented how the horses lined up at the first call. This is different and unique because we do not use times but calculate the first call by using a complex mathematical formula. The horses we predict will have the lead (especially the first four horses) are correct over 85% of the time. In this new release we have a visual graph of the first call. This will give you insight into the race that you never had before. They say one picture is worth a thousand words, thus this graph allows you to actually see the relative position of the horses at the first call. You will not only have a grasp of the pace of the race as never before but after using this, you will begin to understand certain patterns that will allow you to become a better handicapper.

Also in this new version, we have corrected all of the bugs that were in any previous releases of the software. We are proud and excited about this new release that not only will help your handicapping but make it more fun to go to the races.

ARLINGTON MILLION SMASHED - August 12 2006

==============================================

Here we are in the middle of the summer. Every year racing enthusiasts get their blood boiling when Delmar and Saratoga open. Both have their supporters as to which track is the best. I have been to both and they both have their charms. Saratoga is near Saratoga Springs and every year the Damon Runyan like characters show up to test their luck at the meet. Deep in tradition it is a restful spot which reminds me of Keeneland. However the rains can come up in a second to play havoc with the track. There are many first time starters and the handicapping is tough.

Delmar on the other hand is on the west coast and there hardly is any rain. The trackside announcer says, "The track condition is fast as usual", with a yawn. But again it is a tough track to win consistently. It is near Lajolla and the ocean, which lends itself to fabulous restaurants and shopping. It used to have a speed bias but they put a new track in about ten years ago. The track superintendent seems to have a field day because one day the track is great for speed but the very next day it might favor the closers.

Which brings us to Arlington Park which not only is a beautiful track but one of the best tracks to bet on, especially with its long meet from May to September. Every year I think the two best races in the summer are the Arlington Million and the Travers.

Today was Arlington Million day. It was the ninth race on the card.The race is one and a quarter miles on the turf. This year the Gold has been the most consistent on turf races. Well today was no exception. The Gold picked 11-10-5-2. The 2-10 exacta paid $70.60. The 2-10-5 trifecta paid $619.20.The 2-10-5-11 superfecta paid $1914.80!!We nailed it cold.

Just to make a point, the feature at Saratoga was the ninth race,"Sword Dancer". It was one and one half miles on the turf. The Gold picked 7-4-1-2. The 4-1 exacta paid $119.50. The 4-1-7 trifecta paid $791.00. The point I am trying to make is the winner #7- Grand Couturier was a foreign shipper. In most handicapping programs they say no data. But in our software we have devised a way to track these horses but ONLY in the Gold. Just another plus for our software.

The most exciting thing of all is our soon to be released Helfman Formula 2007. The predict formula which is the original Helfman Formula which has NOT CHANGED since 1953 is our pace system. It is based on the first quarter of the race. We believe that this is the most important part of the race. We have added graphics which shows the relative positions of the horses at the first quarter. It is an aerial view of the track at the first quarter. We have been working hard to make sure all the "bugs" have been removed. By George I think we have it and keep tuned in to let you know when it has been officially released. It will give you insight into every race you have never had before, Just click first call and you will see how the race sets up. I know we have our detractors who are non beleivers in our system but it will be an advantage to every one to see this graph even if you hate what we do. Also we are almost always right, way into 90% of the time of how the horses line up at the first quarter. Please be informed that this is based on mathematical equations and not track times. Over the last 50 years handicappers have argued with me about which horse will get the lead. They compare the first quarter times from various tracks. I can't tell you how often they are wrong. If only there was a way to bet who will have the lead at the first quarter but alas, I have not found any place where they take this bet.

Also in our new software you will be able to hit F1 and see the new manual. Also there is a way to hit website and go directly to our website. So the onus is on us to keep the news page updated for tips. All this is coming soon.

WHAT A DAY AT ARLINGTON PARK- JULY 21, 2006!!!!!

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It was probably one of the best days for our software ever at Arlington Park.

Starting with race 2- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 yrs old and up, Mares and Fillies Allowance race. The Predict picked 6-5-3-7. The 3-5 exacta paid $35.00(for $2). The 3-5-6 Trifecta paid $79.20.

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Race 3- 1 mile on the dirt,3&4 year old fillies only, Maiden

The Gold picked 1-2-7-3. The 7-3 exacta paid $186.80. The power also had the 7-3 exacta.

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Race 4- 6 furlongs on the dirt 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies- Claiming

The Predict picked 7-3-1-6. The 6-7 exacta paid $57.20. The 6-7-1- tri paid $259.00.

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Race 5- 6 and 1/2 furlongs, 3 years old and up. Claiming.

The Power picked 3-7-8-2. The 8-3 exacta paid $27.40. The 8-3-7- tri paid $87.00.

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Race 6- 1 mile and 1/8th on the Turf, 3 year olds and up, Allowance.

The Predict picked 7-5-8-2. The 8-2 exata paid $105.00. The 8-2-5 tri paid $342.00.

This is the key race for what happened later. The front runners on the turf held up even though it was a route race. In fact the 8 horse got the lead and the 2 was second and they held up the whole race. The turf was set up for speed on this day. Stay tuned.

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Race 7- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 yrs olds only, Allowance Open

The Power picked 4-1-6-5. The 4-6 exacta paid $22.20. The 4-6-1 tri paid $119.20.

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Race 8- 1 mile on the Turf, 3 year olds and up, Allowance open

Remember now we already have seen a speed bias for the front runners!!!

The Predict picked 4-10-2-3. The 3-10 exacta paid $218.20. The 10-3 exacta paid $258.00. It was a dead heat, so if you boxed the horses, you would have had both payoffs. The 3-10-2 tri paid $4600.80 and the 10-3-2 tri paid $6091.00!! Remember if you boxed the horses you would have had both payoffs.

By the way the 10-3-2-4 superfecta paid $17,245.20.

One of the best races this summer.

This was a bettable race. It should have been had with our system. The front runners on the turf often win at Arlington, plus we already had a race in the 6th that showed the turf was favoring the front runners. I have been told this is confusing, I know it is. What we are doing to help this situation is to develop a graph that visually shows the position of all the horses at the first call. This will help make it apparent when a race is bettable or when it is a mess. We have already developed a beta for the system but have a few bugs to work out before I release it. It shouldn't be too long and it will make it more fun to go to the races. And much more profitable.

Power still hits Turf races

We had several low payouts on July 9th but the 4th race at Belmont needs to be noted. It was 6 furlongs on the Turf Maiden Special Weight for fillies and mares, 3 years old and upward.

The POWER picked 10-6-9-7. The 9-10 exacta paid $133.00. The 9-10-7 tri paid $544.00. The 9-10-7-6 super paid $2,539.00!! The Power keeps rocking and rolling in turf races

While Waiting For July 4th- WINNERS WINNERS WINNERS

I don't know where to even start. There were so many winners waiting for the fourth of July, we had our own fireworks. This is summer and most meets are in the middle of their season. I find this is the time of the Year the Power really shines. It would make sense that when the horses are at a track for a lengthy period and settle down in a routine, the Power number would be the most accurate for predictions. Also to hone your handicapping skills, the Power seems to do also well on a muddy track.

To give you some examples, let us start with Belmont on July 2nd, 2006. The second race was 8 furlongs on the main track. The Power picked 1-4-2-3. By the way the Gold also had 1-4-2-3. The 4-1 exacta paid $170.50( for $2). We did not have the tri.

The 3rd race at Belmont on July 2nd, Power picked 1-2-4-3,Gold picked 1-4-3-2, Predict picked 1-2-4-3, very unusual all three systems would pick the same horses. After scratches there were only 6 horses in the race. Mamy players tell me they do not like races with a small field and feel they shouldn't box 4 horses. Wrong. The $2 exacta paid $107.50 and the tri paid $283.00.

The 7th race, 5and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt,$100,000 Stake race. The Power picked 6-7-4-1. The $2 exacta 6-1 paid $131.00. I picked this race to remind everyone the Power should be used in Stake races generally. We had other hits but the payoffs were small.

Just to make a point and show this was not a fluke, we will move to Belmont on July 3rd. The 1st race is 8 furlongs on the dirt, a claiming race. Again after one scratch it was a 6 horse field. The Power picked 6-2-1-3. The $2 exacta 6-3 paid $146.50 and the tri paid $341.50.

The 4th race was a doozy, one mile on the turf, 3 yr old Allowance race for fillies and mares. The Power picked 8-9-2-10. The $2 exacta 2-10 paid $211.50 and the tri paid $850. This reinforces another point, for some reason the Power has been best at picking Turf races recently. Probably has to do with the original evaluation that the Power does well in the middle of a meet.

In the sixth race one mile on the Turf Maiden Race for 3&4 year old fillies, the Power picked 9-3-1-4. The $2 exacta 4-1 paid $162.50, again no tri.

Memorial Day Weekend Was Good

Even though the Derby is over, Churchill continues to do well and it runs most of the summer. In the fifth race on 5/29/2006 even though it was 6 furlongs, the Gold prevailed. This is often the case as Churchill is a deeper track than Keenland, so watch the races and on this particular day the Gold was red hot.The Gold picked 8-1-6-3. The 3-8 exacta paid $234.60 and the 3-6-1 trifecta paid $1,075.20.

In the last race,the 11th race, which was also 6 furlongs(we already discovered the speed wasn't winning) the Gold picked 7-4-5-6. The exacta 5-7 paid $55.80, the 5-7-4 tri paid $219.40. Also if you played the super( after all it was the last race of the Memorial Day Weekend) 5-7-4-6 paid $476.40.

Another example of being alert and knowing what is winning at the track on a particular day.

TRIPLE CROWN UDATE- May24,2006

The Gold had Barbaro picked first in the Derby but no exacta or tri. In the Preakness the Gold picked 6-8-7-1. The 8-7 exacta paid $171.60 (for $2). It was a tragedy that Barbaro the #6 horse, broke down but if he had won, which I think he would have, the exacta and tri together wouldn't have paid that much.

In the 5th race the Power picked 7-2-8-5. The 7-8 exacta paid $52.60 and the 7-8-5 tri paid $1,119.20. That made two years in a row before the Preakness we had a big tri. Pimlico is not one of my favorite tracks but we seem to handle it every year on Preakness day.

HERE COMES CHURCHILL DOWNS- MAY 3,2006

With the Derby only 4 days away, Churchill Downs is into its first full week of racing. Today it exploded with a fury. How many years have we said the Gold system at Churchill is unreal? Today was no exception.

Starting with the first race which was a 7 furlong race on the main track which is a Gold play. The Gold picks were 9-8-1-5. REMEMBER WE BOX THE FIRST 4 HORSES IN THE EXACTA AND TRI. For $1 this is $36 per race. The 1-5 exacta paid $1057.40 and the 1-5-8 tri paid $5962.00!! How is that for starters? These were for $2. So for a $36 investment was returned $3509.50

Race 2: Another 7 furlong race on the main track. The Gold picked 9-7-2-4. The 7-4 $2 exacta paid $80.80 and the 7-4-2 $2 tri paid $321.40.

Race 6: Another 7 furlong race on the main track. The Gold picked 6-8-5-9. The $2 exacta 8-5 paid $107.80 and the $2 tri 8-5-6 paid $1500.

Churchill Downs prices the first week are always overinflated. Horses that run and win at Keeneland don't do as well on the Churchill surface beacause it is a deeper track. Besides Churchill runs all summer

It is not too late to order the software before the Derby, now that we have PayPal. There may be a 24 hour lapse before we send you the password to download the software. So if you are interested do it soon.

Anyhow bring on the DERBY.

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT- April 5th 2006

With the Derby season approaching and the pre-Derby races around the corner,I decided to go state of the art. Anyone interested in purchasing the software can now use Paypal and pay with a credit card. There might be a 24 hour delay before we email a code and instructions on how to download the software. This will make it easier and faster to complete the process.

Keeneland opens Friday April 7th and on April 8th is the Wood Memorial from Aqueduct and the Santa Anita Derby. The following week on April 15th is the Bluegrass from Keeneland.

Here we go again!

HANDICAP LESSON- Feb 24th 2006

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One of the things I want to do this year is use this page to show some of the most powerful ways to use the software. We are now in our tenth year. I no longer feel compelled to just list winners because they are always there. We advocate boxing the first four horses in the tri and exacta but the software doesn't have to be used this way always.

The biggest complaint we get is which system to use. No one can play them all and get a value bet. Usually we play the Predict in sprints (6 furlongs) and under, the Gold in route races, and the Power in stakes. But you do not have to follow this all the time. The most important variable at the races is the track surface. I can say this with confidence after playing the races for 50+ years.

So when the track is lightening fast, the Predict is the best system to use and when the track is deep the Gold may be the best. And usually the Predict is best when the track is sloppy. But this can be tricky. When it is actively raining and there are puddles on the track this is true. But when it is drying out it may get deep and then it doesn't work.

Confused..Yeah I understand. But what I am trying to say here is WATCH WHICH SYSTEM IS WINNING THE DAY YOU GO. I have examples of this to show you.

Last Monday- Feb 20 2006 at the big A. The first race was 6 furlongs on the dirt. Usually we would play the Predict. The Predict picked 1-2-3-7. The exacta was 4-3 which paid $41.40 and the tri was 4-3-5 which paid $118.00. The Power picked 5-3-7-4 so with the box you would have had the first race.

The second race was 6 furlongs. The Predict picked 6-5-2-8. The exacta was 6-7 which paid $78.50 and the tri was 6-7-5 which paid $1006.00. The Power picked 7-5-6-4, so it won!! By then you should have gotten the message. The Power won the first two races. So consider switching to the Power.

So for the rest of the day let us only look at the Power. Race 3 the Power picked 4-1-7-2. The exacta 2-4 paid $57.00 and the 2-4-1 tri paid $160.50. In the Power.

Race 4- Power picked 5-4-1-8. Winner was 1-9-6. Lost.

Race 5- 1 mile- Power picked 6-4-2-5. Exacta 6-4 paid $37.20 and tri paid 6-4-5 paid $155.00 Power Won.

Race 6- 1 mile 70 yards. Power picked 3-7-5-6. The 6-3 exacta paid $35.00 and the 6-3-7 tri paid $99.00. Power won.

Race 7- 1 mile and 1/8. Power picked 1-6-5-3. The 6-3 exacta paid $15.60. Missed the tri.

Race 8- 6 furlongs. The Power picked 1-6-5-4. The 4-6 exacta paid $97.00. Missed the tri.

Race 9- The Power missed but the Gold won and tri paid $219.50.

I think you get the point. No it wasn't perfect but the Power had 7 out of 9 exactas and 5 out of 9 tris. Not too bad. The thing here is be alert. Why did the power win? Well the track wasn't set up for speed, so the Predict didn't have much of a chance. The strong closers were not winning, so the Gold wasn't consistent. But the Power was red hot. So maybe a day that you might have lost, just being alert not only saved the day but was a big day to win!!

WE ARE BACK STRONGER THAN EVER- Feb 24th 2006

We have been absent from the news page for awhile but now we are back. In our absence we have been as usual consistent. It is a new year and we have confidence that this will be a good year.

One of the main reasons we have a good outlook is this is the second year for Gulfstream's new track. Last year when they put on a new track there were no DRF ratings or variants. We still were able to use the Gold and Predict systems but were unable to use the Power numbers. This affected not only the races at Gulfstream but really raised havoc after the close of the season when the horses went to other tracks. The first race at a new track the Power numbers were always low. The Power numbers are a composite total of nine handicapping variables. The race that was most affected was the Kentucky Derby where several horses were entered directly from Gulfstream without another race. There was no way to have any confidence in the Power numbers and we have done exceedingly well over the years using the Power numbers in the Derby. Not this year so we should be back on track.

Arlington Park BIG PAYOFF

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On July 7th in the 8th race at Arlington Park which was one mile on the dirt which means you play the Gold. The picks were 1-8-6-4. The 6-8 exacta paid $509.20 (for$2). The 6-8-1 trifecta paid $3,959.60!! We keep rolling along.

MIDSUMMER UPDATE

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In general the system is really rolling right along at a winning pace. Arlington Park, Belmont and as usual Churchill Downs have returned boxcar payoffs. I no longer feel the need to put in all winning days. But just to give you a smattering of results. For some reason Belmont was unusually fast on July 1st. In the 4th race which was 6 furlongs on the dirt which means you use the Predict the picks were 4-6-3-9. The $2 exacta 4-6-3 (in the right order) paid $158.50 and 4-6-3 tri paid $1,733.00. Two races later in the 6th was one of the most interesting races of the day. It was a 1 mile and 1/16th on the turf. Usually we play the Gold but after scratches the Predict picked 1A-9-4-10. However the 1A had an Hnum of .53 and the next horse the 9 horse had a Hnum of 5.13. This means the 1A would get an easy lead of about 5 lengths. And since the next number was so low that meant there was no other speed in the race. In these circumstances that makes the front runners very tough. To make matters more interesting the 1A(Polish Nana) had never run on the turf before. She had been in 15 races with 0 wins, 2 places and 3 shows. She had run at decent tracks, mainly Pimlico,and Laurel. She had shown a few bullet workouts in her last 5 workouts and had worked out at Belmont 2 days before the race 3 f at 36 breezing and was 2/15 on that day. Well this is the kind of horse I bet for 45 years before I developed the Gold and Power ratings. To make matters more interesting the 4 horse was the second pick in the Gold and the third pick in the power. Before the race I showed a handicapper I respected the 1A and told him I was excited about this horse. "No way",was his reply after checking the form. Well the 1A did get her lead and all the way down the stretch it was the 1A and the 4 racing as one. At the finish line the 4 horse got the final bob and won in a photo finish. The 4-1 exacta paid $148, the 4-1-10 tri paid $412.00 and the 4-1-10-9 superfecta paid $32,900. If the 1a would have gotten the last bob it would have been a huge payoff!!

UPDATE DERBY AND PREAKNESS

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This was the first year we didn't have the Derby winner or exacta. But considering the payoffs including the million dollar superfecta, one would conclude that this was one strange race. On Preakness day in the 3rd race at Pimlico, which was 1 mile and 1/16th on the dirt which means you use the Gold the system picked 5-7-4-1A. As usual we box 4 horses. The 1-7 exacta paid $389 (for $2), the trifecta paid $3,546.80!! And for the superfecta bettors the super paid a whooping $12,011.60. By the time the Preakness rolled around we didn't really care but the Gold had Afleet Alex on top.

May 1st, 2005- DERBY FEVER

I can't believe I haven't updated this news page for one year. This represents a combination of poor health plus plain procrastination. Also time gets away from me. I would have sworn it was only six months.

Well it is Derby time again. Just because there has been no news letter doesn't mean the system isn't working. Opening day at Churchill Downs is an example.

It had rained for two days before Saturday April 30,2005..The track was marked GOOD.I decided on an off track to play the Gold which works best at Churchill anyway. there were 11 races but the 10th they scratched down to 5 horses. So that left 10 races at $36 per race($1.00 box first four horses).

Race 3- System picked-4-3-2-6. All winners are based on 1.00 return bet. Exacta 6-4 paid $19.20. Tri 6-4-3 paid $55.70. Superfecta if played 6-4-3-2 paid $378.50.

Race 7- System picked 9-6-4-10. $1.00 exacta paid $102.70

Race 9- System picked 1-8-6-3. $1.00 exacta paid $148.10. #1.00 tri paid $1085.50.

Total invested $360, return $1411.20 gross - $360 =$1061.20 net!!

Not bad. I love the first week at Churchill.

WARNING: Because the Gulfstream Park ran on a new track this year,the Power numbers are not as reliable if a horse is entered at any track if it's LAST race was at Gulfstream. This is because there was no DRF speed numbers or variants this year for Gulfstream. Therefore there are 0's for these two parts of the 9 handicapping factors. Once a horse has run just one time at any track after Gulfstream this will no longer matter. But it will affect the Derby this year because there will be horses entered directly from the Florida Derby. So you will be only able to use the Gold or the Helfman Predict. Too bad because we have had the exacta almost every year and of course our biggest Derby was 2002 when we had everything including a $91,000 superfecta.

Anyhow Good Luck this week. Also Belmont is openng Wednesday, and Arlington Park Friday. Both of these tracks are good with the software

We Are Back- Derby Week

It has been awhile but due to health problems the news page has been neglected. But this is Kentucky Derby week and if you are breathing you have to start thinking about the derby. Besides all you have to do is move down this page to see we have always done well at Churchill. The track opened Saturday and we had a decent tri in the 6th race.

The 6th race was one mile and one eigth on the turf.The Gold picks were 6-8-3-10.The 10-6 exacta paid $149.20, the 10-6-8 trifecta paid $845.80 and the 10-6-8-3 superfecta paid $10,517.40!!

Today April 25,2004 the track came up sloppy and was a drying out track. When the track is drying out you have to forget the speed and watch the Gold and the Power.

The second race was 6furlongs on the dirt. The Power picked 7-3-2-8.The 3-2 exacta paid $74.80 and the 3-2-7 trifecta paid $255.40. But this got our attention immediately to watch the power.

Race 5 was 6 furlongs on the dirt. The power picked 8-12-2-10. We had a stroke of luck when they disqualified the 5 horse and put him last. This left the 8-10 exacta which paid $346.60 and the 8-10-12 tri which paid $7092.80!!

The next race the 7-2 exacta that paid $56.60 and the 7-2-1 tri paid $155.40. Both the Gold and the Power had these.

The ninth race was one mile and 1/16 on the turf. The Power picked 8-9-10-1. The 1-8 exacta paid $270 and the 1-8-10 tri paid $1772.20.

What a day. Bring on the Derby!!!

An Unbelievable Story

The summer has come and is almost gone. Saratoga is winding down and has been a very good track for the system. As usual Travers Day was great on the Helfman Predict. We opened up with the very first race, the first two picks were 9-8 and that was the exacta which paid $675.00. We had two other exactas that paid over $200. Usaually the day after the Travers the track returns to it's "normal". The 8th race was in the Gold and the Predict and the tri paid $2081. The next race the tri paid $506 and was in the Gold.

Delmar is winding down too and we are glad. It is a very inconsistent track. It seems to change almost daily. Some days is a great front running track and then the next day they are coming from off the pace. So it is one of the toughest meets every year.

Calder has been it's consistent self. Just keep playing the Gold.

But the track of the summer has been Arlington Park. Some days are bad but if you stick with it there are some great winners,which brings us to the race of the year. We have tracked Arlington Park all summer, as well as bet it. The Gold and the Power do the best. The usual rules apply but the Power has won more of it's share of tri's especially on the last race of the day. I can not have a rational explanation for this, but it is a fact. So we always play the Power on the last race.

On August the 14th I had to be out of town, otherwise I would have been at the OTB. As luck would have it, I missed the bet of the year, maybe of my whole life. The Power on the 9th race picked 5-8-11-10. The race finished 10-5-8, #5 and 8 were dead heated for 2nd. The tri paid $75,444.80!!!! ( for $2 ). I can't remember a tri paying any more. This would make anyone a winner for the entire year or more. Just shows you should never quit and you never know when your ship will come in. So keep playing Arlington Park!!

A Fantastic Few Days

It has been an absolutely unbelievable weekend. Starting Thursday before Memorial Day and extending through Memorial Day. There is no way I can give you all the winners. But some selected big winners are:

The 7th race at Churchill Downs on 5/22/03. The Predict picked 10-6-8-11. The exacta 11-6 paid $203.20( for $2) and the tri 11-6-10 paid $4542.60(for $2)!!.

The rains fell everywhee from Friday through Monday. Belmont became a virtual river. There were so many exactas just in the Predict. An example is the 9th race on 5/23/02. The Predict which we played all day picked the 8-7-1-6. The 8-7 exacta paid $567 and the 8-7-1 tri paid $3909!!

May 18th

WE HAD THE PREAKNESS

The Gold Predictions for the Preakness were 9-2-4-6. The Power Picks were 2-9-7-6. The exacta 9-6 paid $120.60. No way you could have missed this using our software.

May 4th

WE HAD THE DERBY EXACTA

The Gold prediction was 9-6-12-13. The exacta 6-12 paid $97.00. The next pick was the 5. We can't take credit for the tri which paid $664.80 but many of our customers did have it. Obviously not as good as last year but still pretty decent.

April 20, 2003

TWO WEEKS TO THE DERBY

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Because of an extended health issues, I have been unable to keep the news page updated as usual. But It is two weeks to the Derby and let us forget illness. Hey the Derby is more important. Besides last year the Power system picked the Derby right on, 1-2-3. Now I know the odds are way against it happening again but got to give it the old college try.

Even though the big winners haven't been reported here, doesn't mean they haven't been happening. In general I thought the Gulfstream meet wasn't as impressive as usual. Seemed the great stables were missing from the past and a lot of races were filled with Calder horses.

So where are we today. Keeneland is starting it's final week. Aqueduct is running now on the main track, the winter meet on the inside track is over. But Churchil Downs is going to begin on April 26th. And the first week is usually packed with big prices, can't wait.

Just yesterday at the Big A in the last race, which was 8 furlongs on the main track, the Predict system had the exacta and the tri.The Predict picked 12-11-3-2. The 2-3 exacta (remember we box the first four selections) paid $710( for $2) and the 2-3-12 tri paid ( for $2 ) $16,671!! The fifth selection was 1 and the super ($1) paid $271,983!! Wow!! Now that is the biggest super I have ever seen. No I didn't have it but one can dream.I recieved two Emails about this and one customer did have the tri.

Anyhow I will be reporting the Churchill Downs meet, after watching it for the first few days. Remember this track runs differently than Keenland, which helps get those prices up. In sprint races, the Predict is better than average. The Gold has made a profit the last few years in the route races. Power is good for the Stakes races.

Good Luck...

December 28,2002

RECENT LETTER RECIEVED FROM FIRST SOFTWARE USER

Hello Doctor,

I hope this finds you up and about. I want to wish you a HAPPY NEW YEAR and wish you, all good things for the coming year 2003. As you know I have been part of the "Helfman Formula Family" for years and though I have tried other software programs that failed I always return to you. Right now I am having success At Aqueduct inner tracks as well as my local track Suffolk Downs with the "Power ratings" I don't know how "power rating" are constructed.I don't understand how they come to predict the winner .I understand "Helfman predicts" with it's early speed ratings and Helfman Gold with it's special ratings for each call of the race.But, now "Power ratings" are winning for me. Maybe sometime when you are not so busy you can explain "Power Ratings" to me. Anyway as I look over the past year it has been a profitable Helfman year. Thank you and God Bless you. Best Regards

John................jrmartino

October 11,2002

ONLY TWO WEEKS TO THE BREEDERS CUP

It's getting to that time of the year again. It has slowly and subtly come upon us. Been lax keeping this newsletter up to date because of health reasons but like Derby time must forge back into action. The summer seemed to fly by. Calder is still the same as usual. Can hardly wait for Churchill Downs to open the day after the Cup on October 27th. Belmont is finishing its season and Keeneland signals it is fall. Aqueduct opens next week and this means the winter season is around the corner also. We always do well at the big A but when they start running on the winterized track then the percentages shift more to our favor.So in just a few weeks Aqueduct, Churchill, and Calder will all be running. This bodes well for us.

The last few years the prices at the Cup have been fantastic and you only have to win a few races to make a profit. This year there will be a tri and a super on all the Cup races.

Yesterday Belmont was on fire and it came up sloppy at Keeneland which always means good things for us.

Here are some examples from yesterday:

October 10th:

Belmont Race 1- 1 mile on the Turf. Remember the Predict works best on the Turf. Predict picked 2-1A-1-6-4. The 6-1 exacta paid $97.50 and the 6-1-2 tri paid $486.50.

Belmont Race 3- 1 mile and 1\16 on the Turf. Predict picked 5-1-4-8. The 8-5 exacta paid $207.00.

Belmont Race 4- 1 mile on the Turf. Predict picked 2-3-7-4. The 7-4 exacta paid $33.40 and the 7-4-2 tri paid $125.00.

Belmont Race 6- 1 mile on the Turf. Predict picked 4-1a-5-1-8. The 1-4 exacta paid $25.20 and the 1-4-5 tri paid $52.00.

Belmont Race 7- 1 mile and 1\16th on the Turf. Predict picked 8-7-1-6. 7-1 Exacta paid $50 and 7-1-6 tri paid $171,00.

I went through this exercise to show we won all the races on the turf and all on the predict.

Keeneland: October 10

Race 4- One mile and 1\16 on dirt. Predict picked 7-2-5-6. The 5-2 exacta paid $20.20 and the 5-2-7 tri paid $501.60.

The other hits were small payoffs.

The Cup approaches. This is the biggest day of the year for thoroughbred races.

July 26.2002

POWER NUMBERS STILL WINNING AT ARLINGTON

Arlington Park is the track we continue to scrutinize because it will be the site of the Breeders Cup this year. Yesterday at Arlington we played only the Power Numbers because of last weekend.

In the first race the Power picked 1-4-3-5. The exacta 1-4 paid $23.00 and the tri 1-4-5 paid $160.20.

In the fourth race Power picked 3-2-7-1.The exacta 1-3 paid $150.60 and the tri 1-3-2 paid $238.00.

In the fifth Power picked 8-1-4-5. The exacta 8-1 paid $18.20. The tri 8-1-4 paid $103.40 and the super in the exact order 8-1-4-5 paid $309.20.

In the 7th Power picked 6-1-5-3. The 1-5 exacta paid $6.40 and the tri paid $16.60.

In the 9th Power picked 7-9-4-2. The 7-4 exacta paid $135.20 and the tri 7-4-9 paid $722.80. Didn't think of it but the 7-4-9 played to all would have returned a $7025.80 super.

Anyhow 5 tris in 9 races. Hope it keeps up.

The first few days at Saratoga and Delmar have been tough. Full fields and box car figures. Until today they have eluded us. But today in the 6th race at Saratoga we finally broke through. In a one mile race on the turf, we used the Predict ( speed on the Turf at Saratoga has been good in the past). The Predict picked 2-6-9-5. The exacta 9-5 paid $768.00. Until the wire I thought we had a huge tri but the favorite #8 flew by the 6 horse and we will have to wait until another day for the huge tri.

Till then...

JULY 20,2002

SUMMER RACING AND POWER NUMBERS GO WILD AT ARLINGTON

Even though it has been a few months since the news page has been updated, it is more because of health reasons rather than lack of winners. We have done very well but are depressed because Churchill closed. It had been fantastic for the Gold.

We are now anticipating the opening of both Saratoga and Delmar on July 24th. This marks the begining of the real summer racing season. In the past we have done very well at Saratoga. Delmar has the best racing of all the tracks in California, in my opinion but it is a difficult track to keep in the black. I have found the last few years they have a tendency to change the track surface at their whim. Or is it the tides? You must watch the first few races very carefully to see if it is set for speed or cut deeper that kills the speed. The Gold and the Power do well on routes when the track isn't lightening fast.

The Power numbers went wild today at Arlington. The Gold has done well there the whole meet. Today in the 9th race, Power picked 6-4-9-7. The exacta 6-7 paid $194, the tri 6-7-4 paid $1049.40 ( for $2) and the super 6-7-4-9- paid $5,265.80 (for $2)!!! You could have keyed the 6 for a $6 bet. In the 10th the Power picked 3-2-6-1. The exacta 2-1 paid $86.40, the tri 2-1-3 paid $639.80( $2 ) and the super 2-1-3-6 paid another $5607.60!!!

To top things off at Hollywood in the 7th (turf race), the Predict picked the 5 which went wire to wire and paid $109.60!!

Anyhow good luck at Delmar and Saratoga. They will have full fields and boxcar prices this week. One race could do it all. Isn't this the beauty of racing?

STILL ROLLING ALONG AT CHURCHILL

May 22,2002

Today in the second race at Churchill, 6 furlong sprint. The Predict picked 5-4-9-3. Finish was 9-3-4. The exacta 9-3 paid $449.60 and the tri paid $6853.00!! We sure have had more than our share of big hits in the past two weeks.

May 18,2002

Preakness

We had War Emblem on top. Our picks were 8-13-12-11-2. I can't take credit for a system win but several clients have called and E-Mailed me today claiming they boxed the first five horses and picked up the $2,200+ tri. So I'll concede we were close but no cigar. One insisted I put it on the news page. It sure sets up a interesting Belmont though in three weeks.

May,17th,2002

THE FORMULA STRIKES BIG AGAIN

'Twas the night before the Preakness and all through the house,there were only smiles and no frowns because today we hit it big at Churchill Downs.

The whole day was good at Churchill Downs. It was a sloppy track. At the end, the rain was pouring down. They had the ninth race on the turf which shocked me.It was a yielding turf. But oh that 10th race. Six furlongs on the main track in a steady rainstorm. Churchill at 6 furlongs is a good bet for the Predict but when it is raining and the track has puddles of water, the Predict is the one. It picked 4-1-12-9. The official finish was 4-12-9-1.

The exacta paid $310.80 (for$2), the tri paid $2765.60 and the super paid $13,788.10( for $1). You could have had it for a $6.00 bet by keying the 4 with the 12-9-1( we did) or you could have boxed the super for $1 and had a $24 bet.

What a day!! Tomorrow the Preakness. It all depends on the weather which may be raining...

WE HAD THE DERBY COLD!!

Just a quick special extra right off the press. For the second time in 3 years we had the Derby winner. But this time we outdid ourselves.The Helfman Power Ratings ( which we use for the Derby and big stakes races), picked the Derby 5-13-3, in that order. The winning numbers were 5-13-3 in exactly that order. The exacta paid $1300.80 and the tri paid $18,373.20. This was the culmination of an awesome week. I can't remember any Derby in 50 years where the favorite was 6/1.

More later...

April 29, 2002

CALDER STRIKES AGAIN!!

Just a quick note to tell you about the ninth race at Calder today. With only one major track open today and all energy focused on this track, the Gold struck again. For four years I have been saying if you just bet the Gold at Calder, you will be a winner. That is only $36 per race. The Gold picked 11-5-12-7.Winning order was 7-11-5-12. The exacta paid $288,tri paid $3006.40 ( both for $2) but what is bad about collecting $1,641.20 for $36? And since it was the last race of the day, another $24 invested in the super would have returned $6,914 ( also for $2 ). Obviously a great hit and we have racing at Calder till December!!

The Derby posts will be picked Wednesday at 5:00 P.M. Eastern time. Will be able to handicap the race after this. More on this later...

NEARING THE DERBY

April 21, 2002

It's been tough to keep up this news page lately because of health reasons but I had to do something because it's Derby time. This is the time of the year even non horse lovers get interested in horse racing. On a personal note, congratulations to Jon and Eve ( my daughter) who were married this afternoon. Sorry I wasn't well enough to attend, but good luck always.

So whats going on in the racing world? This week Gulfstream concludes and Calder opens on April 26th. This has been one of our favorite tracks and we have won 4-5 consecutive years. The Gold is the best to use at this track ( for races over 6 furlongs). Six furlongs or under use the Predict. Also on April 27th Churchill opens for the Derby meet. Same situation..Gold for the routes and Predict for the sprints. Aqueduct is in full swing and they will stay there through May 27th. Santa Anita finished today and Hollywood Park opens April 24th. The Hollywood strip is usually deeper than Santa Anita, thus also lending itself to the Gold.

We are still holding up fine. Gulfstream brought in some big winners as usual. Right now Aqueduct is the best track. But can't wait for Calder and Churchill.

Just a few examples of winners today at the big A. Remember they are not on the winterized track now so the Gold must be considered the primary play.We always box the first four selections in the tri and the exacta. That is $36 for both( $1.00 box).

Race 1 - Gold picked 1-2-3-4. Winning numbers 3-2-1A, exacta paid $93 and tri paid $165.

Race 2 -We had the exacta but only paid $25.

Race 4- Turf race- so the speed ( Predict usually best but watch the Gold) Predict picked 1-4-8-2. Winner was 2-4-8. The exacta paid $120.50 and the tri paid $455.50.

Race 5- 7 furlongs. Gold picked 3-5-6-4. Winner 3-5-4. Exacta paid $11.60 and tri paid $43.40.

Race 8- One mile on the dirt. The Gold picked 1-4-9-1a-3. Winner was 3-9-1A. Exacta paid $417.00 and tri paid $ 1,473.00!!

Race 9- One mile on the Turf. Gold picked as the first three picks 8-9-1. Winner was 9-8-1. Exacta paid $43.40 and the tri paid $343.

Great day. Last Sunday in the fifth race at Aqueduct, we had a $4,000 tri.

As I said previously, watch for the first week at Churchill. There will be big payoffs as always the first week. There has been a speed bias at Keeneland the first 10 days. So the horses winning at Keeneland won't do as well on the Churchill surface and this in itself will help the payoffs.

Also Calder usually has some big prices early on also.

I would appreciate feedback. If anyone who has the software has picked up any trends at your favorite track please Email us and we will pass it on in the news page. Thanks...

For those of you who do not own the software, contact us at our E-Mail or phone us, we will be more than happy to discuss this with you.

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As usual this is a handicapping system not a betting system. This is not to encourage wagering.

No Handicapping system in the world can promise, warranty, or guarantee anything in writing. Elements of chance, weather, the horses's health, and disposition on a given race day make any kind of promise, warranty, or guarantee impossible. Those elements also make thoroughbred racing a thrilling sport, so you could not remove the former, without killing the latter. Nor can any author control how accurately and carefully individual horseplayers will make use of it.