WE ARE STILL ALIVE AND WELL!- JUNE 19, 2008

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It has been some time since we have updated our news page. This is because of a combination of events. The main reason was because of the crackdown on internet gambling, several websites that we used to advertise on would no longer accept our advertisements. So we didn't have much exposure. This was done even though we never had anything to do with promoting internet gambling.

Our software handicaps the winners of horse races. You can do anything you want with the results. Of course we expect the users of our software to use the information to wager on horse races but this can be done at the track which is perfectly legal. The system has been in existence since 1953. It was publshed in book form in the 1970's. At that time there was no internet. So we feel it was unfair to cancel us out because we mention nowhere anything about internet gambling.

Nevertheless we found ourself the victims of such decisions. If any of our users have found this upsetting please let us know by emailing us at support@ vegashorseracing.com

For your information we have been doing as well as ever. For example on the road to the triple crown on March 29th was the Forida Derby at Gulfstream. The Gold picked 12-4-2-9. The 12-2 exacta paid $68.80, the 12-2-4 tri paid $702.80 and the 12-2-4-9 super paid $5822.80!! The 12 horse was Big Brown and now every one knows his story. We had the Derby and the Preakness exacta but interestingly enough in the Belmont the Power picked 6-2-4-1. #1 was Big Brown and he wasn't even in our FIRST THREE PICKS!. The 6-4 exacta paid $659(for $2) and was a good payoff for the Belmont.

Just wanted you guys to know we are as stated alive and well and STILL KNOCKING THEM PRETTY HARD!

WE HAD THE TRAVERS RIGHT ON!!!

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Just a quick note to announce we had the Travers Stakes cold.

It was the 9th race on the card- one mile and 1/4th on the dirt,3 year olds. The Gold(which is the right one to play) picked 5-4-1-3. The 4-5 exacta paid $13.00 but the 4-5-1 tri paid $216.00!! Another big stakes hasndled perfectly by our software. We had other hits but just wanted to annouce thr Travers results!!

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WE ARE BACK!!!

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Because of an unexpected personal tragedy we have been absent from our newsletter for close to three months. But we are back intact ready to help our clients with the latest insights.

In general I know the new track at Delmar has been death for the front speed. Come from behind horses are taking the money but fortuately we are at the end of the meet.

But Saratoga has been profitable as usual. One of the best hopes is the New York circuit does not go to the new artificial surface. But remember the cushion track at Santa Anita did not change things too much. More details on this later.

Yesterday at Saratoga- August 22,2007:

Race 3-One mile and 1/8th on the inner turf, Allowance Optional Claiming, filies and mares, 3 years old and up. The Gold picked 5-4-8-3. The 3-8 exacta paid $37.20, the 3-8-5 trifecta paid $55.50

Race 4- Now this is a very interesting race for our software. 7 furlongs on the dirt, Maiden Special Weight- Predict picked 2-4-1-3, Gold picked 1-3-2-4 and Power picked 2-1-4-3. ALL THREE SYSTEMS PICKED THE SAME. Very unusual but very strong. The 3-1 exacta paid 46.40 and the 3-1-4 tri paid $451.00!!

Race 5- 1 and 1/16th miles inner turf,Allowance Optional Claiming, Fillies and Mares 3 years old and up foaled in New York State. The Gold picked 2-9-4-6. The 9-4 exacta paid 181.50, the 9-4-2 tri paid $720.00!!

Race 8- Feature Race- 1 and 1/6th miles on the dirt, Stakes, 3 years old foaled in New York State. The Gold picked 5-3-2-4. The 3-2 exacta paid $35.60 and the 3-2-5 paid $71.50.

Race 9- One mile and 1/8th inner turf, Maiden Special Weight,Fillies and Mares 3 years ols and up foaled in New York. The Gold picked 4-5-3-6 and the Power picked 7-4-9-3. The 4-3 exacta paid $60.00. We did not have the tri.

A pretty good day at the spa! We had 5 out of 9 exactas and 4 out of 9 tris, 2 of them paid very well.

THE TRAVERS DAY IS SATURDAY AUGUST 25th. The prices are always great. It feels good to be back!!

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MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND SMASHING SUCCESS- MAY 29,2007

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It was a very profitable weekend for our software. I hardly know where to start but lets begin with Arlington Park. Why Arlington? If I seem to be preoccupied with Arlington it only is because I am. Not only has it been one of my favorites in the past, but because of the artificial surface, to me it holds the future of racing in how it does this year. Always remember DO NOT USE THE POWER NUMBERS this year. The way we calculate our power numbers, the DRF and Variants are 0 the first year a new track opens or changes its surface. Therefore the Power numbers will not be accurate, so don't use them. So that leaves us with the Gold and the Predict. Two weeks ago when the track first opened the predict was smoking hot, then last week it cooled off. Well this weekend you couldn't have asked for more. Begining Saturday May26th let us review the Predict.

Race 2- 6.5 furlongs on "A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Maiden. The Predict picked 11-8-7-12. The 11-8 exacta paid $208.60. We did not have the tri.

Race 4- 6.5 furlongs on "A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Predict picked 10-5-8-3. The 5-8 exacta paid $63.60, again no tri.

Race 8- 6.5 furlongs on "A/W', 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance Open. The Predict picked 11-3-2-6. The 2-11 exacta paid $193,00 and the 2-11-3 tri paid $1,889.60.

Race 9- One mile on "A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Grade III Stk HCP. The Predict picked 4-8-1-7. The 8-7 exacta paid $660.60.

Race 10- One mile and 1/16th on the Turf, 3years old and up, No sex restrictions, Starter allowance. The Predict picked 7-11-6-3. The 3-6 exacta paid $21.20 and the 3-6-11 tri paid $88.60.

Totals for the day: $36 X 10 = $360 investment. Collected $1,562.60 for a net win of $ 1,202.60. This is more impressive if you analyze and realize the every race we won except for the last turf race was on "A/W" and ALL were route races 6.5 furlongs or over. This shows a tremendous front running bias.

A fluke you say. Well how about the very next day Sunday May 27.

Race 2- One mile on "A/W", 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 6-1-2-7. The 2-7 exacta paid $14.20 and the 2-7-6 tri paid $55.20.

Race 4- 6 furlongs on "A/W', 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Maiden. The Predict picked 6-1-4-8. The 8-6 exacta paid $104.00 and the 8-6-4- tri paid $1,181.00.

Race 10-6 furlongs on"A/W", 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 9-11-4-8, The 4-11 exacta paid $308.40.

Totals for the day: $36 X 10 = $360 investment. Collected $845.50 for a net gain of $485.50. We also won some Gold tris but I am trying to make a point here.

So many times I'm asked when do you play the Power ratings. The Predict is the pace system best as we just showed for a speed bias, the Gold is great for certain tracks that are deep and have long stretches but the Power system can be used as a system of its own. This is the more traditional type of system based on various handicapping factors. It can be used as a system all of its own and I have had feed back that many of our clients do use it this way.

Just to make a point let us take yesterday Memorial day at Belmont. And in general Belmont is a first class track of the highest quality and it would make sense to use it there. Besides we are approaching THE BELMONT race on June 9th.

Race 2- One mile and 1/8th on the Turf, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Special Maiden. The Power picked 7-11-2-5. The 11-7 exacta paid $788.00 and the 11-7-2 tri paid $5,563.00!!

Race 5- One mile and 1/16th on the turf, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance. The Power picked 4-6-7-10. The 4-10 exacta paid $76.00 and the 4-10-7 tri paid $232.00.

Race 6- One mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance Open. The Power picked 1-6-2-7. The 6-1 exacta paid $33.40 and the 6-1-7 tri paid $209.50.

Race 7- One mile on the Turf, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Allowance. The Power picked 9-3-8-6. The 8-3 exacta paid $27.80.

Totals for the day: $36 x 10 = $360 investment. Collected $3464.85. Net win = $3,104.85.

We keep rolling along. We are in our 11th year and trying very hard to keep up with the changing race environment. On the horizon is Delmar with its new "A/W". I can hardly wait.

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GOLD HAS PREAKNESS

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The Gold had the Preakness but then again who didn't have it. The Gold picked 4-7-8-3. The 4-8 exacta paid $23.20 and the 4-8-7 tri paid $50.00. Just nice to say we had the Preakness and the Derby this year. The Derby paid much better as always. As far as the race itself went ,again another year without a triple crown champion! It looked like Street Sense had it locked up 100 yards from the finish line but a masterful ride by Albarado nailed Street Sense by the smallest of noses at the finish. Maybe it was not a very good ride by Borel who shot Street Sense out of the pack to be running at record fractions till the finish. It seemed to me he was going too fast and didn't pace the horse right. It wasn't a very good betting race but with some innovative money management the super was ours. It costs us $36 per race for the exacta and the tri which were going off at low prices. It seemed to me there were only three horses, the in the money finishers of the Derby that even deserved to be in the race. In other words the field was weak for a Preakness. I decided to take the three horses 4-7-8 and do the following: For a superfecta bet in the first position take 4-7-8 to the second position 4-7-8 to the third position 4-7-8 to ALL. This was only a $36 bet(for $1) and if it hit would pay much more than the exacta and tri. Well it worked, 4-8-7-9 came in and the #9 horse was 20/1. The super paid $640 for $2 and $320 for $1.

Actually I am glad the Preakness is over because this is the one day of the year I bet Pimlico and I never liked the track.

I should mention that after last weekends revelations about the Predict at Arlington, I couldn't wait till it raced again. It didn't reopen till Thursday May 17th, and between the 17th through May 20th, if you bet just the Predict you hardly had any winners at all. Why? I can't answer this question because as I said they are running on an artificial surface and it should run the same, which the week before was a bias for the front runners. We will have to watch this carefully. Can they add top soil to the artificial track to make it deeper? Anyone have an answer please send it to support@vegashoreseracing.com.

One more thing about Arlington Park. This is the first year they are running on the "artificial surface", so as we continue the Power Numbers will not be of any use. Because we use the DRF and the Variant as part of the 9 factors we take into account to reach the Power numbers they will be artificially low and thus ONLY use the PREDICT and the GOLD for the rest of the meet. Next year the Power numbers will be useful when they run over the track for the second time. This is always the case the first year on a new surface.

Thank goodness for Belmont Park on Preakness day. The Gold was red hot. I am not going to go through all the races but we had 5 tris in 9 races. An investment of $324 brought back $555.75 for a net gain of $231.75.

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RELAX ARLINGTON PARK POLYTRACK PLAYABLE- May 13th, 2007

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After this weekend I think we can all breathe a sigh of relief, Arlington Park's polytrack is good for speed and THE PREDICT.

Okay I have analyzed Arlington track this weekend and it came up big for the Helfman Formula software. I am going to do this differently. I have been criticized for giving the winning results regardless of which formula which critics say makes our software look better. So right now I am going to forget the length of the race, the surface and only use the Predict for two days at Arlington. First up is May 12,2007.

Race 1-6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Maiden. The Predict picked 4-2-8-5. The 4-2 exacta paid $161.40 and the 4-2-8 tri paid $1461.00 (ALL OF THESE WILL BE $2 RESULTS). Later on when I give you the money returned for the entire day, it will be based on $1 bets and $1 payoffs.

Race 2-6 furlongs on Polytrack, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies,Claiming. The Predict picked 3-8-6-4. The 8-4 exacta paid $117.60 and the 8-4-3 tri paid $409.60.

Race 7- one mile and 1/16th on the Turf, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 2-5-4-6. The 2-4 exacta paid $28.80 and the 2-4-6- tri paid $79.00. The 2-4-6-5 superfecta paid $136.40. I am not even going to include this payoff in the day's summary but you could have had it for a $6 bet, keying the 2 for $1 to the 4-5-6.

Race 8- one mile on the Polytrack, 3 years old only, Fillies Only, Allowance Open. The Predict picked 1-6-4-7. The 7-6 exacta paid $117.60. We did not have the tri.

So we bet $1 boxing the first 4 picks in the Predict for the exacta and the tri which is $36 per race. There were 10 races, so $36 X 10 = $360 investment. The total returned (based on $1 returned on the payoffs) was $1,187.50 making us $827.50 winners for the day!! Not bad at all.

I can hear the naysayers now saying the first race tri skewed the results, okay lets try the next day...

May 13th:

Race 2- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-5-3-8. The 8-5 exacta paid $406.20.

Race 3- one mile on the Polytrack, 3 year olds and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 2-3-7-4. The 4-7 exacta paid $24.80.

Race 5- one mile on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 6-7-8-2. The 6-8 exacta paid $164.80 and the 6-8-7 tri paid $793.00.

Race 6- one mile and 1/8th on Polytrack, 3 years old and up,no sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-2-6-7. The 6-2 exacta paid $39.00.

Race 7- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 year olds and up,no sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 5-2-7-6. The 2-6 exacta paid $62.60.

Race 8- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, no sex restrictions, Claiming. The Predict picked 6-7-10-4. The 4-10 exacta paid $154.40.

Race 9- 6 furlongs on the Polytrack, 3 years old and up, no sex restrictions, Allowance. The Predict picked 2-3-1-4. The 1-3 exacta paid $69.80.

Again 10 races- total investment $360.00. Total winnings $857.50( $1 return). Net profit $497.50.

Only two days but enough to show a trend and give us hope for the summer. We had a net win of over $1300 for the two days!!

Now let us get serious for a minute. What does this really mean? Well it shows that the front runners have a bias at Arlington. It seems to me that the Polytrack is supposed to be standard. By that I mean they can not change the track because it is an artificial surface. If it rains it drains and there is no "sloppy track", also no "Muddy" track or "Good Track." So it should run about the same every day. Great news for us, don't you think?

I think it also means the time to play this is NOW, before the public realizes it is a speed track. When this occurs we should have the same percentage of wins but the payoffs may drop. Although we have another advantage. Even an experienced handicapper can not pick our 4 front runners. Just yesterday I sat next to someone who claimed he could pick the front runners and he used the times of the first quarter to do so. WE DO NOT USE THE TIMES and almost always our first four front runners are leading at the quarter. When we have the speed bias they may just stay there as the two days at Arlington showed.

So why does the Polytrack at one track favor the speed while at another polytrack this may not be the case. Interesting question? Well for one thing the shape of the track may come into play. At the old Tropical Park, the turns were sharp which favored the front runners. At Arlington the front runners always did well. At Churchill the turns are more gradual and the stretch is longer which favors the closers (The Gold).

In closing if you have our software go bet The Predict at Arlington. If you do not have the software well you better consider getting it!!!

DERBY DAY CRUSHED - MAY 5, 2007

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We hate to be bragging and say we told you so and we tried not to be obnoxious about being overly proud of our new software. But if you scroll down the news page I think what is apparent is the subtle confidence we had going into Derby week. We had a good opening week at Churchill and it all culminated in a fabulous Derby Day. The main thing our customers are interested in is how we do in the Derby. Well we handled it easily although the payoffs were lower than past Derby's.

The Derby- Race 10- one mile and 1/4 on the dirt, 3 year olds, Grade I Stake Handicap. The GOLD picked 2-8-12-7. The 7-8 exacta paid $101.80. The 7-8-2 tri paid $440.00. The #7 is Street Sense who was supposed to be according to the "first call" chart 5 runners from the back. In reality he was the 19th runner out of 20 but found a way through the pack and won going away by 2 1/2 lengths. Now of course the number one question arises can he become a triple crown champion? It has been 28 years since we had one and racing could really use another one to help spark new interest in the sport especially with the younger crowd. Looking at his past performances he has had 7 previous races and in six of them was running right off the pace, so he could handle the sharp turns and the short stretch of Pimlico. There will start much hype and anticipation in the next two weeks; enough about the Derby.

We started out winning the first race at Churchill- one mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Allowance. The Gold picked 2-1-6-5 and the 2-5 exacta paid $5.80 and the 2-5-1 tri paid $12.60. This kind of opening race is not good for the pocket book but helps in the confidence level.

Race 3- 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Special Maiden Weight. We decided to go with the Predict because the chart showed the runners spread, not pressed and the track was still marked good but was drying out fast. The Predict picked 1-7-4-2. The 2-1 exacta paid #94.20 and the 2-1-4 tri paid $372.00. We were on our way but we didn't have any idea how good it would all turn out.

Race 6- one mile on the Turf, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Grade 3 Stakes. The Gold picked 2-5-7-6. The 7-5 exacta paid $29.00 and the 7-5-2 tri paid $89.80.

Race 9- The race prior to the Derby and the one that made this a great Derby Day. 7 furlongs on the turf, 3 years old and up, No Sex Restrictions, Grade 1 Stakes Handicap. For discussion sake this was difficult to choose which system. On the Turf at Churchill a higher percentage of races are won by the Gold. The chart made the Predict enticing because the #3 horse was above the line by himself. But studying the past performances the 3 horse Shake The Bank is always on the lead but fades in every race. This type of early speed sets it up for the closers, so we took a shot and went for the Gold. Another rule if there is any question the Gold wins more and picks bigger payoffs at Churchill. For your information this is what stimulated us to add the Gold 10 years ago because we didn't do as well at tracks with a long stretch especially at Churchill. Enough.. the Gold picked 6-4-1-7. The 7-1 exacta paid $177.80 and the 7-1-4 tri paid $2.207.20. We were big winners before the Derby ever started. We were not under any pressure and sat back to enjoy the most anticipated race of the year.

Following the Derby we were ready to pack up and go home. But we looked around to see what other tracks were opened. Our favorite track in the summer always has been Arlington Park but we are sad about the artificial surface this year. But just by coincidence the next race after the Derby was a TURF race, the 10th race at Arlington. The Predict has always been the best bet at Arlington ( I know it is confusing) so we will be looking forward to only betting the Turf races at Arlington, until we get some kind of handle on the new surface. Race 10-one mile on the Turf, 3 year olds and up, The Predict picked 3-7-9-5. The 3-7 exact paid $648.60. the 3-7-5 tri paid $3,875.00!! and for the final kick of the day, the 3-7-5-9 superfecta paid $19,656.00!!! to close out the best Derby Day ever.

I know those of you who updated probably didn't play Arlington after the Derby, but we had a great day at Churchill without the last race. Remember Churchill is opened almost all summer, along with Belmont, Saratoga, and even Calder. The Gold has also done well the last few year at the Preakness and on Preakness day in general.

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GOOD NEWS- MAY 4,2007

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For every one who purchased the upgrade as well as those who bought the program for the first time, the install program we sent you is VISTA COMPLIANT. I just installed it on a new Vista computer and the program ran perfectly and looks fabulous. I installed it on a computer that has a 22 inch wide screen monitor and there were no issues. So we are better than we thought we were, just had to pass this on.

Tomorrow the Oaks and then the next day the Derby. Let the fun begin.

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WE THANK YOU- MAY 3,2007

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Thanks to our loyal customers who upgraded to the Helfman Formula- version 5. I hadn't heard from most of you in years and didn't know so many were still using the software. We had many Emails congratulating us on the new interface. We are extremely proud of the new application. Thanks again everybody. I have just loaded down the Derby files and I like our picks for the Derby. Hopefully all the hard work we did to get this release out by the Derby will prove profitable

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WARMING UP FOR THE DERBY- May 2,2007

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We had to check out opening day at Belmont. We are getting Derby fever and there is only three days left. Anyhow opening day at Belmont reminded us of why we like the old dirt tracks. The track superintendent can still have an influence on the race. If they dig deep it helps the closers and if they pack it down, it makes the track better for the front runners. Besides one of our favorite rules came into play. It is in our manual," The first day the track is fast after it is off it is better for the front runners." Well the track was good for the first race but was changed to fast. Besides we wanted to check out our new Power numbers.

Race 2- 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Maiden Claiming. The Power picked 1-2-4-5. The 1-4 exacta paid $15.60 and the 1-4-5 tri paid $45.20.

Race 3-7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Maiden Claiming Starter. This race is one of the best examples of the value of the chart. The Gold picks 1-4-2-3 which would usually be the play at 7 furlongs. But when you check out the chart you see the 4-2 are above the line, much too much speed which sets up the race for the closers. The Predict reflects this by picking 6-5-3-1. The 5-1 exacta paid $72.00 and the 5-1-6 tri paid $376.50, great hit.

Race 5- 1 mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Maiden. The Gold and the Power Numbers both picked in the first three picks 4-5-6. The 4-5 exacta paid $63.50 and the 4-5-6 tri paid $146.00.

Race 6- one mile and 1/16 on the turf, 3 years old and up, Maiden Special Weight. The Gold picked 3-8-5-7. The 7-3 exacta paid $64. We did not have the tri.

Race 7- 1 mile on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Starter Allowance. The Predict picked 1-10-4-2. The 4-1 exacta paid $79.00. So not too bad for cheap races from Belmont

The best race at Churchill was the 6th race- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year old's, Claiming. The predict picked 2-1-7-4. The 1-2 exacta paid $32.40 and the 1-2-7 tri paid $377.40.

Tonight the Derby files comes out. And by the way Arlington Park opens Friday May 4th, the day before the Derby. Usually we would have been excited but this year guess what, another "all surface track.

HELFMAN COMPUTER INC PROUDLY PRESENTS HELFMAN FORMULA VERSION 5 !!!

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SPECIAL RELEASE FOR DERBY WEEK

We release Helfman Formula Version 5 in time for Derby Week. This is the biggest change we have ever made in over 10 years. It is a complete change of interface. more appropriate for the 21st century.

There are so many new features I hardly know where to start. For openers you can go directly from the application to Bris to load down the DRF files, of course you have to be connected to the internet. You can delete all the DRF files without having to go to the directory. It will also take you directly to the news page. It has a tutorial that will help you learn to run it. It has the tracks listed on the front page as well as the races, so you only have to navigate down without continually going to retrieve races.

But the biggest change of all is a change in the Power Numbers. The new Power numbers will differ from the past programs. This was done to reflect the new "all weather" surfaces.

From now on when I give the Power numbers that have won in the news page, it will be the new numbers. So if your version doesn't match up you will realize this represents a difference. We had many winners from the Big A that I couldn't count as winning system picks.

For first time buyers this is the version they will buy. We have not raised the price since we started over 10 years ago. It will remain at $395.00 + sales tax only for Nevada residents.

For past users you can update to the new version but there will be a charge of $99. There was no way to get around this because of the cost to produce this. It took many hours of programmers time.

If you are an old user and do not wish to upgrade your program, your program will work as usual. The Predict and the Gold are the same only the Power Numbers have changed. However I can tell you it is the difference of driving an old Ford or a Mercedes. You will still get to the same place but the ride is so much more satisfying. If you are interested in an upgrade you can email us at support@vegashorseracing.com.

Again sorry for the charge for the update. The only problem in releasing it now, it is not Vista ready. But for those who purchase it now we will give you the Vista version FREE when it is completed. We could have waited but I thought with the Triple Crown approaching, it was more important to release it now than later. The Derby is just in 6 days.

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CHURCHILL FINALLY OPENS FOR DERBY MEET - APRIL 28, 2007

For weeks we have been waiting for Churchill to open. It was a strange opening card. We do great at Churchill especially in the route races, because of the long final stretch run, it allows plenty of time for the closers to do their thing. There were 11 races on opening day, too many first time starters for my liking and only one route race. The route race was the 5th race- 1 mile and one eighth on the dirt,3 years old and up, Starter Allowance. The Gold picked 6-4-8-3. The 8-6 exacta paid $12.20 and the 8-8-4 tri paid $64.80, proves the point but not very exciting.

However the wait WAS NOT IN VAIN. The big race was the 9th race- 1 mile on the Turf, 3 year olds and up, Claiming. The predict paid 7-2-8-6. The 8-7 exacta paid $346.00 and the tri paid $4.595.00!! Definitely worth waiting for.

WHILE AWAITING CHURCHILL OPENING WE CREAM AQUEDUCT- APRIL 25,2007

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On the very first race at Aqueduct April 25,2007- One and 1/8th mile, on the dirt, 4 years old and up, Starter Handicap, the Gold picked 1A-2-1--3-5. The Gold should be used for route races. The 3-5 exacta paid $189.50 and the 3-5-2 tri paid $1,320.00 (for $2), not too shabby a start.

Race4-One mile on the Turf, 3 years old and up, Maidens. The Predict picked 1-2-7-6. The 7-1 exacta paid $14.60 and the 7-1-2 tri paid $79.50.

Race 5- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 5-2-1-8. The 5-2 exacta paid $98.50. We did not have the tri.

Race 7 - One mile, Turf, 3 years old and up, Claiming. The Power picked 4-2-5-7. The 4-5 exacta paid $47.00 and the 4-5-7 tri paid $448.00.

Race 8 - 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up, Allowance. The Predict picked 8-1-3-9. There was too much speed and there were 2 horses above the line as well as many pressing the front runners on the chart. The back horses were picked by the predict 8-1-3-9. The 9-1 exacta paid $65.50 and the 9-1-3 tri paid $1,493.00!!

Anyhow quite a good day by anybody's standards.

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GENERAL THOUGHTS- 4/19/2007

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Just thought I would cerebrate about where we are right now. It is nine days until Churchill Downs opens for its spring/Derby meet. Opening day is April 29th. Every year I get excited about the first week at Churchill. Maybe it is because I used to live close enough to go opening day, at least once or twice during the first week and of course I went to 5 Derby's.

The best betting is the first week. In the past professional gamblers would descend upon Louisville, not only horse players but pool players, card players etc. looking for the big score. Also the best jockeys,trainers and owners pour into the town. Almost immediately after the race they disappear.

Well I moved away almost 30 years ago and haven't been back since. The last ten years I have watched from a distance but I can feel the fever slowly rising as we approach next week. The first week as well as Churchill Downs in general has been dynamite for our software.

Last year at this time a new webmaster came on board. He had never been to the races before. He has been working on our software ever since. He feeling my excitement went to his first race the Wednesday before the Derby and the first bet he ever made, a route using the Gold paid a tri of $5000.

He has been responsible for programming the "first call" charts which we released last year. This year we have been working on tweaking the Power numbers in response to the "all weather surface" track. We will have an exciting announcement to be made soon.

But more than just nostalgia, where are we this year? As of today Aqueduct is still running but will give way to Belmont on May 2nd, which is smack in the middle of Derby week. By the way the last two days we have done quite well. For those of you who love Santa Anita it will close on April 22nd and this is the last few days they will ever run on a "dirt" course. Next year when they open they will have an "all weather" surface. Arlington Park is going to open in May with its "all weather surface."

So one by one like falling blocks the old is giving way to the new. Change is definitely in the air. Will it be better,only time will tell.

So for today take advantage of the next few weeks, enjoy racing as we always knew it. Who knows about next year?

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WE ARE BACK AND GETTING READY FOR THE DERBY- April 13, 2007

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Sorry guys for the hiatus but you can't always control when you are going to have a health problem. It may be Friday the 13th but I feel lucky to be back. We missed some of the fun of the Derby prep races but I hope you carried on without me because we did good.

I can't get us up to speed on all of them but will talk about the highlights. The Florida Derby for the last two years has been moved to 5 weeks before the Derby. It was the 11th race at Gulfstream on 3/31/2007. The Power Numbers picked 3-5-6-1. The 3-1 exacta paid $10.70 and the 3-1-6 tri paid $74.60, not big numbers but we had it.

Just so you know it was a decent day, we had the first race- one mile for 3 year old maidens.The Predict picked 2-6-1-4 and the Power picked 6-2-4-1. The 4-1 exacta paid $38.10 and the 4-1-6 tri paid $147.90.

In the 11th race-5 furlongs on the turf, fillies and mares, 4 years old and up, the Power picked 10-2-9-1. The 2-10 exacta paid $14.10 and the 2-10-1 tri paid $84.20.We had two other small tri's and a slew of exactas but I am getting sidetracked.

On 04/07/2007 was the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct which is always a prestigous Derby Prep. It is one mile and 1/8th, on the dirt, for 3 year olds. The Predict picked 6-1A-3-2 and the Gold picked 2-1A-1-5-3. The 2-3 exacta paid #26.80 and the 2-3-1 tri paid $48.40. Again not much of a payoff but again at least we had it. No this is not very exiting stuff but it is all leading to the Derby which is in my opinion is one of the best shots at winning big money from small bets.

In race 2- 1 mile and 1/16th on the Turf for Maiden 3 years old and up, the Gold picked 5-2-8-4. The 2-4 exacta paid $29.30 and the 2-4-8 tri paid $72.50.

Before we leave Aqueduct we had the 11th race- 6.5 furlongs on the dirt, 3years old and up, fillies and mares, Special Maiden Weight. The Power picked 2-8-9-1. The 8-2 exacta paid $28.80 and the 8-2-9 tri paid $238.00. Again I am getting sidtracked.

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TIP:

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At Keeneland on 04/14/2007 which is only hours away is the Blue Grass Stakes. In the late 60's there was a stretch where the Blue Grass winner won the Derby or at least came into the money for many consecutive years. But now again we are having the first Blue Grass on the polytrack. As good as Turfway was this year, these results have not carried over to the Keeneland meet. When you hit you do well. But I can not yet give a stamp of approval to the Keeneland meet. The jury is still out. Be cautious but we are going to give it a try.

IT'S TIME TO GET SERIOUS ABOUT GULFSTREAM- Feb 22,2007

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It is time to get serious about Gulfstream. We have had fun and profit looking at Turfway. It was imperative we tried to figure out the Polytrack especially for peace of mind about the future.

But if you are a real traditional race fan, the best is the Triple Crowm. Now is the time to focus on Gulfstream because this is where the best trainers are now, the best horses are gathering for the big pre Derby races, and the best jockeys will be coming. Besides our software has always been dynamite at this track and this year is no exception.

Lesson time: I thought we would use the races today as a starting point to understand how to cream Gulfstream.

Race 4- 1 mile on the dirt, 4 years olds and up,No sex restrictions, Claiming. The Gold picked 3-1-2-7. The 3-2 exacta paid $7.10 and the 3-2 7 tri paid 22.20. Remember all prices at Gulfstream are for $1. Ok. not such a good start.

Race 5- will skip for now.

Race 6- 1 mile on the dirt, 4 years old and up, No Sex Restrictions, Claiming The Predict picked 1-7-3-2. The Power picked 1-7-2-8. The 1-7 exacta paid $22.60 and the 1-7-2 tri paid $64.50. The 1-7-2-3 superfecta paid $169.30. So the Predict had the Super cold. But since both predict and power picked 1-7, you could have played 1-7-2-3-8 for $12 and cover both possibilities and hit the super, just a suggesrion.

Race 7- 1 mile and 1/8th, turf, 4 years olds and up, Allowance. Remember the best play on the Turf at Gulfstream is the Go;d. I will show you 2 races from 2 /20 that we had. The Gold picked 9-2-6-7. The 6-2 exacta paid $5.30, the 6-2-7 tri paid $46.40 and the 6-2-7-9 superfecta paid $195.90. The #6 was a .30 favorite, so again for $6 you could have bet a 6 to the 2-7-9 super.

Race 8- This made the day. 6 furlongs,dirt, 3 year olds only, Claiming. Here is a tip- The 8th race is the feature of the day. Follow me on this one. Usually the feature race is a stakes or handicapping race but on days where there is no stakes race, the eighth race( or the one prior to the LAST RACE by default becomes the feature race. So play the POWER.

The Power picked 4-7-1-2. The 7-2 exacta paid $76.60 and the 7-2-1 tri paid $652.20!!, yes an IRS signer but this made the day.

Back to the 5th race- 1 mile and 1/16th,Turf, 3 year old Fillies, Special Maiden Weight. We have been saying that at Gulfstream on the Turf, the Gold should be played, The Gold picked 12-9-4-8. There were 2 first time starters in the field, along with the one foreign shipper. It certainly makes for a precarious race. I have mentioned this before, in our software we can incorporate the foreign shipper in the Gold. There is no data except on the last call. The Gold reflects the closing horses, so if the foreign shipper is one of the high picks, it has an excellent chance. At least you know it should be included in the contenders. In this race the #9 horse was the shipper and was picked 2nd in the Gold. The Predict picked 12-5-10-2. The #12 horse was a 4 star pick which means it was the only horse above the danger line. This is the type of horse that can go wire to wire. And the Turf helps the front runners. The #12 is way above the line. Also the #12 was the first pick in the Gold which makes it a very dangerous horse. The pattern of the race is favorable for the front runners. Well I played the Gold but made a separate bet on the exacta on the Predict which maans another $12. The 10-12 exacta paid $1060.20!! ( a nice pick up) but the 12-10-9 tri paid $13,309.60. Yes a fantastic pay day, no we didn't have it but you can see with a little ingenuity could have been had. Lots of times there is no rhyme and reason for a fantastic payoff but in this case it makes sense.

You can see they are having a ball down in Florida these days.

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Valentines Day Love At Gulfstream

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On Wednesday Feb 14th, 2007, there was really only one track open for us to play. Aqueduct and Turfway were canceled because of the inclement winter weather and we decided to focus only on Gulfstream.

It took until race 5 for things to get moving but after that it really heated up. Race 5- One mile on the turf, 4 yr olds and up, Claiming. The Gold which is the right play on the turf picked 11-14-1-12. The 1-12(for $1) exacta paid $62.90. The 1-12-14 tri paid $266.10 and the 1-12-14-11 superfecta paid $922.10.

Race 6 - One mile on the dirt, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Gold picked 7-2-4-1. The 4-1 exacta paid $20 and the 4-1-7 tri paid $136.10(for$1).

Race 8- One mile on the dirt, Fillies only, Claiming. The Predict picked 4-1-6-2. On the first call visual chart the 4 was above the line and the pattern favored the front runners. The 2-6 exacta paid $40.70 and the 2-6-1 tri paid $103.20. So it was a profitable day. Gulfstream continues to be a good track for our software and we are now approaching the big pre derby races in March and April. It should be in our favor.

STILL ROCKING AND ROLLING AT TURFWAY- Feb 09, 2007

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If we seem obsessed with the Polytrack at Turfway, well we are. Our attention was lost somewhat by focusing on the Super Bowl, and then there were numerous cancellations. Even on Feb 8, after two races there was another stoppage for the rest of the day. To me this is somewhat curious since one of the main reasons they put the polytrack on in the first place was there would be less days lost. Maybe easy for me to say because I am not there and I suspect the weather is hideous.

Another reason our interest is peaked, I heard an announcement yesterday that Arlington Park had decided to go with the Polytrack. So we are trying to get as much knowledge as we can about this surface.

So on Feb 9th I decided to focus entirely on Turfway, after all the Jan 27th day was the best I can remember ever. The results certainly were not as dramatic but still interesting.

Race 1- 6 furlongs, 3 year olds only, Claiming. Both the Gold and the Power picked the same selections- 1-7-5-4. The 4-7 exacta paid $18.80(for $2) and the 4-7-5 trifecta paid $49.80, certainly not great but a start.

Race 2- 6.5 furlongs, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Maiden. Power picked 10-9-2-4. The 2-4 exacta paid $52.40 and the 2-4-10 tri paid $166.20, somewhat better.

Race 3- This race was more interesting, again mainly because of the first call visual. One mile, 3 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming. The Predict picked 2-5-7-4 and the visual graph showed a pattern that favors speed. The 4-5 exacta paid $82.40 and the 4-5-2 tri paid $694.80. So three in a row and we had a nice cushion for the day.

Race 6- One mile, 3years old and up, No Sex restriction, Claiming. Again the Predict picked 5-1-6-2 and the visual pattern was almost a duplicate of race 3. The 1-5 exacta paid $26.40 and the 1-5-6 tri paid $307.20.

We had some exactas but did not hit much until race 11. One mile, 3year olds and up, No sex restrictions. Claiming. The Predict picked 10-7-6-2. I boxed these but to no avail. However the Power picked 6-1-2-12. The 6 had a Power number of 147, the 1 was 140, a 7 point difference is usually significant, so I keyed the 6 with the 1-2-12 in the tri( a $6 bet) and keyed the 6 with the 1-2-12 in the super because it was the feature race. The 6-2-12 tri paid $120.20 and the 6-2-12-1 super paid $720.00. Maybe luck played a role but I often do this and just wanted to point out it was only an extra $12 but made my day.

Anyhow the Polytrack at Turfway is certainly somewhat addicting and hopefully a preview of better things to come. Maybe at Arlington Park in May!!

TURFWAY TURFWAY TURFWAY- HUGE DAY- January 27, 2007

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Bring on all the artificial tracks. I am no longer fearful of them. But you better consider trying our software or you will be left out of the fun. I can not believe what an edge the first call software gives you.

Race 1-One mile, Fillies and Mares, 4 year olds and upward, Claiming The Predict picked 9-7-8-6. The first call visual chart shows you there are no front runners with speed. The 9 horse is about 5 lengths below the danger line. Another race where the front runners become the speed horse by default. Also confirmed by the hnumber being 5.01.

The 9-8 exacta paid 414.60(for $2) the 9-8-3 tri paid $3,868.60 and the 9-8-3-6 superfecta paid $47,839.20!!! You don't need a lot of winners when you have races like this one. And we have been playing races like this in this manner for over 50 years. But we were not through yet.

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Race 3- 6 furlongs, 4 years old and up, Mares and Fillies,Claiming

The Gold picked 8-9-7-2. If you look at the first call chart there are 2 speed horses 11-7 right up at the danger line, therefore this may be a good play for the Gold.

Well the 9-2 exacta paid $17.60 and the tri 9-2-7 tri paid $51.60 and the 9-2-7-8 Superfecta paid $166.20. Not as exciting but still impressive.

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Race 4- 1 mile, 4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming

This is a repeat of race 1, Same conditions for sure. Also the first call visual shows the 1 right on the danger line. followed by the 8-4-9. So the predict picks 1-8-4-9. The 9-8 exacta paid $81.20 and the 9-8-4 tri paid $2.409.40.!! So probably the best start one could have winning 3 out of 4 races to start.

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Race 9- I hesitate to report this as a system win. It is not in the purest form and I am sure some will say it is pressing the point. But once you see what I am trying to convey it is sure a possibility and it shows again what the power of the first call visual.

The Predict picks 5-2-1-7. But all four horses are near the danger line showing the speed is great and these horses are pressed. This came close to causing the software to invert the race and then the closers would be the pick. the four closers are 6-11-9-10.

The 11-9 exacta paid $181.20. The 11-9-6 tri paid $4,997.20 and the 11-9-6-10 superfecta paid $20,186.60!! The cynics will say this is a stretch but it isn't as much as you think. The back horses come in a lot in scenarios like this.

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Race 11-6 and 1/2 furlongs, 4 year old and Up, No sex restrictions, Nongraded Stakes Handicap

The Gold picked 2-3-8-7. At 6 and 1/2 the Gold is the play. The 3-7 exacta paid $824.20. The 3-7-2 tri paid $4,016.00 and the 3-7-2-8 superfecta paid $11,373.60!!!

Wow. I am a little numb, cause I can't ever remember a day anything like this one. And you wouldn't have to had all the races but maybe one or two of them would be enough.

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I would like to say at this point that our software is not for everyone. It is for those who want to take the next step and consider this a powerful tool. But you have to be willing to box 4 horses and stay the course through the bad times but when the good times hit as you can see it is worth it.

For sure this is not fabricated. If you purchase our software, you can test the results yourself. It is all for real.

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Turfway With The Poytrack is Exciting

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I just have to say a word about Turfway. We had been skeptical about the new polytrack at Turfway but now I find it exciting, a challenge and a fun track to play.

A few weeks ago I said play the exactas on the Power. This still holds up but the Gold has to have a good look also. Without getting creative( which is fun to do with the first call chart) and just playing like we have said for years, the payoffs are so high that when they hit it makes up for the losses fast.

A perfect example of this was seen on January 24th in the very first race. The race was 1 mile on the polytrack, 4 year olds and up, Maidens.

The Gold which is the classic system to use at 8 furlongs picked 12-3-2-11. The 3-11 exacta paid $233.80(for$2) and the 3-11-12 tri paid $1,895.40. The 3-11-12-2 superfecta paid $19,246.60. Now certainly that will get your attention.

Race 5-4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Claiming, 1 mile and 1/16th. The Predict picked 8-1-6-7. If you look at the first call visual you will see the 8-1-6-7 way below the danger line. This means there is no real speed in the race and the picks are not really front runners but will get the lead by default, meaning they will become the front runners in this race because there are no true front runners. This is also reflected in the hnumber which starts at 5.95 and goes to 8.47. Then there is a gap when the next tier of horses are viewed.

The 1-7 exacta paid $36.20 and the 1-7-5 tri paid $115.40. This is not a great payoff but this was easy to catch. Also once again the value of visualizing the chart comes to light.

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TIP TIME- January 24th. 2007.

At the moment Gulfstream is playing like usual. The big dissapointment so far this racing season has been Aqueduct. This has always been one of our favorite tracks but lately the fields are small and the prices are very low. Maybe it is the unseasonally warm weather they have had. They are running on the winter track, so I think when the snow and cold weather hits(which is right about now) maybe things will pick up.

Santa Anita is in its last season on the dirt track and I think we should take advantage of this before they tear up the track next season. So far the Gold has been holding up on the route races with decent payoffs. So keep playing this with confidence.

Gulfstream will be going into their pre Derby races starting on Febuary 3rd, and usually this means good hits and good prices.

GULFSTREAM IN GOOD FORM-0120, 2007

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There has been a hiatus on the news page since the new year began because of a hospitalization but now we are back and ready to go.

On Saturday 0120,2007 we aced Gulfstream.

Race 1- 6 and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt, 4 year olds and up, claiming race. The Predict picked 6-4-1-3 and the first call chart showed there was no classic speed. The 4-6 exacta paid $42.10(for 1$) and the 4-6-1 trifecta paid $330.60. This was a great start and also alerts us that the track is possibly set up for speed today.

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Race 4- 6 furlongs on the dirt,3 year olds Fillies only, Allowance Optional

The predict picked 1-3-6-4, the chart showed there was a lot of speed pressing these horses but the 6-1 exacta paid $22.00 and the 6-1-3 tri paid $77.10. This race only secured our feeling this was a very fast track.

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Race 6- 5 furlongs on the turf, 4 year olds and up, Allowance

The Predict picked 2-4-1-3. The 1-3 exacta paid $18.50 and the 1-3-2 tri paid $41.20.

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Race 9- 5 furlongs on the dirt, 4 year olds and up, Mares and Fillies, Grade 3 Stake Handicap

The Predict paid 5-6-1-2. The 8-5 exacta paid $14.20 and the 6-5-2 tri paid $97.80.

HAPPY NEW YEAR FROM HELFMAN COMPUTER INC. AND REFLECTIONS ON THE BEST YEAR EVER-2006.

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This was a banner and break through year for our company. For once we are not going to focus on individual races but just to comment generally. We have been on the net going into our eleventh year. But this year we were able to update our software so that there were no more bugs or glitches. It seems like we should not be even talking about this in our eleventh year, but even Microsoft hasn't removed all the bugs from their operating systems ever.

The software we now have will work forever as far as we know. If they throw a curve at us, we will respond but it looks like everything is in great shape.

We also updated our website and added Pay Pal so you can download the software and use it right away, a big improvement on having to deliver a disk by mail.

The most exciting and the best improvement was developing the first call chart. We have been trying to do this for three years but was successful finally. Kudos to Kevin Stockton our new programmer and webmaster for finally moving us forward.

I don't think the average end user has any idea how much this will aid in the handicapping process. This is a powerful tool.

The chart is a visualization of the Predict system. The chart shows the relative position of the horses at the first call. It is so much more dynamic looking at a chart than just looking at numbers. Look at the chart before every race you are going to wager on. You will be able to locate the lone front runner or runners easily. Also and this is the concept that not everyone will grasp, but as you continue to use the chart, patterns will evolve that give you insight into the pace of the race you never had before.

When the horses are spaced the race is easier to handicap. Sometimes when the horses are clumped together it is a more unpredictable race and maybe it should be skipped. But this seems to make the Gold and the Power the best way to go.

We will continue to evaluate our results by the scientific method. This means using the first four choices in each system and pointing out to you which system is strongest at which track. In the past everyone was a winner or a loser by using this approach. But with the chart there will be some changes. We have noted when the horses line up that the horses on the left of the chart are obviously the inside horses. Certain tracks show a bias inside and outside and at times, the end user should take advantage of this. At times I have boxed the four inside horses and have hit some huge payoffs. But I can not report this as a "system" win because it is not the first four horses. So now there is a more subtle art to varying the system and some players will get it and others won't. This is not a cop out but just a comment on how powerful the charts can be in evaluating a race.

In closing I must mention the change in racing with the new artificial tracks. At first we were worried that this would ruin racing but even though it is still new, we have noted some trends. The "cushioned" track as used at Hollywood Park doesn't seem to change the results much over the old track. The Poly Track is a whole other story. It is only the first year at Keeneland and this has always been a tough track but the payoffs have been huge and reflect the difficulty of the handicapping. So we are reserving our judgment until there is a second meet. There are some interesting trends noted at Turfway. The Power numbers seem to be holding up, especially in playing the exactas. Also in the sprints when there are two horses way above the rest on the chart we have noted they stay and produce some high payoffs. This week on December 27 and December 28 this was evident.

So the future while still cloudy is still hopeful. For now we are going into the new year. Gulfstream is opening on January 3,2007 with it's same track, Aqueduct will be running through the spring with it's same track, Santa Anita will be running this last meet with it's same track, so for now everything is pretty much the same.

So Happy New Year and let us enjoy this time in racing with a year full of winners before they change too many other tracks.

**TIP**- December 7, 2006

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We have spent a lot of time evaluating Hollywood Park since it opened and in the not too far future we will have some interesting stats to give you. But until then, I can tell you we are all taking a deep breath at Helfman Computer Inc. The speed is holding and the charts are making a huge difference. We did not see this with the Poly track at Keenland. So it makes a big difference which artificial surface is being used. And remember Bay Meadows has already made a decision to use a third type of artificial surface. So we are not as worried about our handicapping future as much as previously. At this juncture we are only hoping the "cushioned" track will be utilized more than the poly track.

Also we are compiling statistics at Turfway and the good news there is in the second go around where we can again use the Power numbers we are seeing some positive results here also. I had a feeling the Power numbers might hold up because they can be used at any track in the past as a system of its own. Stay tuned..more later.

MASTERY OVER AQUEDUCT CONTINUES- December 6th, 2006

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Race #3- 1 mile and 70 yards on the dirt, Allowance Optional Claiming, 2 year olds The amazing thing about this race is there are only 5 horses entered. The Gold picked 1-2-5-3. The 2-5 exacta pays $88.50 snd the 2-5-3 tri paid $350.50!! Another example of dispelling the theory that you can not have a good payoff with only 5 horses in s rsce.

Race #6- 6 furlongs inner dirt, Maiden Special Weight, 3 year olds and up. The Gold picked 10-9-5-4 and the Power picked 5-7-9-10. The 9-10 exacta paid $198.00 and the 9-10-5 tri paid $1,387.00!! The reason I show you this race is there were 4 first time starters and two of them were the favorite and the second choice. Often if the first time starters do not run there are box car payoffs.

We had some smaller tris and exactas but I want to move on to Hawthorne on the same day.

Race #1- 1 mile and 70 yards on the dirt, Claimimg, fillies and mares 3 year olds and up. The Predict picked 3-6-4-2. Yes I know we usually play the Gold but this is a perfect example of using the first call chart. The 3-6-4 sit 5 lengths above the other horses and they are not speed horses sitting almost 5 lengths from the danger line. In this scenario many times they stay up. The 3-6 exacta paid $66.80 and the 3-6-4 tri paid $292.40.

Race #2- 6.5 furlongd on the dirt, Maiden Claiming, 3 year olds and up. The Gold picked 1-5-3-4. The 4-1 exacta paid $68 and the 4-1-5 tri paid $179.20. The Predict also had the 4-1-5.

Race #8- 6 furlongs on the dirt, Claiming, 3 year olds and up. The Predict picked 7-6-9-10. The 7-10 exacta paid $107.20 and the 7-10-9 tri paid $1,112.60.

FORMULA CRUSHES AQUEDUCT- DECEMBER 2, 2006

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What a day at Aqueduct on Saturday December 2nd. We won 4 tris and had a huge day.

Race#1- 1 mile and 70 yards on the dirt,Allowance Optional, for 3 year old's and up. The Gold picked 7-3-1-5. The 1-5 exacta paid $93.50 and the 1-5-3 tri paid $208.50.

Race #2- 6 furlongs on the dirt,Maiden Claiming, 3 year old's and up. The predict picked 1-6-8-5. The 8-1 exacta paid 57.50 and the tri paid $1,169.00!! The chart showed the 1 and 6 alone in front and the 8 was 2 lengths behind them. Great win.

Race #6-i mile and 70 yards on the dirt,Maiden Special, New York 2 year old's. The Predict picked 5-8-1A-3. The 3-5 exacta paid $18.80 and the 3-5-1A tri paid $71.50. This is another race that the chart clearly showed all four picks alone in front.

Race #7- 1 and 1/2 miles on the dirt, Stakes, 3 year old's and up. The Gold picked 8-5-4-1.The 8-1 exacta paid 125.00. The 8-1-4 tri paid $1,671.00!!! This finished off a great day at the Big A.

SADLY CHURCHILL DOWNS CLOSES BUT NEWS NOT ALL BAD-Nov25,2006

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Churchill Downs closed on November 25th which depresses us each year. We had a good meet as usual. We still have some good things to look forward to though. Aqueduct is now running on the inner dirt course till sometime in March or April. We always look forward to this and ironically in a way this represents a sort of artificial surface which now is the politically correct thing to do. So at least Aqueduct will be safe until next year. Also Gulfstream is opening on January 3rd and they just put in a new track 2 years ago at a huge expense, so I can't see them changing their surface in the near future.

The two things I read recently which surprised me is one that Arlington Park is considering putting in an artificial surface by NEXT year and there is some talk about Churchill Downs making a change. Arlington Park is one of our favorite tracks, one that we count on for huge prices. Our systems picks up the bias at this track, so if I has known they were considering a change I would have gone to the races a lot more last summer.

There was no such talk about Churchill till after the Breeders Cup this year. Two horses were injured in the Distaff. Also there was a bias on horses on the rail. The first 4 Breeders Cup races were won by horse #1, which in itself is statistically unusual. But I have found this to be true at all BIG days, especially Breeders Cup day. The host track is getting world wide exposure and they like to make the track lightening fast to hopefully break a worlds record. In doing so they usually scrape the dirt surface which makes it a harder surface which in turns makes it a more dangerous surface for these very expensive animals.

For sure the new artificial surfaces have proven to be safer. Less horses are injured and less are needed to be destroyed. Also there is less cancellation of racing for bad weather conditions. Both of these has been proved at Turfway. So for sure if there are less cancellations, the tracks bottom line financially is helped and this is what it is all about. It is a business and they are only interested in their profit margin.

So with all this in mind, we are going to be doing some massive research this winter so we can pass on to my end users the best way to go.

So far we have two kind of artificial surfaces, the Poly track which is at Turfway, Keeneland and Woodbine. A second type has been installed at Hollywood Park, the "cushioned" surface. This track is obviously a different surface than the Poly track and early returns show me so far it is more consistent and conducive to our traditional handicapping.

For starters let us look at the results at Hollywood track on November 25th.

Race #3- 6 furlongs on the Turf,Grade 3 Stakes race for 3 year old's and upward. The Predict picked 1-3-4-5. At Hollywood Park all prices for exactas and tris are based on $1 bets. The 5-1 exacta paid $20.40. The 5-1-3 tri paid $73.30.

Race 4- 6 furlongs on the turf Grade 3 Stakes for 3 year old's and upward. The Predict picked 4-7-2-8. The 8-7 exacta paid $57.60 and the 8-7-2 tri paid $477.80!! But the good news is the chart showed the 4-7-2-8 way above the other horses and the bad news is both the 3rd and 4th races were turf races, so the "cushioned" track didn't come into play.

However Race #5 was 7 furlongs on the "cushioned track". The Gold picked 8-2-5-4. The 8-5 exacta paid $36.80, the 8-5-2 tri paid $156.00 and the 8-5-3-4 superfecta paid $1000.70!! So hope still prevails. More later.

Racing After The Cup

==========

There is a racing life after the cup. There always is in sports the desire to win on the big days, such as the Super Bowl, Ncaa basketball finals, College football championship etc, but after the adrenalin settles down, we are left with the reality of daily living. In racing I find this probably is more prevalent than in any other sport. For starters it is the only sport that runs 365 days per year. And it only takes one good race to make you a winner.

Every one has their favorite tracks. I can't check them all out but for now mine are Aqueduct and of course Churchill Downs.

Last Friday November 10th was a good day for our software at Churchill.

Race #2- 6 furlong claiming race for 2 year olds on the dirt. The Predict picked 5-6-4-2. The 4-6 exacta paid $110.20 and the 4-6-2 trifecta paid $542.40.

Race #7- 6 furlongs for fillies and mares on the dirt. The Predict picked 5-7-2-1. The 1-7 exacta paid $139.60.

Race #9- 6 and 1/2 furlongs Allowance race on the dirt. The Gold picked 4-2-5-6. The 4-5 exacta paid $38.80 and the 4-6-6 tri paid #434.40 to wrap up a good day at Churchill.

Churchill runs through November 25th. Aqueduct runs into the spring and sometime in December they switch to the winter track which has a bias for the front runners.

BREEDERS CUP DAY

==========

Well it wasn't the Gold at the end of the rainbow but on Breeders Cup Day we held our own.

It certainly helped to start the day off right and put us in a more relaxed mood by capturing race #1. As explained before we had to use only the Gold and the Predict, so since race #1 was 6 furlongs on the dirt the Predict picked 5-9-12-7. The $2 exacta 5-7 paid $100.00 and the $2 trifecta 5-7-12 paid 406.60. This alerted us that the track might be unusually fast(as is the case with most Breeders Cup tracks in the past), and maybe we would use both in some of the races. Another clue was the 6 furlongs was run in fractions 21.70;44.67;56.72;1:09.61!! This is extremely fast for Churchill Downs.

Race #3- The first Breeders Cup race, 1 mile and 1/16th on the dirt the Gold picked 1-9-12-4. The 1-4 exacta paid $50.80. The monitor we were watching the race on showed the 1-4 going 1st and second all the way down the stretch with the 12 horse running third. The camera zoomed in on the first two horses and we had to wait to see about the tri and the #7 horse passed the #12 horse..ouch. the tri paid $597 and the 12 horse was 21/1 so it would have paid more. Close doesn't count in horse racing.

Race #4- Juvenile 2 year old race, 1 mile and 1/16th on the dirt. The Gold picked 9-6-5-3 which was a bust. However the Predict picked 9-14-7-1. If you looked at the first call chart with our new update, you could see that 9 horses were above the danger line which left 5 horses coming from behind, much too much speed for this race. The Predict picked 9-14-7-1. The 1-9 exacta paid $181.20 and the 1-9-7 tri paid $996.00. This was the crucial race of the day as to being profitable or not. I received several Emails from users who used the Predict and were elated. Here again the first call chart made all the difference in the world as how to bet this race.

Race # 10- The Classic, 1 and 1/4th miles on the dirt. The Gold picked 3-11-4-5. The 11-3 exacta paid $39.60. Invasor beat Bernadini who went off $1.10/1.

Unfortunately that was it for the day. Which just proves again to me that the toughest day to handicap all year every year is Breeders Cup because there are 14 horses in each race and any one of them can beat you. This is not like every day racing. I personally think the triple crown is much easier than this day.

But all in all it wasn't too bad. To help matters on this day, the only other track I played was Aqueduct. Because of a rain out the week before they had 7 races, 5 of these were Stakes and we could use the Power for all of their Stakes Races.

Race #3- 1 mile and 1/8th on the dirt for fillies and mares three years old and upward. There were only 6 horses in the race. The 5 horse(Teammate) went off $.45/1. The Power picked 4-2-3-6. The #5 horse wasn't even included. The 4-6 exacta paid $171.50 and the 4-6-2 tri paid $1,150.00!! Good old Aqueduct came through when you needed it the most to wrap up a profitable day.

ARE YOU READY FOR THE CUP?

This will be the last report before the Breeders Cup. After watching Churchill Downs the last two days, we feel ready and confident. Of course you would have to be a fool to think you can guarantee anything on this toughest day of racing. But the last few days give us some hope.

On November 1st Churchill came up sloppy. Even so we had some interesting results. Race 1 was 6 furlongs on the dirt. The Predict picked 3-11-6-2. The 3-2 exacta paid $94.40. We did not have the tri.

The 2nd race was 6 and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt. The Gold picked 3-1-2-4. The 4-3 exacta paid $104.80 and the 4-3-1 tri paid $351.60.

The eighth race was one mile and 1/16th on the dirt. The Gold picked 1A-6-3-5. The 3-1A exacta paid $20.20 and the 3-1A-5 tri paid $51.00.

All in all not the best day but then on November 2nd the track was listed as fast. Right out of the chute in the 1st race which was one mile on the dirt, the Gold picked 9-6-5-3. The 9-6 exacta paid $307.80 and the 9-6-3 tri paid $2,035.20!!

In the 8th race one mile on the dirt(it was taken off the turf), the Gold picked 9-6-2-5. The 2-9 exacta paid $82.00 and the 2-9-6 tri paid $232.60.

This is enough to raise our hopes for Saturday. It will only take one or two tris to make it a great day. I expect the prices to be quite hefty.

For those who are interested I have seen the picks and feel good about them. If interested you can download the program after paying Pay Pal. The program will work imediately and we will mail you a password to use within five days which will keep the program working indefinitely.

By the way the big A has been doing great on the software all week but we are focused on the Cup.

Churchill Downs Begins Breeders Cup Week Tomorrow - Oct 31,2006

===================

Well it is finally here, Breeders Cup week at Churchill. Yes I am aware that they already had one day of racing on Sunday October 29th. There were 11 races that day and most of them were filled with first time starters. I thought it was a bad card for wagering and spent the day watching NFL football.

But this week starts in earnest tomorrow. There are some important points I must mention. Be very careful about using the Power numbers. If a horse has run over a polytrack in his last race, he will have a lower Power number than usual. This is because the Power numbers are based on 9 handicapping factors, two of which are DRF speed ratings and variants. So any horse who is running at Churchill from Keeneland will be affected. The same with horses running from Woodbine. I know that there are several horses entered in the Breeders Cup races from Woodbine, so in those races I suggest using either the Gold or the Predict. The Predict for races 6 furlongs or less and the Gold for routes over 6 furlongs on the dirt and the turf.

Once a horse has run once over the track his Power number will be okay the second time over the track. It will get complicated, so to be safe just focus mainly on the Gold and the Predict. I am not worried at Churchill, we will have our share of winners there, we always do.

Also once a meet is finished, the second meet over the track will have ratings, so eventually it will take care of itself.

Tomorrow is the first day of racing over the new polytrack at Hollywood. Another interesting factor is the company that put the new track on at Keeneland is not the same company that was used for Hollywood. They went to a European company who has been used by many foreign tracks, so you can be sure that track will run differentlt than Keeneland. It will be intersting to watch the results.

One good hope for the Cup this week, is there will be many foreign shippers. Our software is set up to handicap these horses in the Gold. This will I beleive give us an edge over other software where most of them can not handle this data. So what we lose in the Power numbers we will gain in the Gold.

Knowing all this was on the horizon was why we came out with the new chart in our last update. I think we have the whole arsenal now to attack the races. Bring on Churchill...we are ready!!

Don't forget Aqueduct is now opened and nothing has changed there.

THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM - Oct 19,2006

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Where are we in racing at this moment? Summer has given into fall, the leaves are changing. Where I live in Las Vegas. the unbearable heat of summer is being replaced by moderate weather. In general this is not a good time for racing. I think the best time is in the spring before the triple crown. But going to the races is pretty much a year around activity.

If you want, there of course is plenty of action. Belmont which I highly recommend is still running and even when the meet is over, the big A opens for an extended time. Arlington Park which we love is closed and in Chicago the action is now at Hawthorne. I never was thrilled with Hawthorne because it is not the speed track Arlington is, but I must admit I have been pleasantly surprised by how well the Gold system does there.

I have even tried Delaware and find this a good system for the Predict.

So far I have been disappointed with Keeneland. Originally I thought it did well on the Gold but it is not consistent. This meet has always been tough to handicap but now there seems to be no rhyme or reason as how it runs. The prices reflect this. Our system has done terrible there the past week. I have checked other handicapping systems and they all seem to be having trouble. At this point I would advise staying away from it. I think eventually it might settle down, especially in the spring when we have more accurate DRF speed ratings and variants. Then the Power numbers should shine. Of course this is such an important concept because what we are really talking about is the future of racing. This is the first meet using the new Polytrack. Keeneland is only opened for 6 weeks a year so it is not critical. But Hollywood is next and Delmar will follow. As a matter of fact it has been legislated that all California tracks go to the new surface.

But lurking in the near future is the Oct 29th opening of Churchill Downs which will be their Breeder's Cup meet. I can hardly wait for many reasons. We always do well at Churchill especially on the Gold in route races on the dirt and the turf. But best of all we have a real shot at doing well on Breeder's Cup day. The prices are always fabulous on this day, so you only need one winning tri to do well. This will take place on November 4th which is only a few weeks away.

Following this we will be approaching winter racing. The big A on its winter surface is always good for the Predict. Gulfstream opens after the first of the year and this meet is the best to see the early three year old races as we approach the Derby. I love Gulfstream and yes we do very well there.

So even if there appears to be a temporary lull, the storm is right around the corner.

STILL ROCKING AND ROLLING AT BELMONT

================

Over this weekend we are still having a great meet at Belmont. Let us begin with October 14th. Starting off with Race #2-one mile on the dirt. The predict picked 2-5-6-8. The #2 horse was above the danger line, he was the key in the race, went off 6.7/1 and although did not win held on for 3rd. The 5-6 exacta paid $45.40 and the tri paid $283.50.

The fourth race is a good race to demonstrate the power of the chart. The Predict picked 5-10-3-1. The 5 horse is touching the danger line but is over two lengths ahead of the field. It is the clear front runner. He only had two previous races, both on the turf and didn't finish closer than 11 lengths. This is the type of horse I looked for over 45 years before I developed the Gold and the Power. He went off 66/1 and won the race and paid $134.00. The 5-1 exacta paid $667.00!! The #5 horse would be overlooked by most handicappers but it secured a winning day at Belmont. Also this demonstrates the key difference between our software and other systems. Most systems would not have this horse as a front runner because they would be using times to pick out the front runner and not equations as we do.

Even though we did not have an exotic hit in the 7th race, it should be mentioned for analyzing reasons. This race is another mile on the dirt. The chart shows 5 horses above the line, which means much too much speed. So the horse at the back of the chart is the key horse in the race #8. His last past performance shows a race at Arlington Park in the slop where he closed to a nose. Well he went off at 12.50/1 and won coming from behind by 1 and 3/4 lengths. He made a move from eighth place and all the speed in the race set up this closer. He paid $27.00 to win and $13.20 to place.

One of the reasons I even bring up this race is, it was one of the races this weekend in the Bris on line qualifying contest. It was the perfect horse to choose and it propelled me into the top 100, to make me eligible for the final round of 300. I must admit I'm usually terrible in contests because I think it is easier to pick 4 horses to box in the exacta and tri than to pick one horse to win.

Moving along to Sunday at Belmont, the third race was a snap but not profitable. The predict picked 4-5-2-3 and the chart showed there was definitrly the play. The 5-4 exacta paid $13.20 and the 5-4-3 tri paid $45.20.

The most interesting race was the 6th race, one mile and one eighth on the turf. You couldn't go wrong in the race because all three systems had the 11-2. The chart showed this was going to be a tough race for the front runners, Actually the Gold picked 6-2-11-8. The Predict picked 1-2-5-11 with the #8 horse being the 5th choice. As I said previously you couldn't go wrong because the 11-2 exacta paid $130, but the Gold selection the 11-2-8 tri a whopping $1018.

In the 10th race, 10 furlongs on the turf the Gold picked 7-10-6-8. The 8-7 exacta paid $88.00 and the 8-7-6 tri paid $295.00.

Evaluation of the Polytrack at Keeneland after the first two days

============

With interest and some trepidation Keeneland opened it's fall season with the new polytrack. To be fair Keeneland was always a tough track in the past even without the polytrack. It was usually just a warm up for the upcoming fall Churchill meet which was always our favorite. So we have analyzed the first two days and present the results.

Keeneland's turf track has not changed. In the past it was always best in the Predict for non stakes races and best in the Gold for stakes races.

Keeneland opened on October 7th. It had 10 races. I am eliminating the 5th race because it had too many first time starters. However the gold won the race but still I am eliminating it.

In race #3 the gold exacta 8-3 won and paid $97.80.

In race#4 on the turf the Predict won, the 4-3 exacta paid $17.80 and the 4-3-8 tri paid $103.60.

In race #6 the Gold exacta 7-5 paid $120.00

Added together the exactas and the tri's the return was $338.20 and since we bet only 9 races the cost was $324, thus a return of +$14.20. Certainly not much to write home about but at least the first day was on the plus side!! The conclusion I made was the polytrack seems to do better on the Gold. Besides in a few weeks the power numbers won't mean anything. They will be low because in a first year on any new track there usually isn't any DRF speed figures or variants which figure in our power numbers.

DAY #2 AT KEENELAND LANDS ANOTHER BOMB

========

Day two at Keeneland was an important day as far as Breeder Cup implications are concerned. There were several pre Breeder Cup races that were part of a national Pick four.

Race #3 at Keeneland the Gold had the 2-8 exacta for $14.80 and the 2-8-5 tri for $23.40.

But the two exciting races were the 8th and the 9th races both part of the National pick four. In race 8 the Gold picked 1-2-7-6. The 2-1 exacta paid $26.00 and the 2-1 -7 tri paid $113.80.

But the 9th race was the topper. The Gold picked 7-1-4-3. The 3-4 exacta paid $99.60 and the 3-4-7 tri paid $ 2,159.80!!

Now that needs further evaluation. The predict picked 7-4 to get the lead and the first call chart showed the 7-4 way in front of the field. This was a turf race and the 7-4 took an early lead. The #3 horse came from behind at the end and just nipped the 4 horse, otherwise the payoffs would have been even more astronomical.

But the main point here is the #3 horse Aussie Rules was a foreign shipper and had no American data. Our equations take the data we have and we are able to extrapolate a figure for the GOLD only. So many handicapping systems would not have had the #3 horse but we did. Once again the new first call chart on the turf showed what a good wagering race this was.

ANOTHER TURF BOMB AT BELMONT

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Turf races have produced big payoffs at Belmont all year. Wednesday September 27, 2006 was no exception, one mile and 1/8th on the turf for 3 year olds and up. The predict picked 10-5-9-2. The 2-9 exacta paid $63, the 2-9-5 trifecta paid $347 and the 2-9-5-10 paid $5140,00!! I know a lot of you don't want to invest another $24 but of our four choices the #2 was the lowest odds, so maybe another $6 was not out of the question.

FANTASTIC DAY AT THE RACES- September 15,2006

When you least expect it, you do the best. One thing I have learned over the years is you can not force your luck. The only class track that was opened on September 15th was Belmont. I am not downgrading your favorite track but for me Arlington Park closed, Delmar closed, so Belmont was the main one open. I am used to playing more than one track, so I loaded down Golden Gate and Hawthorne, neither one that I am used to playing.

When I got to the OTB, I found it raining at Belmont and the track was very sloppy. This was a good thing because the slop always helps the Predict and with the new graph at my fingertips, I felt confident it would be a good day at Belmont. Well it was but you had to be patient. With all off the turf there was a slew of scratches, many first time starters, so nothing much happened until the 7th race. But then we won the 7th,8th and 9th race to finish up with a very good day at Belmont.

In the seventh race the Predict picked 1-5-2-4. The graph showed they were spread, therefore not pressed. The 2-5 exacta paid $91.00; the 2-5-4 tri paid $256.50; the 2-5-4-1 superfecta paid $1072.00.

In the eighth race the predict picked 8-6-3-2. The 8 horse(STARCASTIC) was the only one above the danger line and looked on the graph to get about a 5 length lead. The sharp New York bettors sent him off about 2/5. Even so the 8-6 exacta paid $26.60 and the 8-6-2 tri paid $100; not too bad with such an overwhelming favorite.

The ninth race was almost a duplication of the race I analyzed on September 13th. The predict picked 10-5-4-8 and the graph showed them way ahead of the field. The 8-4 exacta paid $64, the 8-4-5 tri paid $164.50 and the 8-4-5-10 super paid $1390.00 to finish off a good day at Belmont.

But this was not the end of the day. Hawthorne and Golden Gate had late starting times. I knew from past experience that Hawthorne is a deep track. That is why I like Arlington so much over this Chicago track. I was ahead so I played the Gold in race 1 even though it was a 6 furlong race. The Gold picked 3-5-1-6. The 1-5 exacta paid $42.20 and the 1-5-3 tri paid $262.20.

The best is yet to come. Golden Gates first race was on the turf. I seriously had never played Golden Gate before so I had no idea what to do and watched the race. The Power picked 7-2-5-8. The 2-5 exacta paid $53.20 and the 2-5-7 tri paid $128.20. I noticed the fourth race was also on the turf, so I decided to stay for this last race.

I played the Power because it won the turf in race 1. The Power picked 1-3-8-7. The 1 horse went off at 1.50/1; the 3 horse went off at 2.10/1; the 8 horse went off at 83.80/1 and the 7 horse went off at 31.60/1. The 8-7 exacta paid for $1- $459.90 and 8-7-3 tri for $1 paid $4,073.00!!! I can't tell you what won the rest of the day because I left. Another example of staying alert.

But it gave me an idea. Maybe you can teach an old dog new tricks. There are so many tracks that I have never played. So I am asking you who have the software to give me feedback on the tracks you do the best at and I will pass it on to other players on this news page.

BELMONT PARK TIPS:

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So far Belmont Park is doing well with our software; Wednesday September 13 allows us an example of what we are trying to do. In general Belmont is a deeper track than either Saratoga or Aqueduct. This makes it a better play for the Gold on the dirt track. But so far the turf favors the front runners. Check out the 4th race on October 13th. The Predict picked 1A-3-6-1-11. We box 4 horses and get 5 because of the entry. For those of you who have the graph the 1A,3,6 are bunched up right under the danger line. They have a 2 length lead on the 1 and another 2 length lead over the 11. All the rest of the horses are bunched within 3 lengths at the back. I will try to show what the graph looked like:

------------------------

1A

6 3

1

11

8

2 5

7

10 9

The actual graph looks better but this is as good as I can do with a text file. The point here is 1-6-3 get an easy lead at the quarter The times were actually fast 22.34 46.79 1:10.71 and 1:34.99. This was 1 mile on the turf.

What this tells me is the turf is lightening fast. They can let the grass grow but this won't be overnight. Anyhow the 6-3 exacta paid $206.50 and the 6-3-1 tri paid $919.00. The Gold picked 1-6-3-1A-2 which is exactly how they finished. Too bad it wasn't a superfecta race.

I don't think you could appreciate the advantage you have without seeing the first call graph. Besides this race it tells you when there is no advantage and for those who are disciplined you could pass certain races. We also had the first race in the Gold and the last race in the Power, good payoffs too. But I wanted everyone to mainly see the 4th race.

TIP: Play the PREDICT on the turf at Belmont and the graph gives you a real advantage after you watch it awhile.

ARLINGTON PARK RESPONDS AS PREDICTED- Sept 09

=================

Just a few days ago I mentioned to take advantage of Arlington, because the meet ends September 12. It always has favored speed and has been good with the Predict.

Starting with Race 2- 6 furlongs on the dirt, 3 years old and up,allowance. The Predict picked 5-4-3-2. The 5-2 exacta paid $52 and the 5-2-3 tri paid $138.00.

Race 3- The predict picked 2-4-6-5. The 4-2 exacta paid $49.40 and the 4-2-6 tri paid $155.70.

Race 7- The predict picked 2-3-4-1. The 1-4 exacta paid $76.20. The 1-4-2- tri paid $169.20.

The 9th race- The predict picked 6-8-1-3, The 1-8 exacta paid $19.80, the 1-8=6 tri paid $61.60 and the 1-8-6-3 superfecta paid $301.60.

Okay so there were no fantastic prices but consistency counts also. At least 3 of the races had to be passed on because of too many first time starters.

The most interesting race was the ninth race. The new graph clearly showed the 1-8-6-3 were grouped together way ahead of the rest of the field. Although I usually don't advocate superfecta betting, if there ever was a race where it should have been bet was this one. The speed had held all day long and here were four horses that were clumped, so you had to take advantage of the bias.

I have been getting feedback that keeping up the news page is a good thing. I have also had many Emails expressing how much the graph is helping. I think our handicappers are beginning to understand pace better.

GREAT LABOR DAY WEEKEND!!

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I am really sorry to see the Labor Day weekend ending for many reasons. The first is that we had a super weekend as far as profits. I guess this is always the bottom line. But there are so many other things on my mind.

I am not going into a detailed synopsis of the weekend but there are a few race highlights I should mention. Sadly Saratoga is now closed for another year. We did exceptionally well for the entire meet. On Friday September 1,the 9th race, one mile and 1/8th on the turf,3 years old and up, Special Maiden Weight. The Power picked 11-3-7-5. The 3-11 exacta paid $174.50 and the 3-11-7 tri paid $2,324!!

This was actually upstaged the following day in of all races "The Woodward" which was the 9th and featured race. This marks the first year this stakes race was at Saratoga having been moved from Belmont. It is more impressive considering some of the horses who were entered, such as Funny Cide, Suave, Flower Alley etc. The race was 1 and one eight mile, Grade 1 Stakes race for 3 year old's and up. The Gold picked 7-8-3-5. What is interesting is I recorded the race from ESPN. The announcers said prior to the race even though the track looked fast, it really wasn't. The trainers had remarked during the day that the track seemed deep, which sets it up for the Gold. The 8-7 exacta paid $929 and the 8-7-5 tri paid $5,567!!! See why we are so sad Saratoga has closed.

But Arlington Park is still open for another week. All summer long it has been consistent and you can always count on it. Take advantage of the next week,it doesn't open again till May. An example is the second race on Labor Day, Sept 4. The race was one mile and 1/16th on the turf, 3 and 4 year old's Illinois registered, conceived and or foaled, Maiden Special Weight. The predict picked 1-5-4-2. The 2-1 exacta paid $134.60 and the 2-1-4 tri paid $927.40!! For those who have the new software, it was evident from the graph that this was the right play. I can not emphasize how important it is to check the graph. There is no way I can explain it, you must see for yourself.

This is what is on my mind this weekend. I can not list certain winners that we had because they were not in our Predict, Gold or Power picks. But the graph unmasks the bias and this weekend it was the back closers at Saratoga on the turf. We picked up a ton of exactas and a few large tris by doing this. I know the average person will be skeptical. But it is true. What is peaking my interest here is that I have found out the situation with the Polytrack is more acute than I thought. Woodbine opened with The Polytrack; Hollywood is opening in October with the Polytrack and Keeneland's fall meet will have the new Polytack. Wow, where have I been. I even got a call from a New Yorker who read the possibility exists that Aqueduct will do the same next year.

The first year of a new track there are no DRF speed ratings or Variants. This does effect the Power ratings. We will have to wait a year before there are valid speed ratings. Two years ago the same thing happened at Gulfstream. For our software no real problem, we will concentrate on the Gold and the Predict. But the first call graph will still be the same. I have a feeling we will even have more of an edge than before. How much this will change handicapping remains to be seen. So in mind the Graph is the key.

WHAT LIES AHEAD- August 29,2006

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We are finishing up the summer. There still is the big Labor Day holiday in front of us. Then for all practical purposes summer racing will give way to the fall. Delmar is open till 9/6/2006; Saratoga is opened through 9/04/2006; Arlington Park is opened through 9/12/2006. These are our favorite tracks. Of course there are a slew of tracks still open.

In general how did the summer racing go. Almost as always, Saratoga is easier to handicap, especially with our software. We had a good meet at Saratoga. Delmar is not as consistant but this is the story every year. But the biggest payoffs and the most exciting racing (as far as results are concerned) is still Arlington Park. There have been some fantastic days this year as usual.

What lies ahead? In California following the closing of Delmar many fairs are opening. I personally am not a proponent of these tracks. But we will be watching Turfway very carefully this year. Last year because of the new Polytrack, I personally didn't track it very closely. But Keeneland will be opening in October with its own Polytrack. Is there any bias? Will one Polytrack run the same as another or will there be differences? Will it make handicapping easier? Will comparable speed ratings over one Polytrack be helpful on the next one? Will this help make racing figures more universal? Interesting stuff to be sure, we will keep you posted. Besides next year the polytack will be at Delmar.

The most exciting thing for us is the upcoming Breeders Cup. Why? Because this year it is at Churchill Downs where our software always shines. Some Breeders Cups have not excited us because they were run at Woodbine or other tracks where we didn't play. But Churchill Downs, wow I can hardly wait. There always are fantastic payoffs and all you have to do is hit one of them. It is very unusual for us to be shut out at Churchill. Bring it on!!!

TRAVERS DAY WAS GOOD

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Travers day was overall good as predicted by the tip. Below I suggested that on Travers day, the track usually is lightening fast to showcase the track. In the third race which was a 7 furlong Allowance race for 3 year olds and up, nonwinners of two. The Predict picked 5-3-1-2 and the 3-1 exacta paid $47.60 and the 3-1-2 tri paid $190.50.

The fourth race which was on the inner turf, one mile and 1/16th, optional claiming for three year olds and up, nonwinners of three. There was a slew of scratches and the track was firm, so there were only six entries. As talked about last week when the route races at Saratoga were won by the Gold, the same prevailed here and set up a later race also. The Gold picked 5-7-6-1 and the 5-1 exacta paid $48, while the 5-1-6 tri paid $111.50.

The sixth race was the next on the turf, one mile and 1/8th, 3 years old amd up, allowance race. The Gold picked 9-1-6-10. the 1-9 exacta paid $24.40 and the 1-9-10 tri paid $372.00. The saving grace in this race was the 10 horse, Exalted Cat went off 32.50/1 which made for a decent tri.

The eighth race was also on the inner turf,one mile and 1/16th, 3 year olds and up, mares and fillies, Grade 2 Stakes Handicap. The Gold picked 2-7- 8-3. The The 7-3 exacta paid $52.00. We missed the tri.

The ninth race was also on the turf, one mile and 1/8th, 3 years old and up, grade 2 stakes handicap. The Gold did not pick this race. The reason I am even including it on the news page is to make a point. There was too much speed in the race, the #5 and the #9 were speed burners. The Predict picked 1-2-6-8. These were the high Hfnumbers meaning because the race had too much speed the come from behind runners were the best bet. For those of you have the new graph this was clearly evident. The graph showed there were two horses above the danger line and the 1A,2,6 were sitting at the back. Well the 1-2 exacta paid $13.20 but the 1A-2-6 tri paid $104.50. It could easily have been had for an additional bet for $6.00.

The 10th race was the Kings Bishop, 7 furlongs ,3 year olds Grade I Stakes. Grade I are the very best horses so the Power should be used for this race. The Power picked 2-5-4-6. The 2-5 exacta paid $52.00 and the tri paid $173.00

The 11th race was "The Travers". It was not a good betting race with only six starters. The Gold and the Power both picked it but there was no reason to bet it because of the poor payoffs. I guess Bernardini scared everyone away. He definitely is a candidate for horse of the year in the three year old division.

**TIP- August 25, 2006

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In an effort to keep this new page a help to our users, especilly since we have the new release Helfman Formula 2007. In the new release you can connect to the web site from within the software, if you are connected to the internet. This is easily done by going to about and clicking on website to the right.

Todays tip is tomorrow august 26, 2006 is the Travers from Saratoga. Even though there are only 7 horses entered for the race, traditionally Travers day is usually a good day for the system. In an effort to showcase Saratoga because the viewing audience is high, they usually make the track exceptionally fast which is great for the Helfman Predict. Watch for races where there are lone front runners and the early speed horses are spaced. The new graph will show this.

The point is even if the Travers is not a good betting race, the rest of the card sets up for high payoffs.

PACIFIC CLASSIC DAY AT DELMAR

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Delmar for the past ten years has been a very difficult track to win at since they changed the track. I have been staying away from this track in general. Of interest is after the meet is over, they will tear up the track, and put on the new polytrack. They are doing the same thing at Keeneland. Who knows how many other tracks will do this? So I have been concentrating on the turf races at Delmar. In the manual in general I say the Gold is better for turf races. This is true for Churchill Downs for example. If you only bet the Gold on the turf at Churchill, you will win a lot of races. Last week, see below, the Gold won big races on the turf at Saratoga and Arlington Park. The Arlington Million was a good example.

But you must always keep an open mind. At some tracks the turf is set up better for speed. And this may vary during a meet at the same track. I have said the most important variable is the track surface. Thia shows up in the Predict system the most. They can't do as much with the turf as they can with the dirt track but there are things that do affect the turf. For example they can cut the grass very short and this will favor the front runners; or they can let the grass grow very tall and this will favor the closers.

So you muat always be alert. I have had users write me and complain that the manual suggests you use the Gold on the turf in route races but then I point out the winners in the Predict. It would be nice if evrything was so simple. But the astute handicapper has to see what is winning on a given day and be able to adjust to change. This is why I have added the graph, so you can understand pace better.

Well on Pacific Classic day, the 10th race was one mile on the turf, claiming race for four years olds abd upward. The predict picked 7-8-6-10. The 8-6 exacta paid $25.20. The 8-6-7 tri paid $229.60 (for 1$) and the 8-6-7-10 superfecta paid $1,041.70 (for 1$).

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SARATOGA BOMBSHELL- Aug 19, 2006

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The turf races at Saratoga always lend themselves to possible huge payoffs. The 5th race at Saratoga was such a race. In the article below where we announced the release of Helfman Formula 2007, I said our favorite system was the Predict, the one we have been using for 53 years. The race was one mile and 1/16th on the turf; 3 year olds and up; an allowance race.

Not only did the Predict pick 11-4-7-2 but the 11 horse was a four star pick. For those of you who have the new graph, you can see the 11 horse is way above the danger line, which makes it a good bet, even if it was 45/1. Well the 11 went wire to wire and paid $91.00 to win. The 11-2 exacta paid $889.00 and the 11-2-4 trifecta paid $5572.00!!!

Great example of what I have been preaching.

HELFMAN FORMULA 2007 RELEASED

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August 16, 2006- Today we released Helfman Formula 2007, the new and improved software program. We are in our eleventh year of being in buisness. When we first started we had the original system which is now the Helfman Predict. This was our original pace system and has not been changed in 53 years. Later on we added the Gold and Power systems because of encouragement from our users who wanted to have more than one choice. We have been successful beyond our wildest dreams with the results of the Gold in route races and have found the Power can work as an independant system of its own at any track.

But because the Predict system was the original system and returned large payoffs for over fifty years, it remains our favorite system. The pace figures are very strong. What many users failed to grasp was this represented how the horses lined up at the first call. This is different and unique because we do not use times but calculate the first call by using a complex mathematical formula. The horses we predict will have the